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Victoria is headed toward a financial crisis

October 17, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

Victoria is the nation’s most indebted state with the lowest credit rating. Global rating agencies have reaffirmed Victoria’s AA credit rating, although the state government has been put on notice to reduce debt, rein in operating costs, and show fiscal restraint ahead of the November 2026 election. On Wednesday, the Victorian Department of Treasury and

Pilbara killer chills champaign for November 11

October 17, 2025 - 11:45 -- Admin

The Pilbara killer is here. A Guinean government minister, meanwhile, said the West African country would inaugurate rail and port facilities for the giant Simandou iron ore project on Nov. 11. The locomotives are arriving. SIMFER, the joint venture of the government of Guinea, Rio Tinto, and the Chinalco-led CIOH consortium, has celebrated the arrival of the

Up to 99% of alleged NDIS fraud goes unprosecuted

October 17, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Recently, a reader shared with me the statistics on the level of prosecutions against fraudsters within the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS). The internal reporting of the National Disability Insurance Agency (NDIA), the government authority overseeing the scheme, found that in the June quarter of 2024, there were more than 7,000 tip-offs alleging fraud. Of

Aussie households have ‘given up’ on the economy

October 17, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

Compare the Market’s annual Household Budget Barometer report shows that many Australians are continuing to feel the strain of rising living costs. Only 7% of the 3,000-plus respondents feel that the Australian economy has improved over the last year, while just 22% feel optimistic about the economic future. Shadow Treasurer Ted O’Brien says the figures

Blind RBA trashes jobs market again

October 17, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Under progressive leadership regimes, the Australian central bank has become ever more corrupt and unable to speak truth to power, especially when it comes to the single most important macroeconomic input into the economy: immigration. Just this week, we had another analysis from RBA boffin Sarah Hunter, which refused to acknowledge the obvious: the immigration-led

Shane Wright is always wrong on immigration

October 17, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

This week, two polls were released showing that Australians overwhelmingly want significantly lower immigration. First, Resolve Political Monitor released polling of 1,800 Aussies from across the political spectrum on October 7 and 12. The group was told Australia’s current migration policies allow 316,000 people into the country and 185,000 to permanently settle in the country

Macro Morning

October 17, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Wall Street was slammed lower mainly led by financials but also small stocks as trade war tensions are keeping most risk markets contained. The USD continues to decline with Yen and Euro both pushing to new weekly highs while the Australian dollar failed to get back above the 65 cent level due to yesterday’s release

Is the AI bubble about to burst?

October 17, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear wraps us up. Welcome to extreme fear The problem is we have not seen CNN’s greed/fear index hit extreme fear territory and SPX this close to ATHs (chart 2). Source: CNN Source: Macromicro Imagine regional… …goes a bit more “global”? SPX vs. KRE gap getting rather wide. Source: LSEG Workspace Huge gap

Australian dollar Trumped to death

October 17, 2025 - 07:57 -- Admin

DXY no bueno. AUD even less bueno. Gold bueno. Oil no bueno. AI metals are confused. Big miners breakout or false? EM bounceback. Junk not so much! Yields freefall. Stocks need a deeper pullback. Newsflow is whacko, courtesy of ZH. Washington shutdown. Geopolitical risk Weak Macro Hawkish FedSpeak Waller sounded less dovish than normal: “You

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