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Links 17 August 2022

August 17, 2022 - 00:01 -- Admin

Global Macro / Markets / Investing: It gets hotter every year, and a new study shows how much climate change is already costing the global economy – Yahoo Tesla has built 3 million vehicles, a third of those in China, Elon Musk says – Market Watch Oil Prices Fall as China Cuts Policy Rates by

Macro Afternoon

August 16, 2022 - 16:30 -- Admin

Another relatively mixed session for Asian stocks with Chinese bourses unstable with only the ASX200 lifting substantially as the Australian dollar continues to falter as it hovers at the 70 cent level while Euro flops around after a very poor start to the week. Meanwhile oil prices are also slipping, with Brent crude retracing further

Brace for corporate misery

August 16, 2022 - 14:30 -- Admin

BofA with the note. I will add that higher inventories meeting weakening demand is not a recipe for good profits. Not everything is about the second derivative Waning demand and pricing power plus continued wage pressure do not seem like reasons to celebrate. But Wednesday’s weaker CPI (note)(a mere 53bp drop) was met with applause–peak

Has the market priced a Fed put that’s not even coming?

August 16, 2022 - 13:30 -- Admin

Michael Wilson at Morgan Stanley. There is a Fed pivot coming in my view as inflation falls relatively quickly. But it’s coming because so is the global recession led by China and Europe but also landing in the US. Earnings are going to fall a lot further yet and that is not priced.   ———————————————————————————————————————————- The

Rising cost of living cuts retail sales

August 16, 2022 - 12:30 -- Admin

The latest Roy Morgan business survey showed that confidence is lowest for the retail sector, which has halved over the past year: A new Roy Morgan survey gauging Father’s Day gift spending shows that Australians are preparing to send 7.7% less on gifts than they did last year amid rising concerns surrounding cost-of-living: Australians are

Weak unions meekly push back against ‘skilled’ visa tsunami

August 16, 2022 - 12:00 -- Admin

The Business Council of Australia (BCA) is calling for Sydney’s Aerotropolis and Melbourne’s Fishermens Bend to be covered by a designated area migration agreement (DAMA). DAMAs represent a formal agreement between the federal government and a regional, state or territory authority that gives easier access to overseas workers than the standard skilled migration program. However,

What will end the crash-up?

August 16, 2022 - 11:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear with more great charts. What could make this rally more durable? JPM’s head of US market intelligence Andrew Tyler points out what could take this even higher (not saying it will): 1. lower Sept CPI 2. human participation – closing shorts, going long, and then levering up 3. dovish inflection from the Fed. and what would