ReachTEL livened up the Newspoll off-week with a federal poll conducted last Thursday, putting extra ballast into this week’s BludgerTrack update along with the reliable weekly Essential Research result. However, the results have made next to no difference, with two-party preferred ticking 0.2% to Labor and the total seat projection unchanged.
Articles from Poll Bludger
The Australian has published Newspoll’s bi-monthly state voting intention result for New South Wales, where the state election is now less than five months away. The result is very encouraging for Mike Baird, showing his Coalition government’s lead on two-party preferred opening up from 54-46 in July-August to 55-45 in September-October. The Coalition is up two points on the primary vote to 42%, with Labor and the Greens unchanged at 33% and 13%.
This week’s Essential Research poll finds Labor retaining its 53-47 lead after gaining a point last week, with both major parties on 39% of the primary vote – the Coalition down a point, Labor steady – the Greens down one to 9%, and Palmer United up one to 4%. Further questions relate to the international big picture:
Three new (or new-ish) Victorian state polls:
9.34pm. Since the Labor-versus-Greens results yet to be reported are barely even of academic interest (Labor currently leads 64-36), I’ll more or less wrap it up here, although I’ll have another look at the numbers later tonight given that we should get some pre-polls and postals.
The Seven Network reports a ReachTEL automated phone poll conducted yesterday has Labor’s lead at 52-48, up from 51-49 a month ago. More details to follow (although it may take a while).
The BludgerTrack pendulum swings back to Labor this week following moves away from the Coalition in both Newspoll and Essential Research – although not Roy Morgan, which was little changed on what for it was an unusually strong result for the Coalition a fortnight ago. Newspoll in particular was a surprise packet, but it should be noted that Labor once again appeared to get the better of rounding on its two-party result.
A tale of four pollsters: