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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 18:34 Source

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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 17:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian equities are not doing well as markets start agitate over AI amid tonight’s looming US jobs report with the recent strength in the USD about to be tested. Continued volatility over trade wars amid the challenge to the Trump regime’s tariffs in the US Supreme Court are not helping either. The Australian dollar remains

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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THE BLOT REPORT Friday, November 7, 2025 - 16:05 Source

As conservative commentator David Frum said several years ago: If conservatives become convinced that they can not win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy”1.

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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 15:14 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 14:12 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 14:00 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 14:00 Source

When the Luxon government came to power in late 2023, it came with a promise to reinstate negative gearing as it previously was and reduce the holding period required for an investment property to be sold tax-free. Under the Ardern government, the duration an investor was required to hold a property for the gains to

The post New Zealand property investor demand rockets appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:56 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:33 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Australians have suffered the deepest decline in real wages in recorded history. As of the June quarter of 2025, Australian real wages were tracking 6.0% below their June 2020 peak, at roughly the same level as December 2011. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) this week, which contains

The post Australia’s real wage depression appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The US jobs market is being buffeted by a number of forces. reduced government spending; tarrif shocks to margins recouped through labour efficiencies; investment uncertainty owing to the orange madman; and AI. The BLS labour market data is still down, but Revelio has a decent correlation with the NFP (roughly 0.75%), and it just printed

The post AI job shock begins in America appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) this week, which revised its medium-term unemployment rate forecast to 4.4%, up from 4.3%. As illustrated below by Alex Joiner from IFM Investors, the RBA’s unemployment rate forecast to the end of 2027 is below the current unemployment rate of 4.5%: Thus,

The post RBA still delusional on unemployment appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Deloitte Investment Monitor for the September quarter is out. Releasing the latest edition of the quarterly Investment Monitor report, Deloitte Access Economics Partner and lead author, Stephen Smith, said: “The value of projects in the Investment Monitor database is just under $1.2 trillion in September, which is 7% higher than a year ago. “As

The post Infrastructure winddown exacerbates jobs bust appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:51 Source
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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:42 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:30 Source

We’ve suddenly lurched from AI is unstoppable to a growth scare as jobs data weakens. The Market Ear. Wishing & hoping & thinking & praying AI mentions on earnings calls have exploded tenfold. Retail traders are back chasing the Mag7. Tech giants are borrowing record sums to fund data centers. For now, optimism is profit

The post Stocks blow off the froth appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:24 Source

German arms giant Rheinmetall has reported a surge in operating profit for the first nine months of 2025 and a record backlog of orders, citing the Ukraine conflict and growing EU defense budgets.

Company shares have nearly tripled over the past year on rising demand for military hardware. Rheinmetall produces a wide range of weapons supplied to Ukraine, including tanks, armored vehicles, artillery shells, and ammunition.

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Renew Economy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Grattan Institute was at it again this week, claiming that Australia could magically solve its housing shortage if governments only permitted three-storey buildings to be allowed on any residential block in any suburb. “The key problem is that state and territory land-use planning systems say ‘no’ to new housing by default, and ‘yes’ only

The post YIMBYs deliver fake property boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The ferrous jaws must close. CIAS output for the last ten days of October crashed 9.8% with steel profitability. CISA steel inventories fell even faster, down 11.8% to 14.63mt. Yet steel could still not get a bid. The MacroMicro series, the source of which is not disclosed, rose in the past week. MySteel data for

The post Iron ore at the cliff’s edge appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Weak job market signals kicked the DXY rally in the teeth. AUD fell anyway on growth worries.   CNY up. Gold is trying to base. AI metals were mixed. Miners popped. EM too. Junk is holding. Bonds rallied after dodgy US jobs data. Stocks are blowing the froth off. Adding to a potential reversal in

The post Australian dollar rocket refuses to launch appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Australian right is tearing itself apart over net zero. This is so foolish, and the answer is so simple. In fact, the party took the policy to the last election. The only reason this fight is still happening is that the energy transition is failing on affordability. This is giving climate and energy sceptics

The post Gas cartel delivers Labor permanent power appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:26 Source

LIFE AND DEATH IS THE ESSENCE OF CREATIVE DESTRUCTION… THIS HAS BEEN THE MESSAGE FROM MR GUS LEONISKY FOR MILLIONS OF YEARS… 

THUS THE THEORY PUSHED BY PROFESSOR PHILIPPE AGHION THAT GAVE HIM THE NOBEL PRIZE IN ECONOMICS IS A STEAL FROM NATURAL LAWS — AND FROM SCHUMPETER, WHO STOLE IT FROM THE SAID NATURE AS WELL. WE KNOW. 

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MacroBusiness Friday, November 7, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the fear around the AI bubble rise again as Wall Street cratered, but also some reality crept in as private job data indicated more job cuts than growth in the US economy as the bite from the government shutdown continues to be felt. Meanwhile the Bank of England held fire in its latest

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 07:28 Source

Nancy Pelosi, the first woman to serve as the powerful Speaker of the US House of Representatives, said on Thursday that she will not run for re-election to Congress in 2026, ending a four-decade career of a progressive Democratic icon often vilified by the right.

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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 06:55 Source

Today's summit of world leaders has made one thing clear - there is a lot of frustration and concern about the direction climate change is heading.

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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 05:44 Source

If you only skimmed the headlines from News Corp, you’d be forgiven for thinking China was launching a krill-powered naval strike from Antarctica, staging an electric vehicle blitzkrieg across the outback and forcing Hyundai into some humiliating act of surrender.

 

Fred Zhang

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Your Democracy Friday, November 7, 2025 - 05:22 Source

Col Doug Macgregor predicts political turnover in Western governments (London first) and expects Emmanuel Macron to be removed from power — arguing new leaders will be less hostile to Russia and more interested in restoring trade.

They portray Putin as having outlasted his committed opponents; Russian strategy is to wait until Western political will weakens.

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