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Articles from MacroBusiness

Australia’s unique failure

February 20, 2026 - 08:00 -- Admin

In the years since the pandemic and high inflation began impacting the Australian economy, the nation’s workers have gone backwards dramatically. Today, inflation-adjusted wages sit at roughly the same point as they did at the start of 2010, erasing all of the progress of the last 16 years. As the chart below, based on the

Without tradies, Australia cannot build for the future

February 20, 2026 - 00:01 -- Admin

Build Skills Australia’s recent report claimed that there aren’t enough tradespeople to meet Labor’s target of building 1.2 million homes over five years, which is currently tracking 27% below target. According to Build Skills Australia, Australia’s housing construction rate per new resident has plummeted, even though the number of homes built over the last 20

Canberra has a ciggie butt brain

February 19, 2026 - 13:30 -- Admin

Is there anything our government does right? Having single-handedly created a monster black market valued at $5.6 billion (ranging from $4.1 billion to $6.9 billion), Canberra now wants to take a piece of the action. Up to 1.5 million Australians are predicted to be buying cigarettes on the black market in what has been described

A goldmine of gold charts

February 19, 2026 - 12:30 -- Admin

I have been bullish on gold for a few years, but my view has recently pivoted to “sell the rips”. My reasoning for this is that the drivers of the gold rally have been materially weakened in recent weeks. First, we had the appointment of Kevin Warsh as the successor to the FOMC chair. He

Job creation soft

February 19, 2026 - 12:06 -- Admin

Via the ABS comes Labor Force in seasonally adjusted terms for January 2026: unemployment rate remained at 4.1%. participation rate remained at 66.7%. employment increased to 14,703,800. employment to population ratio decreased to 63.9%. underemployment rate increased to 5.9%. monthly hours worked increased to 2,013 million. full-time employment increased by 50,500 to 10,155,500 people. part-time

Adam Bandt returns to make ACF even less relevant

February 19, 2026 - 12:00 -- Admin

The federal government’s latest State of the Environment (SOE) Report explicitly ranked population growth as having a “very high impact” on Australia’s biodiversity, outranking climate change. The report states that “population growth contributes to all the pressures described” and that “each person added to our population increases demand on natural resources to provide food, shelter

Banker calls for peak banker

February 19, 2026 - 11:30 -- Admin

Because a banker said it, the AFR reckons it must be true! National Australia Bank chief executive Andrew Irvine has warned that the nation has hit “peak Australia” and will not grow unless productivity improves, as data revealed real wages have gone backwards for the first time in two years, intensifying the economic challenge facing

High energy costs prevent Australia from moving up the value chain

February 19, 2026 - 11:00 -- Admin

Soaring energy costs have contributed to Australia’s declining manufacturing sector, which is the smallest in the OECD as a share of GDP. Alex Joiner, chief economist at IFM Investors, illustrated the manufacturing sector’s energy problem in the following chart: Natural gas input costs in manufacturing have increased by 186% since 2000, while electricity prices have

Busting Albo’s housing myths

February 19, 2026 - 10:30 -- Admin

In a social media post late last year, Housing Minister Clare O’Neil claimed: “Why is housing so tough right now? Because for 40 years our country hasn’t been building enough homes.” But is that actually true? Today’s Numbers It’s certainly correct that Australia is currently not building enough homes and hasn’t been for quite some

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