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Newspoll: 52-48 to Labor in Western Australia

July 3, 2015 - 00:36 -- Admin

The latest quarterly reading of state voting intention in Western Australia from Newspoll, and the last that will emerge from the existing Newspoll organisation, shows Labor maintaining its 52-48 lead on two-party preferred. However, they are down two points on the primary vote to 33% while the Liberals and Nationals remain steady on 40%, with the Greens also steady on 14%.

BludgerTrack: 52.0-48.0 to Labor

July 2, 2015 - 02:53 -- Admin

The latest reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a modest move to the Coalition on the back of slightly stronger results this week from ReachTEL and Roy Morgan, reversing a movement in Labor’s favour last week. It’s also worth noting that the Greens primary vote is up further on what was already a historic high.

Morgan: 53.5-46.5 to Labor

June 30, 2015 - 00:58 -- Admin

There’s a three-week gap between Newspolls as the new management takes effect, with Galaxy to assume the reins with a survey this weekend. That means the fortnightly release schedules of Morgan and Newspoll are now out of line, and will hopefully remain so.

BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor

June 25, 2015 - 03:28 -- Admin

The only new poll this week has been another 52-48 result from Essential Research, but it’s been enough to make a measurable difference to the BludgerTrack poll aggregate. In particular, it’s brought it into line with the poll aggregations of Kevin Bonham, Mark the Ballot and Phantom Trend, which as of last week were between 0.4% and 0.6% better for Labor than BludgerTrack.

Seat of the week: Dawson

June 25, 2015 - 03:28 -- Admin

Covering the central Queensland coast from Mackay north through Bowen and Ayr and the Whitsunday Islands to southern Townsville, Dawson has had a wild ride in recent times, having been gained by Labor at the 2007 election with a 13.2% swing, lost in 2010 after a 5.0% reversal, and consolidated for the Liberal National Party with a 5.1% swing in 2013. It was created with the expansion of parliament in 1949, prior to which its current territory had been accommodated by the seat of Herbert.

BludgerTrack: 52.1-47.9 to Labor

June 18, 2015 - 05:43 -- Admin

It’s been a big week for federal opinion polling, with Ipsos adding its voice to the regular fortnightly Newspoll and Morgan and the weekly Essential Research. The results are sharply polarised, with Ipsos and Morgan coming in weak for the government and Newspoll and Essential being fairly strong. The BludgerTrack aggregate reads this a slight move to Labor, which consolidates a shift in their favour last week.