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Macro Afternoon

July 15, 2025 - 16:00 -- Admin

The uneasy start to the trading week continues as markets weigh up the recent EU and Mexican tariff letters from the Trump regime while also awaiting tonight’s US CPI print that is sure to define risk for the rest of the month. The USD was up slightly after the weekend gap but is stalling out

The bubble can inflate

July 15, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on more possible buyers. What’s not to like…? Equities may be at all-time highs, but positioning and sentiment still don’t scream euphoria. With neutral fund flows, massive sidelined cash, and no real signs of exuberance, the setup supports a potential melt-up — especially if CTAs, volatility traders, and retail all step in.

Pig iron Bob returns from the grave

July 15, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Does anybody recall “Pig Iron Bob”. Sir Robert Menzies’s pejorative moniker that he took to the grave? The name sprang from the Dalfram Dispute: In 1938, Australian waterside workers refused to load pig iron onto the ship Dalfram, destined for Japan, which was then at war with China. This was due to the workers’ concerns that

Iron ore superboom ahead?

July 15, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Or is that behind? The market has flown the coop on yawnulus hopes. June was a better month for iron ore imports in China and a worse month for steel exports. I don’t expect the latter to hold up through H2. Meanwhile, yawnulus hopes are likely overblown. Goldman. Property market stimulus? In recent days, we

More immigration means less social housing

July 15, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Last week, Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan posted the following video on Twitter (X) claiming that the government is “delivering more social homes in Pascoe Vale”. Australian governments have completely shattered the social contract. They’ve created one of the worst national housing crises anywhere in the entire world due to explosive rates of migration. They then

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