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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Wall Street corrected sharply overnight led mainly by tech stocks as the NASDAQ fell back nearly 2% in response to a variety of concerns – mainly the looming spectre of stagflation – but also some disappointment around earnings at the orc-stronghold of Palantir. The USD is pushing higher against all the majors with the Canadian

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 08:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released housing approvals data for September, which recorded 16,360 trend approvals, a 0.9% increase from August. It was the strongest trend monthly approvals since February 2022. Even so, approvals in September were 3,640 (18%) behind the National Housing Accord’s five-year target of building 20,000 homes per month. In the

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Renew Economy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 07:20 Source
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Your Democracy Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 05:44 Source

 

..... an awkward introduction in Kyiv where Ambassador Whitaker (U.S. ambassador to NATO) and European leaders meet. Whitaker frames the U.S. role as selling weapons to NATO allies — who then supply them to Ukraine — under a “we won’t give things away, we’ll sell them” policy (the “PURL” initiative). He mentions roughly $2.5 billion in expected sales/packages.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, November 5, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Last week, I reported on the latest annual national accounts from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS), which showed that the total value of residential land in Australia increased by 7.0% during the 2024-25 financial year to a record $8.3 trillion. The next chart shows that total residential land values in Australia have skyrocketed from

The post Australia’s housing bubble is really a land bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 19:44 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 19:40 Source
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Your Democracy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 17:17 Source

On Monday, the charity Oxfam published a report on the growth of social inequality in the United States, titled “Unequal: The Rise of a New American Oligarchy.”

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 17:00 Source

I think I was eating a sandwich… No. No, it was a wrap. That’s right. I had some leftover rice and maple-baked salmon, and I decided to heat that up for lunch. And thus, for the forty-second year in a row, I missed the Melbourne Cup.

Normally I do it on purpose, because I’m weird. (I missed it when I was 19 and felt quite special, so I kept on missing it, each year, on purpose. But this year, I just forgot it was on.

Can confirm the tradies working on my roof didn’t stop either. They just kept bashing away at the job, for which I’m grateful.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Not much action on Asian markets in today’s session with local markets pivoting on the RBA meeting where as expected the boffins of Martin Place held fire again and put out most chances of further rate cuts in the future. This stabilised the Australian dollar somewhat, in comparison to other undollars which are seeing some

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 15:35 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 14:47 Source

Following last week’s CPI inflation shocker, financial markets abandoned hopes of further rate cuts. As expected, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) chose to hold the official cash rate steady at 3.60%, with its commentary turning hawkish. The Bank’s statement noted that “inflation has picked up”, with the 1.0% trimmed mean inflation print of 1.0%

The post RBA flags one more rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 14:00 Source

DXY has a juicy double bottom and is threatening to break out. AUD is under pressure. CNY too. Oil and gold are becalmed. The rising DXY is pressuring metals. Big miners ouch! EM is OK but will struggle if DXY rises. Junk is sending out a warning. Yields are still threatening to back up. Stocks

The post Australian dollar blowtorched by US dollar appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 13:55 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 13:43 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that the policy-relevant trimmed mean inflation surged by 1.0% in the September quarter to be 3.0% higher year-on-year—the top of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target band. Inflation pressures were broad-based, with the share of CPI items growing above 3% rising to 50% in Q3, up

The post More bad news for Aussie inflation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear with more. Weird market The S&P has stayed above its 50-day moving average for 128 straight days — one of the longest streaks ever, but at the same time more stocks are hitting 52-week lows than highs. Source: GS S&P Streaking We made it past the 5-months-in-a-row mark (which has been a

The post Tech bubble inflates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 12:58 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Goldman with the note. Government Shutdown: Much Closer to the End Than to the Beginning2 The partial shutdown of the federal government looks likely to last longer than any prior shutdown, mainly because there is little political pressure to end it. A greater share of the public holds Republicans and President Trump responsible for the

The post When will the US government shutdown end? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Alan Kohler is one of the few ABC journalists willing to openly and honestly discuss Australia’s immigration system, which is the fundamental driver of the nation’s world-beating population growth. The following video presentation by Kohler explained how the surge in international students in Australia is one of the key drivers of the nation’s high immigration-driven

The post Alan Kohler busts migration myths appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 11:36 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

I spend a lot of time asking one simple question: Can earnings keep doing the heavy lifting? Valuations are stretched at the top end of the market, and the AI investment cycle is still in full flight. Yet, for all the worry, the income statement remains surprisingly resilient. So far, the reporting season has two

The post 3Q Reporting season in full swing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Budget watcher Chris Richardson says that public service wage pressures are exceeding budget forecasts. “It would appear the wage pressure is beating the budget forecast and that was always the likely outcome”, he said. Richardson’s comments follow an AFR analysis of 16 financial reports by federal agencies, which revealed that 14 had unbudgeted increases in

The post Bureaucratic bloat punches hole in federal budget appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 10:43 Source

Stubbo solar farm.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 10:39 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Australia’s official unemployment rate was 4.5% in September, the highest reading since November 2021 and significantly above the Reserve Bank’s forecast contained in its August Statement of Monetary Policy. I have argued repeatedly that Australia’s labour market has been artificially propped up by the unprecedented boom in non-market sector jobs, funded by the taxpayer. Australia’s

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

RBA futures still see one more interest rate cut, but it’s six months away Meanwhile, Bloxo leads off the rate hike hysteria. Third-quarter inflation surprised sharply to the upside, and when a big surprise like this comes along, there are typically two possible responses. One is to dismiss the data as statistical noise that will

The post RBA rate hike hysteria begins appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The ferrous jaws must shut. And we have the perfect monster to do it. And it’s a moment that has the iron ore market holding its collective breath. The size and richness of the deposit means the start up at Simandou threatens to further tilt the power dynamics in a market already facing an uncertain demand future,

The post Pilbara killer closes jaws on iron ore appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, November 4, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Yet again Wall Street only rallied overnight due to tech giants as the AI bubble keeps the mirage of everything afloat. The USD is holding firm against all the majors although is making new ground against Kiwi and the Canadian Loonie while the Australian dollar is just holding on above the 65 cent level. Remember

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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