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Your Democracy Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 11:52 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) attempted censorship of the migration debate, explained in detail here and here, received support from ABC’s Media Watch, which attacked so-called ‘right-wing’ media outlets for raising alarm at the astronomical numbers of net migrants landing in Australia, which are higher than anything Australia experienced before the pandemic. An extract

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Market Ear on the bubble. Hold your shorts GS US Equity Sentiment Indicator of investor positioning continues to be a mystery. Do not short until this one is positive 1 sigma again. Source: Goldman Only half a sigma The Deutsche Bank “consolidated equity positioning” indicator still has plenty of room to reach levels associated

The post This is not how a bubble bursts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 10:45 Source

It is not surprising that the FRENCH media France 24 does not give a hoot about the Russians. For this torchon [RAG] de media digital, ZELENSKY is god whose demands are sacrosanct… Zelensky wants to meet VLADIMIR PUTIN mano a mano. The French media reports SAINT Zelensky’s demands are GOSPEL and swallows HIS explanation that Putin does EVERYTHING to AVOID talking face to face. 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 10:30 Source

A key reason for the decline in Australia’s productivity and living standards is that the country has grown rapidly through mass immigration. World Bank data presented below shows that Australia’s population increased by 45% (circa 8.5 million) in the first 25 years of this century, the strongest growth in the advanced world. However, Australia has

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 10:23 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Everybody celebrate! Yahoo. Shanghai, the commercial and financial hub of mainland China, has further relaxed its home purchase policy, following Beijing’s lead to rejuvenate the nation’s sluggish property market. Local residents could now own an unlimited number of flats outside the city’s outer ring road, an area where two-thirds of Shanghai’s housing is located, municipality authorities said

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Below is another brilliant guest post from MB reader Erin Rolandsen, CEO of Angelassist: It is rare, as a writer, that I ever venture beyond the comfortable veil of the third person. But the enthusiastic response to my recent article on Performative Democracy has compelled me to set aside convention. Many readers urged me to

The post A modest proposal to end the charade of performative democracy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk markets are having second thoughts about the dovish mood at the Federal Reserve with the USD taking back nearly half of its losses from Friday night, especially against Euro but this is being led mainly by French political problems. It was more hawkish comments from other Fed members that is seeing Yen, Pound Sterling

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The Albanese government announced that it will bring forward its 5% home deposit scheme for first home buyers by three months. Under the scheme, the government will guarantee 15% of the purchase price so that applicants can avoid paying lenders’ mortgage insurance. Previous income limits on eligibility will be removed from October, whereas the scheme’s

The post Labor lights match under house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 07:38 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Recently, the issue of how migration is measured has exploded into the headlines, with several media outlets and other organisations, including 2GB, the Daily Mail, the Institute of Public Affairs and Macrobusiness, receiving correspondence from the ABS on the issue. To quote from Leith’s article on this from last week: On Wednesday evening, I received

The post We need to talk about migration appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, August 26, 2025 - 00:01 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 18:04 Source

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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 17:44 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 17:04 Source
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THE BLOT REPORT Monday, August 25, 2025 - 16:29 Source

While so many modern christians are despicable bigots whose main aim in life seems to be to make life miserable for people who are not like them, perhaps one of the worst was a bloke called James Dobson who founded the ultraconservative Christian organisation Focus on the Family in 1977. He died a day or so ago at the age of 89. Born in 1936 in Shreveport, Louisiana, Dobson was initially a child psychologist who launched a radio show to counsel Christians on parenting1. He also wrote Dare to Discipline and The Strong-Willed Child and, among Christians, these books were deemed classics.

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MacroBusiness Monday, August 25, 2025 - 16:00 Source

Asian share markets are trying hard to translate the Friday night gains on Wall Street due to the seemingly dovish pivot by the US Federal Reserve but not all risk markets are buying it with the USD clawing back some of its losses, particularly against Yen although the Australian dollar remains robust just under the

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Prosper Australia Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:58 Source

The Economic Reform Roundtable is ostensibly all about productivity. Treasurer Jim Chalmers has argued that cutting red tape and speeding up approvals is the key to unlocking growth. It’s the old trickle-down idea made new again by Ezra Klein’s book Abundance: make it easier to build, and prosperity will follow. It’s an appealing story. But […]

The post Fixing productivity needs more than deregulation — it needs tax reform first appeared on Prosper Australia.

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Your Democracy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:46 Source

China Launches New Plan to Replace the US Dollar!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2QJ43UL_z6c

 

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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:37 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 15:06 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 14:08 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, August 25, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 2.5%, with another 0.5% worth of rate cuts expected by the end of 2026. As shown below by Justin Fabo of Antipodean Macro, the fall in the OCR has reduced the cost of new mortgages, which should have increased housing demand

The post The endless decline of New Zealand house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:35 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:34 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:30 Source

It is big. Very big. The Market Ear. But it can get bigger! Or not… A period of sorting and cleansing is underway  For a time, the dominant narrative suggested that AGI was only two or three years away — that “magic AI” would emerge and rapidly take off into superintelligence. As discussed on the

The post Measuring the AI bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, August 25, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Iron ore soared overnight thanks to Jay Powell. Unsustainable. Steel demand in China remains down year to date, but up for the week year on year. Steel production is far above last year. But this is misleading. My Steel is supposed to, but obviously doesn’t, cover EAF. Steel recycling has collapsed. In raw volume terms

The post Iron ore roars as green steel dies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, August 25, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Goldman with the note. As we flagged in a note earlier this year, spending on the NDIS has risen from 0% of GDP a decade ago to almost 2% of GDP currently (~A$50bn), around double initial projections, with the overshoot largely driven by higher take-up rates among children with autism and psychosocial conditions. While the

The post The great disabling to slow appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, August 25, 2025 - 12:00 Source

There are two key migration data sets published by the ABS. These are regularly utilised by analysts, the media, and the government. There is the official quarterly net overseas migration (NOM) data, which is published on a six- to nine-month delay. The latest official data available is for Q4 2024, eight months ago, and the

The post ABS migration censorship controversy explodes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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