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Articles from Poll Bludger

Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor in South Australia

September 29, 2014 - 00:22 -- Admin

The first state Newspoll result for South Australia suggests that the Liberal defeat and its aftermath has taken a heavy toll on its public support, which has benefited Labor only indirectly. The poll has the Liberal primary vote at 36%, compared with 44.8% that failed to win it a majority at the election. Labor’s 34% is also down on its 35.8% at the election, and the Greens are steady on 9%.

Seat of the week: Corio

September 27, 2014 - 06:01 -- Admin

Geelong has been the focal point of the electorate of Corio since it was created at federation, its name being derived from the bay on which the city is situated. However, it originally extended northwards to encompass areas beyond Melbourne’s limits including Sunbury, Melton and Bacchus Marsh, became more strongly focused on Geelong after the expansion of parliament in 1949.

BludgerTrack: 50.9-49.1 to Labor

September 25, 2014 - 05:08 -- Admin

BludgerTrack makes a fairly solid move to the Coalition this week on the back of relatively strong results for them in Newspoll and ReachTEL, to the extent that they are now ahead of Labor on the national seat projection, without going so far as to make it to a majority. Labor retains the lead on two-party preferred, but the model grants the Coalition a natural advantage in seat allocation because the decisive marginal seats will be defended by its first-term members.

Newspoll: 51-49 to Labor

September 22, 2014 - 22:54 -- Admin

The latest fortnightly Newspoll has Labor leading 51-49, which is down a point on last time and equal with the time before (and also the same as the ReachTEL poll conducted on Thursday). Primary votes are 41% for the Coalition (up two), 34% for Labor (down one) and 11% for the Greens (down three on last time, back to where they were the time before).

ReachTEL: 51-49 to Labor

September 19, 2014 - 18:28 -- Admin

ReachTEL’s monthly federal poll for the Seven Network is unchanged on the previous result in putting Labor ahead 51-49 on two-party preferred, and is similarly stable with respect to the major parties’ primary votes, with the Coalition on 41.6% (up 0.4%) and Labor on 37.4% (up 0.1%). Reflecting other polling over this time, it has the Greens up (by 0.7% to 10.5%) and Palmer United down (by 1.4% to 5.3%).