The Tally Room
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 09:30
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The three-candidate-preferred (3CP) count has become a topic of more interest in recent elections because of close races where the dynamic of who makes it into the top two can decide who wins. But it’s also an interesting statistic which can tell us more then is revealed by the two-party-preferred vote, while being a bit simpler than primary vote statistics. So for this post, likely my final post analysing the 2025 federal election, I look at who made the 3CP where, and explore the dynamics of three of the most common 3CP combinations seen across Australia. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 09:00
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There’s no greater example of the disconnect of stock markets with economic reality with Wall Street surging overnight to almost historic highs on the back of a worsening Q1 GDP print and signs that Q2 will show the number 1 economy is in a full recession. What is reflecting reality are currency markets with the The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 08:52
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These thoughts come to you from a bomb shelter underneath my hotel. My mobile tells me another one of Vladimir Putin’s ballistic missiles is headed our way. I tell you this not for the drama, but to remind you that this is no longer a novelty for millions of Ukrainians. |
MacroBusiness
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 08:00
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Credit ratings agency S&P notes that the combined budget deficits of Australia’s state and federal governments total $52 billion, while the net debt now exceeds 60% of the country’s GDP. This equates to a per capita deficit of $1,897 and a net debt of $45,183 per capita. Meanwhile, the combined net debt of the federal, The post Australia’s finances and economy are unsustainable appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Your Democracy
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 07:28
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Australia’s media establishment has a problem and it’s not just about declining revenues or shrinking newsrooms. It’s about a fundamental failure to understand where we live and what’s at stake in our own neighbourhood.
Australia’s media myopia
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Your Democracy
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 07:23
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Your Democracy
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 06:37
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Australia has sanctioned the Russian pop singer Shaman, along with 36 other individuals and seven organizations, according to the Australian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. The list, published on Thursday, also includes renowned actor and TV presenter Vyacheslav Manucharov. |
Your Democracy
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 05:54
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On this episode of The David Frum Show, David opens with a Memorial Day message about corruption and extortion in the Trump White House, including revelations about meme-coin pay-to-play schemes and foreign-financed golf courses. |
Your Democracy
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 05:37
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MacroBusiness
Friday, June 27, 2025 - 00:05
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When the pandemic arrived on Australia’s shores in early 2020, housing was already unaffordable for a majority of households, as illustrated by falling homeownership rates and declining rates of household formation. But like the joke that a Russian family friend used to describe his nation’s history, the events that would unfold for Australia’s housing market |
Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 19:06
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 19:05
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Your Democracy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 16:41
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US President Donald Trump has called for an end to the corruption trial of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, days after Israel and Iran reached a ceasefire. Trump showered his Middle Eastern ally with praise in a post on his Truth Social platform on Wednesday evening. “Bibi Netanyahu was a WARRIOR, like perhaps no other Warrior in the History of Israel,” he wrote. |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 16:30
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Equity markets outside of Japan in Asia are dragging their feet despite a weaker USD with the Trump regime putting more pressure on Fed Chair Powell not helping. The USD is failing to clawback lost ground with Euro, Swiss Franc and Yuan all making new highs against the “King” as the absence of any real The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 15:47
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 15:09
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 15:06
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 15:05
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 14:43
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 14:40
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 14:00
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The housing affordability situation in New Zealand is rapidly improving, unlike Australia. Turning to the rental market first, TradeMe reported a 3.1% annual decline in New Zealand asking rents in May, with all major markets experiencing declines. Stats NZ and the Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment (MBIE) also reported a sharp decline in national |
Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 13:48
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 13:35
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 13:30
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Below is a fascinating note from Goldman on US tariffs. The domestic corporate goods price index (CGPI) fell -0.2% mom in May, the first decline since August last year, due to lower gasoline prices. In yoy terms, the index decelerated sharply to +3.2% (April: +4.1%). Domestic prices for machinery-related categories showed a mixed picture of The post Tariffs absorbed by corporate price cuts? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 13:27
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Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 13:24
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MacroBusiness
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 13:00
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With a Labour government running an immigration-led labour market expansion economic model that intrinsically lowers living standards, the last thing beleaguered Australian households needed was the RBA to join the economic stomping. But that’s exactly what they’ve had, as a politicised RBA refused to canvass what the model means for inflation. Most pointedly, there won’t |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 12:30
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News.com.au reports that Victoria has relaxed its gas phase-out plan, allowing owner-occupiers to continue using gas heaters and reaffirming that businesses can keep gas running in existing commercial buildings: The state will still push ahead with reforms that will make all new homes and most new commercial buildings electric only from 2027. Premier Jacinta Allan |
MacroBusiness
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 12:00
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Amidst the ongoing debate surrounding the right level of migration for Australia, I thought it would be interesting to look into how population growth is playing out at a state based level. The piece will also look at which state has been doing the heavy lifting relative in terms of its population growth relative to The post Where is Australia’s population growing the most? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Thursday, June 26, 2025 - 11:59
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