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Pig iron Bob returns from the grave

July 15, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

Does anybody recall “Pig Iron Bob”. Sir Robert Menzies’s pejorative moniker that he took to the grave? The name sprang from the Dalfram Dispute: In 1938, Australian waterside workers refused to load pig iron onto the ship Dalfram, destined for Japan, which was then at war with China. This was due to the workers’ concerns that

Iron ore superboom ahead?

July 15, 2025 - 11:30 -- Admin

Or is that behind? The market has flown the coop on yawnulus hopes. June was a better month for iron ore imports in China and a worse month for steel exports. I don’t expect the latter to hold up through H2. Meanwhile, yawnulus hopes are likely overblown. Goldman. Property market stimulus? In recent days, we

More immigration means less social housing

July 15, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

Last week, Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan posted the following video on Twitter (X) claiming that the government is “delivering more social homes in Pascoe Vale”. Australian governments have completely shattered the social contract. They’ve created one of the worst national housing crises anywhere in the entire world due to explosive rates of migration. They then

Aussie inflation collapses

July 15, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

The overpaid, underqualified, and incoherent RBA has done it again according to Goldman. Year-ended growth in the ABS monthly trimmed-mean CPI eased 40bps to 2.4%yoyin May, while the Melbourne Institute’s more timely trimmed-mean gauge eased10bps to 1.2%yoy in June. The MI gauge is more volatile than ABS but is pretty good in trend terms. It

Australian dollar to follow bitcoin

July 15, 2025 - 09:30 -- Admin

DXY and EUR have swapped places. AUD follows EUR. Lead boots plod on. Gold meh. Oil delusional. Metals reflation over. Big mining bear intact. EM meh. Junk no bueno. Curve steepening continues. Stocks hold on. We await some very powerful and very contradictory outcomes. Tonight, in the US inflation report, which may or may not

Macro Morning

July 15, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

While the NASDAQ just eked out another record high it was all eyes on the USD as markets prepare for the release tonight of the latest US CPI print where we should see if the Trump regime’s tariff crusade has had an effect on domestic inflation. European shares were off slightly as the EU mulls

Indian students drain money from Australia

July 15, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

International education is purported to be Australia’s fourth-largest export, valued by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) at $51 billion in 2023-24. The ABS estimates this stunning export figure by using “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia … supplemented by the addition of total expenditure on course fees”. The ABS incorrectly classifies all

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