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Does incumbency help minor parties in the Victorian upper house?

December 2, 2022 - 09:30 -- Admin

When people defend group voting tickets, they often talk about the benefits of electing small parties and having a more diverse parliament. I have addressed this by arguing for an abolition of regions and thus making it easier for small parties to win without preference manipulation. While it is true that group voting tickets have in recent times elected a more diverse upper house, it hasn’t been a sustainable process.

Why the vote shifted but the seat count didn’t

November 30, 2022 - 09:30 -- Admin

I bang on a lot about proportional representation on this website. Part of the argument for PR is about ensuring the representation of smaller parties and preventing the construction of false majorities, where a party that hasn’t won a majority of the vote still wins a majority of seats and claims a mandate on that basis. But there is another argument: that shifts in voting trends should be matched by shifts in seat trends.

Victoria 2022 – the next morning

November 27, 2022 - 08:15 -- Admin

Labor won a comfortable victory in yesterday’s election, losing only a handful of seats against an opposition that performed poorly.

By the latest count at the time of writing, Labor has won 49 seats and is ahead in another seven. The Coalition has won 24 seats and is ahead in three others (plus they will likely win the Narracan supplementary election). The Greens have won four seats.

Where are the seats still unclear?

Election day open thread

November 26, 2022 - 08:00 -- Admin

Polls have now opened for election day for the Victorian state election.

Please use this post to discuss today’s events, and also tonight’s results.

I won’t be posting a liveblog as I will be blogging at the Guardian, but I will be back with further analysis from Sunday.

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