Podcast #28: Polling after the federal election
This week I’m joined by Kevin Bonham to discuss the failure of Australian polls at the 2019 federal election and the limited improvements in transparency by Australian pollsters since that election.
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You can’t just legislate ‘fairness’ in our voting system
The South Australian Liberal government failed on Tuesday in its attempt to restore the “fairness clause” which used to apply to SA state redistributions.
New data – NSW 2019 election results
I’ve added a new dataset to my data repository. This dataset covers the entire results of the 2019 New South Wales state election.
The dataset includes voting figures at the polling place and electorate level for both houses, including two-candidate-preferred and two-party-preferred data for the Legislative Assembly.
Brisbane City – final boundaries
The final ward boundaries for Brisbane City Council were released last Friday. These boundaries will apply for next March’s council election.
The changes from the draft boundaries were relatively mild, although it was enough to push Doboy from being very marginal for the LNP to becoming a notional Labor ward.
QLD council elections 2020 – ward redistributions
I’ve posted a few times recently about the Brisbane City Council ward redistribution, but it’s not the only Queensland council redrawing its electoral boundaries.
A total of 17 councils are undergoing redistributions during this council term in the lead-up to next March’s election.
Queensland government backflips on compulsory preferences for councils
The Queensland government has dropped the key piece of its council reform package, by abandoning plans to change the council voting system, a change that would have likely boosted Labor’s chances of taking control of the City of Brisbane.
Victoria 2018 – Voter numbers keep rising thanks to enrolment boost
The Victorian Electoral Commission has published more information about turnout at the 2018 state election as part of their submission to the inquiry into that election, with some interesting bits I wanted to pull out.
The pre-poll surge: what, exactly, is the problem?
A parliamentary inquiry into the 2019 federal election has recently finished receiving submissions, and amongst other issues a number of commentators have bemoaned the growing numbers of voters casting their votes early.
Victoria 2018: informal voting trends
The Electoral Matters Committee (EMC) of the Victorian parliament is currently holding an inquiry into the conduct of the 2018 state election, and as part of that process the Victorian Electoral Commission (VEC) has provided a long and detailed submission into the election, and over the next week I’ll be blogging about a few of the interesting elements
No names above the line hurt independents
The Senate race in the Australian Capital Territory often promises to get interesting, but never really does. The quota for election in the ACT is just over one third of the total formal vote, and the two seats have been split evenly between Labor and Liberal at every election since the ACT gained seats in the Senate. This is despite Labor consistently outpolling the Liberal Party (and outpolling them by quite a lot when you factor in preferences from other parties).