That’s it for 2020
Now that I’ve finished posting about all of the redistributions happening at the moment, I’ll be bringing down the shutters on this blog for the next month or so.
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Victorian state redistribution kicks off
Just as the South Australian redistribution finishes, and alongside a state redistribution in New South Wales and two federal redistributions, the starters pistol has been fired in the Victorian state redistribution.
The redistribution will be conducted based on the enrolment figures as of November 30, and each electorate must be drawn to be within 10% of the average based on that data. That average is 48,625 voters.
SA redistribution – final map and margins
The final boundaries for the South Australian state electoral redistribution were released in November, and I have just finished producing my new map of the electoral boundaries, as well as my estimates of the margins.
The map is shown below:
NSW redistribution – draft map and margins
It’s taken some time, but I have now finalised my map of the New South Wales draft electoral boundaries for the 2023 and 2027 state elections.
The boundaries were released in early November and I blogged about them at the time, but it’s taken me until now to finish my Google Earth map, which has allowed me to produce the interactive map below.
NZ 2020 – voting data shows how voters split their votes
New Zealand voters cast two votes, but (unlike in Australian federal elections) they are cast on a single piece of paper. This means it is possible to determine exactly how many voters who voted for each party on the list voted for a particular candidate in the electorate. This data was published for the 2020 election yesterday.
ACT 2020 – Friday morning update
Six days after the ACT election, we now have a fairly good sense of the shape of the Assembly. The Assembly will be led by an enlarged Labor-Greens majority, with Labor and Liberal both losing seats and the Greens gaining seats. There are two seats left in play.
NZ 2020 – the seats and the swings
The New Zealand electoral system tends to produce a flattening effect on the results. Most electorate results don’t really make a difference to the national outcome so the results analysis tends to just look at the national figures. But there is value in delving down and looking at the geography.
Podcast #45: ACT and NZ election results
Ben was joined by Jill Sheppard from the ANU to talk about the ACT election results, and to briefly touch on the New Zealand results.
ACT & NZ election night live
5:20pm – 3.8% of the vote has already been counted in New Zealand, thanks to the advance vote count starting this morning. Labour is currently polling just over 50% of the party vote.
5:00pm – Polls have just closed in New Zealand, and polls close in one hour in the ACT.
I’ll be primarily covering the ACT results but I’m planning some top-level analysis of the results in New Zealand.
ACT election day – open thread
Polls have just opened in the ACT election.
I’m not planning to do regular updates through the day. Please use this as an open thread.
I’ll see you at 5pm AEDT when I’ll kick off the liveblog.