The state election in New South Wales is just over two months away, and my complete guide to the election is now published here.
The guide includes profiles of all 93 seats, as well as a guide to the Legislative Council election.
Former independent MP Rob Oakeshott announced yesterday that he will be running for the federal seat of Cowper at this year’s election.
In this post I will run through some of the dynamics of that electorate which will be critical to that contest.
I’ll be using a lot of the work I have done on my guide to the seat of Cowper, which is worth a look.
It was reported yesterday that independent MP Cathy McGowan will retire from her seat of Indi at this year’s federal election.
She will be hoping to be succeeded by rural health researcher Helen Haines, who has been endorsed by Voices for Indi, the community group who supported McGowan in winning Indi off the Liberal Party’s Sophie Mirabella in 2013.
This is my last post for 2018, one final set of Victorian election maps. I’ll be back in the new year with more coverage of the New South Wales and federal elections.
Today I’m looking at the distribution of the vote for two of the larger minor parties. Derryn Hinch’s Justice Party and the Shooters, Fishers and Farmers both polled over 3%, with concentrations in certain regions that were quite high for a minor party.
First, the Hinch party’s vote is mapped out in blue:
There was a concerted effort before the recent Victorian state election from psephologists and other commentators to encourage voters to vote below-the-line.
I posted on the day after the election about the early figures, including the breakdown of below-the-line rates for each party. I won’t rehash that.
In today’s edition, I’m updating a map I produced on request to include the two-party-preferred vote (and swing) in 87 out of 88 seats.
Today’s maps focus on the performance of the Greens, who went backwards in terms of votes, yet managed to win a record number of lower house seats at a general election.
This first map shows the primary vote swing for the Greens in the 88 electorates.
I have just finished my collection of election data for the Victorian state election.
This collection features the full list of booths with location information, the full list of candidates, primary vote and 2CP voting figures by booth, and voting figures by electorate and region as well.
I received an email yesterday from Justin Field, a Greens members of the NSW upper house, effectively laying out a threat that himself and his colleague Cate Faehrmann would quit the party unless the party met two of its demands:
The button was pushed this afternoon in the eight Victorian Legislative Council contests, producing provisional results (subject to any possible challenges where the race might be close.
The seat count by party is: