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Articles from The Tally Room

WA 2021 – the not-so-level playing field for the upper house

March 8, 2021 - 14:51 -- Admin

Australia has a long history of electoral systems that slant the playing field in favour of particular ideological positions, favouring certain voters over others. Limiting the vote to people with property was common in the mid-19th century, and survived in some upper houses well into the 20th century.

It was also very common for rural electorates to be drawn with smaller populations than urban electorates, or for boundaries to be left unchanged as urban populations boomed.

WA 2021 – the shape of the swing

March 1, 2021 - 11:55 -- Admin

By now we all know to expect a landslide victory for WA Labor in this month’s state election. The polls predict it, and even the Liberal leader has acknowledged it.

But I want to put what might happen in context by looking at what happened in 2017, which seats flipped, and how that compared to previous elections.

There hasn’t been a single election since 1980 which has seen a swing anywhere near as big as we saw in Western Australia in 2017.

Queensland 2020 – new data showing change in method of voting

February 19, 2021 - 10:08 -- Admin

I spent some time over the summer compiling new datasets for some of the elections held in 2020. At the moment I have published the data for the Queensland and ACT elections as well as a dataset containing results from Queensland state by-elections from 1996 to 2020 and I’ve also updated my Tasmanian Legislative Council dataset to include 2019 and 2020. I am still planning to add datasets for the Northern Territory, Brisbane City Council and New Zealand, but they will have to wait.

WA 2021 – final candidates announced

February 14, 2021 - 09:14 -- Admin

Nominations closed in Western Australia on Friday, with a record number of candidates nominating in both houses.

463 candidates have nominated for the Legislative Assembly, up from 415 in 2017, which was itself a substantial record. 325 candidates have nominated for the Legislative Council, up from 302 in 2017. That was the first time more than 200 candidates had nominated for an election, but the trend has continued this year.