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Australian house prices end 2025 with a whimper

December 31, 2025 - 09:52 -- Admin

Cotality’s daily dwelling values index, which tracks home values across Australia’s five major capital city markets, has ended 2025 with momentum stalling. At the aggregate 5-city level, Cotality’s daily dwelling values index rose 0.5%, down significantly from the 1.0% growth recorded in November. As illustrated above, there was wide divergence between the major capital city

Beware a future house price crash

December 27, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

My latest podcast with Martin North at Digital Finance Analytics (DFA) explained why now is a particularly risky time to be utilising the federal government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers, given that the market is so expensive and risks following Canada and New Zealand with a severe housing correction. The long and short

Boxing Day Videos: 26 December 2025

December 26, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

  Peter Ziehan and the throttling of Venezuela and shadow oil fleets Sam Harris and Peter Ziehan on nation states DW on Trump and Venezuela Mearsheimer on oil Trump and Venezuela Yanis Varoufakis and Gillian Tett on demise of globalisation Rest is politics on the same ABC Australian Housing Morgans Australian economy Leith and Martin

Tokenisation of private assets is mostly regulatory arbitrage

December 26, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

If you listen to the masters of the financial universe, a revolution is upon us. In his 2025 letter, Larry Fink of BlackRock hailed tokenisation as the path to “democratisation.” The narrative is seductive: every asset—stocks, bonds, art, real estate—will live on a blockchain. Settlement becomes instant. Friction disappears. The gates of high finance are

Santa’s ESG Problem

December 25, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

Why your “Green” fund might just be a lump of coal wrapped in expensive paper. Santa Claus was the original ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) investor. He maintains a strict (checks it twice) database of global citizens, performs due diligence on their behaviour, and engages in negative screening (the Naughty List) and positive allocation (the

A 10-signal cluster-f*ck

December 25, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

From the Market Ear: Stretch-marks Eight straight green months. Hedge fund leverage above the 90th percentile. Sentiment stretched, cash at record lows, and strategists unanimously bullish. Ten indicators say the same thing: risk is too one-sided. Stretchy streak With the SPX edging back into positive territory for December, the monthly streak of positive closes remains

Christmas holiday links and media

December 25, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

The team at MacroBusiness thanks you for your support in 2025 and wishes you a Merry Christmas and a safe and happy New Year. We will be taking a brief hiatus over the Christmas and New Year period, with only sporadic posting, and will return on Monday, 5 January 2026. We look forward to keeping

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