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Articles from MacroBusiness

Welcome to GTA Melbourne

August 27, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

My WhatsApp group of 30 local school dads shares regular stories of attempted burglaries in my local area, as does the local community Facebook page. Jacqui Felgate, Melbourne’s 3AW Radio host, posts daily videos via Instagram of the latest armed robberies and crimes in Melbourne. A similar incident occurred last year when I awoke to

Aussie wage growth hits the wall

August 27, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

Australian real wages are tracking 6.1% below their mid-2022 ‘covid-bubble’ peak. The latest RBA Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) also forecast that real wages will remain 5.5% below their peak at the end of 2027. SEEK’s latest advertised salaries index suggested that Australian wage growth is slowing. Advertised salary growth rose by only 0.2% in

Albo bogged down in foreign culture war quagmire

August 27, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Somebody save me from Albo’s Australia. The Australian. Iran’s Islamist regime used a web of spies and organised criminals to launch multiple terrorist attacks on Australia’s Jewish community, in an unprecedented assault on the nation’s social fabric that has sparked the severing of diplomatic ties with Tehran. The Ayatollah’s ambassador to Australia has been expelled

Gold readies blast off

August 27, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear with the post-Fed news. Ready to move Gold is very trapped inside the massive triangle like formation. Note the last bounce on the 100 day. Expect a sharp break out soon… Source: LSEG Workspace Why so low? GDX to gold… Source: LSEG Workspace The dollar connection Gold likes a weak dollar, but

Why the bedpan economy is an inflationary bust

August 27, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Goldman with an important note. We have previously argued Australia’s labour market is not inflationary because indicators that contain the most predictive power for wage growth have already normalised. Nonetheless, the unemployment rate is historically low, boosted by employment in the healthcare & social assistance industry, and it is not obvious why this has not

Iron ore levitates

August 27, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Ferrous is weakening inexorably, succumbing to seasonal weakness. CISA output data for August bounced from the lows, but steel inventory is climbing. SMM has the wrap. The impact of yesterday’s supply-side incident on market sentiment has gradually weakened, and the price logic has returned to the fundamentals. According to SMM survey data, this week, the impact

Australian house prices to soar

August 27, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Housing Industry Association (HIA) released a bizarre ‘analysis’ claiming that the federal government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers would ultimately help to lower property prices and rents. The HIA claims that the $25,000 average amount required to pay for lenders’ mortgage insurance (LMI) “meant fewer new households could buy a home”, which

Leading index: Economy is “slow motion” recovery

August 27, 2025 - 10:55 -- Admin

Westpac with the note. Leading Index growth rate ticks up to 0.12% in July. ‘Slow motion’ recovery continues to underwhelm. Main headwind coming from commodity price falls and higher AUD. Softer tone from labour market but other components lacking direction. Even with this small improvement, the Leading Index still points to sluggish growth momentum in

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