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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 14:00 Source

Major LNG exporters Qatar and the United Arab Emirates rely on passage through the Strait of Hormuz to supply Asian markets. However, Iran has threatened to block the strait, prompting concerns about a possible spike in LNG prices, along with supply worries. However, Federal Resources Minister Madeleine King has sought to assure domestic gas users

The post Labor cannot be trusted on gas appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The federal government has been advised by eSafety Commissioner Julie Inman Grant to scrap YouTube’s exemption from laws banning people under the age of 16 from using social media, which are scheduled to take effect in December. Former communications minister Michele Rowland had cited YouTube’s educational content as one of the justifications for exempting it

The post It’s time to end the nanny state appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Net overseas migration is undoubtedly the most significant driver of housing demand in Australia. Australia’s population grew by 445,900 in 2024 (equivalent to a Canberra), driven by net overseas migration of 340,600. Net overseas migration remained above the pre-pandemic peak of 315,700 in Q4 2008, accounting for 76% of total population growth. Another overlooked factor

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John Quiggin Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 12:39 Source

Pro-natalism (the idea that people, or rather, women, should have more babies than they choose to do at present) has become an established orthodoxy,[1]. The central claim is that, unless something changes soon, human populations both global and national, are going to decline rapidly, with a lot of negative consequences. This is simply not true, on any plausible assumptions about fertility[2]

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 12:30 Source

S&P with the report. Flash Australia PMI Composite Output Index(1): 51.2 (May: 50.5). 3-month high. Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index(2): 51.3 (May: 50.6). 3-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing Output Index(3): 50.4 (May: 49.8). 2-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI (4): 51.0 (May: 51.0). Growth in new work was notably driven by domestic clients

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 12:26 Source

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 12:05 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Policymakers want Australians to live in shoebox apartments to alleviate the structural undersupply of housing in our major cities and accommodate endless population growth. Their mandate contradicts the views of Australians, who prefer to live in detached homes. In May, the average price premium for a detached property in Australia’s major cities was 174%, according

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 11:59 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 11:42 Source

A Trump official tells The Grayzone that Israel’s Mossad is using CIA Director John Ratcliffe and US CENTCOM’s Gen. Michael Kurilla to influence Trump with cooked intelligence on Iran’s nuclear program. Inside the White House, dissenters have been isolated, setting the stage for a regime change war that could cost American lives.

Listen to/watch Max Blumenthal read this article here.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 11:30 Source

In the debate surrounding the so-called “Mortgage Cliff” and the impact of inflation and higher interest rates on households, the possibility of a strong rise in mortgage arrears has been written off in many quarters. Yet with the release of the latest Residential Mortgage Backed Security (RMBS) data from ratings agency Fitch, that is exactly

The post Mortgages arrears surge to decade highs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 11:00 Source

In a recent speech to the Queensland Parliament, Mermaid Beach Liberal Party MP Ray Stevens called for the return of vagrancy laws in order to prosecute the “presumably homeless people” increasingly cropping up in his electorate in “some of the most sought after locations anyone could wish for—absolute beachfront”. In a vacuum, one can empathise

The post Does Australia need a war between the states and Albo? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Victoria’s economy has become a national disaster. The Australian Bureau of Statistics’ (ABS) annual state accounts for 2023-24 revealed that Victoria’s per capita GDP fell by 1.2% annually and has only increased by 10.4% since the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2008. Victoria’s growth compares poorly against the 1.0% national decline in per capita GDP in

The post Victoria’s economy is gravely ill appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 10:21 Source

Twenty-one months into its genocide of the Palestinian people, Israel has extended its attacks to Iran, with the USA collaborating. Back in Oz, governments look away. Emma Thomas with the latest from the NSW antisemitism inquiry.

 

US joins Israel bombing Iran, genocide proceeds, Australia debates antisemitismby Emma Thomas

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The ferrous complex is hardly inspiring confidence. Steel output cuts should eventually force more price weakness upstream to iron ore. Meanwhile, Goldman has finally cottoned on to the structural nature of the Chinese property crash. It is forever. Gauging China’s new urban housing demand: In a recent comprehensive update, we re-examine China’s underlying demand for

The post China’s thousand year property crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 09:49 Source
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The Tally Room Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Earlier this month I published a blog post which discovered that the average 2CP margin of victory has not actually been getting smaller at recent federal elections. I didn’t end up including the chart in the post, but I also identified that the numbers of marginal seats hasn’t been going up over time, despite a number of formerly-safe seats now becoming marginal non-classic seats.

But I wanted to explore the make-up of those marginal seats over time, and the safe seats not included on the list: seats for each party, and the number of classic and non-classic seats.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY was smashed as WWIII was cancelled. AUD dumped then pumped following the Iranian popgun retaliation. Couldn’t keep up with EUR. Woe is oil. The glut is large. No Hormuz, no bueno for oil. Bueno for growth! Even the Kodiak grizzly let up for a day. EM meh. Junk party! Bond party! Stock party! There

The post Australian dollar parties as WWIII cancelled appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 09:10 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 09:03 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Everything is awesome as a potential ceasefire in the Middle East is underway, following an Iranian attack on a US military base in Qatar was thwarted. This has sent risk significantly higher, dumping USD and oil prices in the process, negating all the fallout from the entry of the Trump regime into the war. Euro

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 08:23 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 08:09 Source

[John Hepworth] turned death into an art form …Theatrical by inclination, he was determined to die in his own bed with his hat on… Hepworth was splendid while dying. Dressed in a magnificent nightshirt, and wearing a Victorian smoking cap, he entertained the friends who had come to say goodbye.

The Age, November 1994

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 08:00 Source

As the conflict in the Middle East continues, there is a strange divergence in perceptions about what may come next. On one hand, there are headlines that the Iranian Parliament has reached a “unanimous consensus” that Iran should move to close the Strait of Hormuz, whereas on the other, markets have reacted with a rather

The post We need to talk about the Strait of Hormuz appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 07:43 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 24, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Canada experienced an unprecedented immigration boom after the pandemic, which caused a record housing shortage. As a result, Canada’s rental vacancy rate fell to a record low and rental inflation soared, delivering the worst rental crisis in living memory. The following chart from the National Bank of Canada estimates that the nation’s shortage of rental

The post Canada shows Australia how to solve housing crisis appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, June 23, 2025 - 16:30 Source

As the bombs, missiles and threats are thrown around the Middle East like kids in a playground, risk markets are relatively stable following the entry of the US into the Israel-Iran war. The USD is gaining more strength against most  of the undollars with the Australian dollar losing ground to head back to the 64

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, June 23, 2025 - 15:28 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 23, 2025 - 15:03 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, June 23, 2025 - 15:00 Source
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