Victoria’s finances are dire. The state has the nation’s lowest credit rating and the highest per capita debt. The major rating agencies have warned that unless Victoria gets its debt under control, it will face more ratings downgrades. Interest repayments on the state’s debt, already forecast to reach $10.6 billion annually by FY 2029, would
Ferrous madness continues as steel margins collapse. Scuttlbutt is nonsense. Miner Rio Tinto could be forced to build refiners for the Simandou ore in Guinea, Australia’s Financial Review reported on Sunday. The Simandou iron ore project, with an annual production capacity of 120 million metric tons, is expected first ore shipment in November, and put
Japan wants security of supply. Australia risks failing to capitalise on the unpredictability of US energy exports under President Trump because of uncertainty on the rules for its east coast gas market and the world’s toughest emissions limits for LNG, the head of a Tokyo-based energy think-tank has warned. Tatsuya Terazawa, chairman and chief executive
Australian dwelling values hit a new record high in August. The national final auction clearance rate also averaged 69% in August, the strongest result since February 2024. The bounce in dwelling values and auction clearance rates follows three 25 bp rate cuts delivered by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) since February, taking the official
Over the last 25 years, China has undergone an absolute meteoric rise as an industrial and economic power, inadvertently dragging Australia along for the ride. At the turn of the new millennium, China possessed the sixth-largest economy in the world, sandwiched between Italy and France in the rankings and possessing an economy just one-quarter the
The solution to Australia’s rental crisis is being played out in real time in Canada. Rents in Canada soared to a record high in response to the country’s largest immigration influx in history. Last year, the Canadian government imposed a three-year pause on population growth to relieve the strains on housing and infrastructure. In the
The NAB survey yesterday confirmed an economic pop. The top business conditions indicator returned to +7, the same level as in June, after reversing the two-point drop that occurred in July. At this point, the index is in line with its long-term average, indicating that companies believe the current state of affairs to be generally
Frank Chung at News.com.au has published a startling report on the huge increase in migrants attempting to claim asylum. “As of July 31, there were 98,979 people whose protection visa application had been denied but were yet to be deported while 27,100 were awaiting a decision, according to the Department of Home Affairs”, Chung reported.
DXY is flopping around like a dead fish. AUD was rejected once, but looks ominous for a breakout. CNY is helping. Gold paused. Oil is stuffed. Metals meh. Big bear returned. EM to the moon! Junk is fine. Yields reversed a bit. Stocks ATH. US inflation is tomorrow, so that probably accounts for yields. There
Please note this is the last Macro Morning/Afternoon report for a month or so as I’m off on holiday – good luck, markets always get juicy when I’m away! Markets are ignoring macro risks, geo-political risks, monetary risks – all the risks – and focusing on the fact that the US Federal Reserve will cut