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Australia will remain a world-outlier on mass migration

December 22, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

By Stephen Saunders: On its triennial immigration stats, Albanese Australia is a radical outlier not the cautious reformer of embedded media narratives. Not even Bondi can budge him. The Labor-Liberal duopoly has made the concept of Big Australia central to its economic policy. After COVID froze mass migration, Morrison and Albanese rushed it back, bigger than

Surging government spending keeps heat on interest rates

December 22, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

In a recent article for the Australian Financial Review, economist Christopher Joye made the case that the expansion of government at all levels was putting upward pressure on inflation and, by extension, interest rates. “At the federal level, the annualised monthly trend budget deficit has deteriorated rapidly from $12 billion in December 2024 to $24

Investors continue to pile into Aussie property

December 22, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The new prudential standard announced last month by the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) caps high-risk mortgages (i.e., with a debt-to-income ratio greater than 6x) at 20% of new lending, effective from February 2026. In line with government objectives to increase affordability through supply incentives, APRA’s policy does not apply to newly constructed homes. It

Macro Morning

December 22, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Wall Street is slowly drifting into holiday mode as risk markets peer through to 2026, with volatility contained to currency markets as Yen weakens significantly on the back of Friday’s rate hike by the BOJ. The USD took back some losses against some of the other majors with Euro now at a two week low

Victoria: Australia’s lagging state

December 22, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Earlier this month, I argued that Victoria was a “lead weight on Australia”, which was informed by the latest state accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). These data show that Victoria’s per capita gross state product (GSP) fell by 0.8% in 2024-25 and has risen by only 10.0% since the Global Financial Crisis

Australia’s housing haves and have-nots

December 22, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

Last week, Cotality released its Pain & Gain Report, which measures gains and losses on established homes sold across Australia in the September quarter of 2025. Cotality revealed that the September quarter was Australia’s most profitable resale period in two decades. 95.5% of established homes sold nationally in the quarter made a gross profit, with

The economic week ahead

December 20, 2025 - 16:38 -- Admin

By Ashwin Clarke, Senior Economist at CBA: We updated our economic outlook for 2026 this week. We expect GDP growth to pick up a little further over the next 6 months before settling down by end 2026. With growth above capacity, and a resilient consumer, we expect inflation to show signs of persistence and the

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