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Renew Economy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 12:52 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Liberal leader Peter Dutton was questioned about his plans to cut the permanent migrant intake from 185,000 in 2024-25 to 140,000 in 2025-26. Dutton suggested that cuts to migrant worker numbers could be partly offset by permitting pensioners to work more hours without reducing their pension. “That will replace some of the international labour that

The post Use pensioners, not migrants, to plug labour shortages appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The ferrous complex is still struggling. Reports from the ground in China are dour. Goldman. Over the past week, we met with onshore clients in Beijing and Shanghai, including mutual funds, private equity firms, and asset managers from banks, brokers and insurance companies. Compared to two months ago(late February), local investors are more concerned about

The post Iron ore into the tariff shock appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Australia’s residential property market vacancy rates are still near a record low of only 1%. The Australian Greens announced that abolishing negative gearing and the capital gains tax (CGT) discount would be a priority in a minority government. The Greens’ policy is as follows. Grandfather negative gearing and the 50% CGT discount to one investment

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 11:00 Source

China is easily the world’s largest carbon emitter, comprising 31.5% of global emissions in 2023, according to Our World In Data. China’s insatiable coal consumption has largely driven its near exponential rise in emissions. China is the world’s largest coal producer, importer, and user, accounting for around 30% more coal consumption than the rest of

The post China doubles-down on coal use appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 10:30 Source

DXY is hanging on…just. AUD looks poised for higher. Lead boots are holding. Gold and oil take a breather. Metals stall. Big miners=big bear. EM yawn. Junk unconvincing, either way. Treasuries are bid again. Stocks stalled. There is a lot of tariff pain imminent, both in the US and China. I am still of the

The post Australian dollar dummy of a child president appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 10:00 Source

All opinion polls are pointing to an easy Labor victory at this weekend’s federal election. Sadly, a Labor victory will jettison the single best policy proposal of the campaign: the reservation of East Coast gas for domestic use. The Coalition’s policy promised to quarantine uncontracted gas sold on the spot market for domestic consumption. The

The post Gas reservation will be the election’s biggest loss appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 09:43 Source

GREAT CARTOON FROM CATHY WILCOX — SMH 29/04/2025.....

 

Hairdresser Renee Johnson hears a lot in her Muswellbrook hair and beauty salon. 

But one thing she has not heard, in the two weeks since the federal election campaign kicked off, is anything from either major party that would cement her vote. 

She is still undecided.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The Market Ear on abandoned stocks. Climbing the wall of worry S&P 500 up 14% since April’s 7th intraday low – now trading back above 20x PE. Mag-7’s best week in 3 years (+9.4%) . US HF net leverage has bumped a lot from absolute lows (now sits at 49% vs a recent low <40%),

The post Stocks abandoned appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Tally Room Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 09:30 Source

This blog post is an update to two blog posts I wrote in 2022, looking at the rate of counting progress on election night and how the primary vote for Labor, the Coalition and the Greens shifts over the course of the night.

First up, this chart shows the proportion of the total votes cast that were counted (as House primary votes) at each minute of election night, for the eight states and territories.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 09:00 Source

An uneasy night on Wall Street with minor moves as more earnings reports filter through amid more bluster from the Trump regime about nonexistent Chines tariff negotiations helping push USD lower against most of the majors as Pound Sterling hits a new three year high amid a UK/EU detente on trade. The Canadian Loonie remains

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 08:32 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Last month, Vicki Thomson, the CEO of the elite Group of Eight (Go8) universities, claimed that international education is the nation’s third-largest export. Amid talk of imposing caps on enrolment numbers, Thomson said, “Do not put our third-largest export sector at risk. A $51 billion economy and, more than that, a sector which actually builds

The post International student “exports” are one big lie appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 07:22 Source

In the lead-up to the Australia election, new research examines the ALP and Coalition messaging and policy on the People’s Republic of China.

 

Elena Collinson

Framing the future: Australia’s China policy in the lead-up to the 2025 election

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 06:58 Source

THE IRAQ WAR WAS A MASSIVE DECEPTION WHICH WAS EASY TO UNPICK EXCEPT FOR THE MMMM (MEDIOCRE MASS MEDIA DE MIERDA). THE WAR IN YUCKRAINE IS A MORE COMPLEX DECEPTION WHICH STARTED WAY BACK IN 1917, WHEN THE AMERICAN EMPIRE DECIDED TO DESTROY RUSSIA...

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Your Democracy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 06:27 Source

A fleet of retired tanks the Albanese government pledged to Ukraine last year remains stuck in Australia, with defence figures in part blaming resistance from the United States for their delayed transfer.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 01:05 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, April 29, 2025 - 00:05 Source

I noted recently how Australia’s housing obsession has gradually choked the economy. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that Australia’s housing stock was valued at a record $11,032.2 billion in 2024, with the average home valued at $976,800. According to CoreLogic’s most recent monthly chart pack, Australia’s housing stock was valued at $11.3 trillion as

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Your Democracy Monday, April 28, 2025 - 20:41 Source

Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz and his CDU won Germany's election, yet his personal popularity is low — and getting lower. Most Germans don't trust him, not least because of his approach to the far-right AfD.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, April 28, 2025 - 18:02 Source

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 28, 2025 - 17:12 Source

  AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225     Easy Listening        

The post Macro Afternoon: 29 April 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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George Monbiot Monday, April 28, 2025 - 17:08 Source

This new legislation is the worst attack on England’s ecosystems in living memory.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian  24th April 2025

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Renew Economy Monday, April 28, 2025 - 14:58 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, April 28, 2025 - 14:57 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, April 28, 2025 - 14:53 Source

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Renew Economy Monday, April 28, 2025 - 14:06 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, April 28, 2025 - 13:30 Source

On Wednesday, the all-important Q1 CPI will be released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). CBA expects the policy-relevant trimmed mean CPI to print at 0.6% for the quarter, bringing the annual rate down to 2.8%, within the RBA’s target band. Six-month annualised trimmed mean CPI would also slow to only 2.2%, well within

The post Market tells RBA to cut fast and deep appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, April 28, 2025 - 13:06 Source
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The Tally Room Monday, April 28, 2025 - 13:04 Source

As increasing numbers of Australians have chosen to vote early, we have now reached a point where the country is split roughly into two halves – one half voting before election day, through pre-poll voting, postal voting and remote booths, and the other half casting their vote on the day. There are also a few small batches of votes that can’t be identified as being cast on election day or before, but nearly everyone falls into one of these two groups.

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MacroBusiness Monday, April 28, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Coalition transport spokesperson Bridget McKenzie floated on Sunday, working with state governments on a road user charge after arguing that tax breaks for electric vehicle (EV) owners are being subsidised by internal combustion engine (ICE) car drivers. “The reality is under the Labor Party, they’re not contributing”, McKenzie told ABC’s Insiders. “The roads are deteriorating

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