I’m joined by Ben Spies-Butcher and Amanda McCormack to discuss the Wagga Wagga by-election, the state of NSW politics six months before the state election, and the federal seat of Banks.
We also discussed Ann Sudmalis’ retirement announcement and Kerryn Phelps’ candidacy announcement.
Links to things discussed in the show:
Last night’s result was extremely bad for the Liberal Party. We won’t know who has won for sure for a few days or even a week, but it looks most likely that independent candidate Joe McGirr has won, and Labor probably has the next best shot at winning.
6:00 – Polls have just closed in the Wagga Wagga by-election. I’ll be updating this occasionally through the night.
Primary votes – 0/20 booths reporting
Candidate
Votes
%
Swing
Seb McDonagh (SFF)
0
0.0
0.0
Julia Ham (LIB)
0
0.0
0.0
Joe McGirr (IND-McG)
0
0.0
0.0
Ben is joined by Glenn Kefford from Macquarie University to discuss the new Liberal leadership, competition amongst right-wing minor parties and the Wagga Wagga by-election.
I was joined this evening by Stewart Jackson and El Gibbs to discuss the Liberal leadership spill and the seat of Lindsay.
Our discussion of the Liberal leadership spill focused on some of the broader issues but was conducted before the rumours of a second spill strengthened later tonight. I expect our chat will be somewhat out of date in the next few days but most of it should still be interesting regardless of who comes out on top.
With the federal election guide now complete, I decided to check in on which seats have been attracting the most comments. Comment sections are now open for all 159 federal contests, and some of these pages have been quite active.
These are the seats with the most comments. There’s some obvious marginal seats but also a few surprises.
Seat
Comments
Hume
49
For those who haven’t already noticed, I wanted to let you know that the guide to the next federal election is now finished and up on the website in total.
The guide includes profiles of all 151 House of Representatives races, and all eight Senate contests.
You can use these links to see a full list of lower house links:
I’m joined this week by Jill Sheppard (@jillesheppard) and Osmond Chiu (@redrabbleroz) to discuss research into what candidate attributes influence voters’ choices, and profile the marginal seat of Gilmore in southern NSW.
Links to things discussed in this episode:
Today’s episode is a slightly shorter interview with the Poll Bludger, William Bowe, where we run through the results of the by-elections and what they might mean.
The by-elections last night ended up being quite clear and not particularly close in the end. I’ve put together a few maps to highlight some interesting elements.
This first map shows Longman. You can toggle between three different results layers: the 2PP vote, the 2PP swing to Labor, and the swing to One Nation.