The Australian has published the first Newspoll result of New South Wales state voting intention to emerge since the start of the year, in which will hopefully be the first of many state results over the week to come. This one finds the Coalition government retaining a 51-49 lead over the August-September period, compared with 56-44 in November-December last year. On the primary vote, the Coalition is down six points to 42%, Labor is up three to 36% and the Greens are up one to 11%.
Articles from Poll Bludger
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump square off for the first presidential election debate this morning our time, so it seems an opportune moment for another run of my national polling tracker. The recent trend is very clear, but Clinton retains a lead of 46.0% to 45.0%.
The latest fortnightly Newspoll, courtesy of The Australian, finds Labor opening up a 52-48 lead after a 50-50 result a fortnight ago, with the Coalition down three on the primary vote to 38%, Labor up one to 37%, and the Greens up one to 10%.
This week’s Essential Research finds the Coalition down a point on the primary vote to 37%, Labor steady on 37%, the Greens steady on 10%, One Nation up one to 6% and the Nick Xenophon Team steady on 4%, with two-party preferred unchanged at 52-48 in favour of Labor.
The Advertiser today carries a poll of South Australian state voting intention from Galaxy, which records the Liberals with a two-party preferred lead of 53-47, essentially unchanged on the result that failed to deliver them victory at the election in March 2014.
Today’s Weekend West has a ReachTEL of state voting intention in Western Australia which has Labor with a 51-49 lead, from primary votes of Liberal 38.2%, Nationals 5.4%, Labor 36.5% and Greens 7.7%. This is a substantial improvement for the Liberals on the last such poll in March, which had Labor leading 56-44.
Courtesy of The Australian, the second fortnightly result from Newspoll since its post-election return is identical to the first so far as voting intention is concerned, with primary votes of Coalition 41%, Labor 36% and Greens 9%, and a dead heat on two-party preferred.
Only tiny handfuls of votes have been added since I lost interest in the Northern Territory count at the end of last week, meaning no change in what looked like a result of Labor 18, Country Liberal Party two and independents five (Gerry Wood in Nelson, Kezia Purick in Goyder, Terry Mills in Blain, Robyn Lambley in Araluen and Yingiya Mark Guyula in Nhulunbuy).
Roy Morgan has one of its occasional SMS state polls, conducted a while back now, from August 19 to 21. The poll is notable for the inclusion of One Nation and other new operators as response options.
The latest Essential Research fortnightly rolling aggregate result has Labor’s lead back to 52-48 after two weeks at 51-49, with the Coalition down a point on the primary vote to 39%, Labor steady on 37%, the Greens steady on 10% and the Nick Xenophon Team down one to 3%.