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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 26, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Australia’s unemployment rate is currently tracking at a historically low 4.3% and the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest Statement of Monetary Policy forecasts that it will remain at around its current level until the end of 2027. The primary reason why Australia’s unemployment rate is so low is because government spending has driven a

The post The end of the government-funded jobs boom? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 20:56 Source

Jowett and O’Donnell (2012), scholars in the field of political communication and propaganda studies, define propaganda as “the deliberate, systematic attempt to shape perceptions, manipulate cognitions, and direct behaviour to achieve a response that furthers the desired intent of the propagandist.”

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 19:37 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 18:52 Source

Ukraine working with US to look for 'compromises that strengthen, not weaken us,' Zelenskyy says

Ukrainian president Volodymyr Zelenskyy insisted that “the core principle that kept Europe peaceful longer than at any other time in its history must be respected,” as borders should not be changed by force.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 17:37 Source

Following the Libs ‘Net Zero’ battle, ‘Net Gain’ will be the focus this week as Murray Watt struggles to get changes to environmental laws passed. Rex Patrick reports.

One of the changes in Minister Watt’s Environmental Protection and Biodiversity Conservation reform is the introduction of a requirement for a proposed project to pass a ‘net gain’ test.

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian equity markets are mixed in today’s session as Japanese markets return with all eyes on talks between China, Japan and USA in recent days but the newsflow and outcome has been vague at best. With the shortened trading week due to US Thanksgiving risk markets are effectively in a holding pattern.  Currency land was

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 15:54 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 15:06 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 15:00 Source

HOW DOES ONE GIVES HOPE AND HAPPINESS IN A WORLD WHERE LIFE TAKETH WHAT IT GAVE YOU IN THE FIRST PLACE? THIS HAS BEEN THE CENTRAL TRAUMA OF BEING HUMAN — OF BEING Homo sapiens.... AS WE DISTRACT OURSELVES WITH VARIOUS DEVICES FROM TIKTOK TO ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, WARS AND FAIRY TALES, THE CENTREPIECE OF OUR MORAL BEHAVIOUR OFTEN RELIES ON A RELIGIOUS DOGMA.

 

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 14:46 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 14:25 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 14:00 Source

I wrote on Monday that Australia’s house price boom appears to be losing momentum, as evidenced by the slowing growth of Cotality’s daily dwelling values index. Growth in Cotality’s 5-city aggregate index has slowed significantly over the past 10 days, driven by sharp decelerations across Sydney and Melbourne. The loss of momentum is also reflected

The post Australia’s two-speed housing boom appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 13:44 Source

It’s a dead possum. Somewhere in the ceiling. A very large dead possum, it smells like. Who ate a lot of chilli and beans.

There’s a guy coming with a chainsaw and a bucket tomorrow.

This deadline’s going really well I reckon.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 13:41 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has already slashed the official cash rate (OCR) by 3.0% this cycle, taking it to 2.5% from its recent peak of 5.5%. This reduction in the OCR has slashed mortgage rates, which, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodian Macro, are now tracking at around pre-pandemic levels. However,

The post Reserve Bank set to cut again and again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 12:49 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Like all things El Trumpo, nothing lasts very long. The Market Ear on the stock rebound. The crowd Once again they managed loading up on puts at local market lows. The crowd is the crowd for a reason….Chart shows put/call ratio vs SPY. Source: Tradingview Selling lows? Was Thursday tech capitulation? Shorting lows is painful,

The post Plunge Protection Team moves in appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 12:18 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 12:17 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Recent job advertisements and vacancy data, presented below by Shane Oliver from AMP, suggest that Australia’s labour market is gradually softening. Last week’s Q3 wage data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) also struck a soft tone, with private sector wage growth falling sharply, partly offset by strength in public sector wages: SEEK has

The post Australia’s job market continues to unwind appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 11:30 Source

When looking at a chart of U.S. household debt, one can’t help but be struck at how well American households have managed the post-Global Financial Crisis era. In December 2007, the point at which the U.S. National Bureau of Economic Research began the ‘Great Recession’, total household debt to GDP stood at 100.2% of GDP.

The post Trump pump coming to housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 11:28 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 11:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Never let the truth get in the way of a good price rally in the iron ore market. With another Chinese property rescue on the way, why not? Well, there is this. John Lam expects home prices to fall for at least another two years before a recovery in China’s residential property market can take

The post Iron ore to the moon! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 10:44 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Every cycle has a bellwether. Today it’s NVIDIA. We’re operating in a two-speed economy where the US consumer looks fatigued, while corporate AI spending is a rocket ship. Let me share how I’m thinking about NVIDIA: why the recent result mattered, why capex is the fulcrum, what the depreciation debate gets right and wrong, how

The post Still the most important stock in the universe appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 10:09 Source

All we had to do was survive until 25. Remember that jaunty little phrase? Now, here we are, limping to the end of a year in which we’ve experienced the highest unemployment numbers since 1994 and felt GDP contract like we were 10cm dilated. 

Living in New Zealand in 2025 has resembled living in a dying marriage. You can remember a time when things were good, but that feels so long ago now and you’re struggling to see a future. 

 

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 10:00 Source

With the Victorian government drowning in debt and facing further credit rating downgrades, the Labor state government is seeking to rein in costs. Recent infrastructure projects in Victoria have faced major cost blowouts, including the VNI West transmission line (doubling to $7.6–11.4 billion), the Suburban Rail Loop (announced to cost $50 billion, now more than

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 09:30 Source

How did a fundamental reform so critical to the national interest shift from the lunatic centre to the sensible fringe? Australia’s failed East Coast gas market is critical to the entire economy. Unless it is fixed, Australia will have permanent stagflation, industrial hollowing out, and a failing energy transition. The subject is hardly a fringe

The post Gas sensible fringe attacks lunatic centre appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 25, 2025 - 09:00 Source

A big surge in tech stocks led Wall Street higher with more Fedspeak that the December rate cut is firming, giving a general boost to risk markets. The USD was mixed against most of the majors with Euro falling back slightly alongside Yen while Pound Sterling firmed. Bond markets rallied alongside the chance of the

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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