I have been spending the last few weeks adding a bunch of extra data to the Tally Room data repository, This repository contains tidy data for state and local elections that I have found useful for my data analysis. Often this data is published in a less tidy format, and some bits of information can actually be hard to find online (such as lists of polling place addresses along with geocoding, which is necessary for mapping).
The recent Tasmanian election was very interesting and complex to follow, right down to the final preference distributions, but it also did a good job of translating votes into seats.
The House of Assembly was expanded in size from 25 to 35, and with that became a system more likely to produce a highly proportional result.
Now that the results have been finalised, it’s clear that this was a very proportional translation of votes into seats.
The distribution of preferences concluded today in the final three electorates: Bass, Braddon and Lyons, after Clark and Franklin concluded on Friday.
The final seat result was 14 Liberal, 10 Labor, 5 Greens, 3 Jacqui Lambie Network and 3 independents: David O’Byrne, Kristie Johnston and Craig Garland.
The race in Lyons was no longer in any suspense, and there was little in Bass, where Simon Wood was re-elected by less than 0.12 quotas over fellow Liberal Julie Sladden.
The count is nearing the end, with Clark and Franklin finishing their count today.
Quite a few candidates reached quotas today, with most of the unclear races now resolved.
It now looks likely that Craig Garland will defeat Liberal Giovanna Simpson for the final seat in Braddon, leaving the government with just 14 seats.
It also seems clear that Simon Wood will defeat Julie Sladden for the third Liberal seat in Bass, with no more Liberal votes to be distributed.
NSW Nationals MP Adam Marshall announced his retirement yesterday, which will force a by-election for his state seat of Northern Tablelands in the New England region of NSW.
Quite a lot of counting was conducted today, with Braddon particularly proving interesting.
Any remaining doubt about the party breakdown in Franklin and Lyons has now been cleared up.
The only seats left unclear are:
Bass
We had a lot more counting today in all five electorates.
At this point Clark is entirely clear.
There are two seats where the winning party is not completely clear:
The process of counting primary votes for the Tasmanian state election concluded yesterday, and we started to see preferences distributed in three of five electorates.
Tasmania doesn’t data-enter ballot papers like for most PR counts in Australia. Instead, each round of preference distributions is conducted and then reported successively.
This will likely mean that some seats that are not yet clear will become clear as the preferences distributions proceed.
Ben is joined by Sofia Ammassari from Griffith University to discuss the upcoming Indian federal election.
The world’s largest democracy is going to the polls in April, May and June, with Narendra Modi’s BJP looking set for a third term in office.
We discuss the electoral system, major political issues and the Modi government’s recent history.
There’s been a lot of discussion comparing the recent City of Brisbane council election to the 2022 federal election. Both elections saw a high Greens vote. At the federal election, the Greens won three seats in the inner city of Brisbane, something which exceeded expectations. Expectations were higher at the council election, with talk of the Greens winning up to six wards. The Greens did gain a swing, and won a second ward, but the eventual results didn’t quite meet expectations.