Unlike the sick man of Asia, the US is rebuilding industry. Morgan Stanley. Our US Industrials analysts note that since 2018, the US has increased its share of global capex significantly — a notable reversal from the decline following China’s WTO entry in 1999. The US now accounts for roughly 30% of incremental global capex,
Back in October 2009, then Prime Minister Kevin Rudd publicly came out in favour of a ‘Big Australia’ following the release of what was then the latest Intergenerational Report. The plan was to rapidly expand Australia’s population growth to a level where it would hit 35 million by 2050. At the time, this prompted criticism
A couple of stories today make for some very unsettling reading about Kevin Rudd’s role in Australia’s pivot to China. The pivot comprises two halves. First, Rudd is failing in Washington. With Australia clearly on the outer of the Trump administration, we already know Rudd’s pre-appointment insults have played a passive role. Now, it appears
With the release of the latest U.S. employment figures last week, a still relatively robust American labour market in aggregate was revealed. In the minutes and hours that followed, analysts began to put together the pieces as to why it had remained so strong: non-market job creation. For those perhaps not familiar with the term,
At the recent federal election, the Albanese government was reelected with by far the best result for a first-term government in the nation’s post-World War 2 history. Such was the failure of the Opposition, led by Peter Dutton, to present an alternative case for its leadership to the Australian people that the Coalition now holds
Chinese inflation is sinking again. The CPI is stalled while the PPI gallops backwards. CPI: +0.1% yoy (+1.9% mom annualised*) in June vs. GS: -0.1% yoy, Bloomberg consensus: -0.1% yoy; May: -0.1% yoy (+0.5% mom annualised*). Food: -0.3% yoy in June (+6.2% mom annualised*) vs. -0.4% yoy in May. Non-food: +0.1% yoy in June (+1.1%
When Cotality starts talking about specific suburbs, you know the boom is not here yet. Almost 45% of all suburbs across Australia are now at a record high in value, according to Cotality’s latest Housing Chart Pack. The suburb-level analysis reveals the broad-based nature of the current housing upswing, with values across 44.8% of the 3,722 suburbs
The Market Ear on crushed volatility. The rocket fuel is running out. Kill volatility The race to reset VIX and MOVE has been strong, but don’t forget volatility is a mean reverting asset. Source: LSEG Workspace Natural floor Using options for directional plays is attractive again… irrespective if you are bullish or bearish. VIX at
DXY is up and EUR down. AUD doesn’t care because Chyna! Lead boots are not so persuaded. Oil sense, gold trouble. Metals scream Chyna! Even big miners! EM meh. Yields edged up. Stocks stalled. Chyna! is going to yawnulate again! And consolidate! No it isn’t. But we can enjoy the rally while it lasts. Oddly,
New record highs for Wall Street and Bitcoin as the latest US weekly initial jobless numbers weren’t as high as expected, giving USD another lift against most of the undollars. However, the Australian dollar rallied on more Chinese stimulus speculation while Lots of auctions in the US Treasury market saw 10 year yields dip lower