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Australia is a public sector economy

August 28, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Australia’s economy has become overly reliant on public sector spending (not to mention high immigration) to grow the economy. Consider the following facts. Since the COVID-19 pandemic began, around 60% of Australia’s job growth has come from the non-market (effectively government-funded) sector of public administration and safety, education, healthcare, and social assistance. Over the past

Trump versus the bond vigilantes

August 28, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Bloomberg has the scoop. The Trump administration is reviewing options for exerting more influence over the Federal Reserve’s 12 regional banks, potentially extending its reach beyond personnel appointments in Washington. The administration’s goal is to scrutinize how regional presidents are vetted and chosen, as they are not Senate-confirmed, and the Board of Governors is next

Aussie capex remains soft as jelly

August 28, 2025 - 12:20 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released private capital expenditure (capex) data for Q2 2025, which remained incredibly soft. The seasonally adjusted estimate for total new capital expenditure rose by 0.2% in Q2. after the previous quarter’s contraction. The trend estimate for total new capital expenditure fell by 0.1%. The following table from Alex Joiner

Australian housing supply indicators crumble

August 28, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

The National Housing Accord is an Australian government initiative aimed at addressing housing supply and affordability by committing to building 1.2 million new homes over five years, starting from 1 July 2024. This target requires the construction of 240,000 homes annually, a level of construction that has never been achieved before in Australia. The greatest

Australia ready and willing to take international student scraps

August 28, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Throughout her time as Australia’s Home Affairs Minister, Clare O’Neil boasted that Australia was in a “race for global talent” with other advanced nations, like Canada. O’Neil argued that immigration had been the “special sauce in our national story” and advocated for more. She stated that Australia needed to transition “away from a system which

Gather your shorts

August 28, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear explores. Déjà Vu? VIX specs are crowding into extreme short territory just as seasonality turns bullish for volatility. The last two times this happened, SPX corrected hard… Buy protection when you can Looks like the crowd is doing the total opposite… VIX net non commercials have crashed, and in very short territory.

Gas cartel wrecks the recovery

August 28, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

Two things are happening today that show just how broken Australia is. First, the economic recovery has been underway since the RBA rate easing cycle was dealt a nasty blow by the gas cartel as electricity prices skyrocketed. This helped spike inflation far higher than the market expected. Although the broader monthly index was more

Macro Morning

August 28, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Risk markets were dominated by currency volatility and Treasury sales overnight with the impact of the Trump regime’s fiddling with the Fed (not kids this time) starting to have an impact. Although the USD finished flat against the majors its moving lower against the commodity currencies particularly Loonie and the Aussie while the Treasury yield

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