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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 11:30 Source

With the release of the latest data from pollster RedBridge, it was revealed that the Coalition’s share of the primary vote had fallen to just 24% at a federal level. It’s worth noting that over 85% of this poll was conducted before the Coalition abandoned its commitment to ‘Net Zero’ by 2050. The extent to

The post Liberals fight for their political lives appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Bitcoin bust continues. The Market Ear. Keep it simple BTC continues trading inside the perfect trend channel that has been in place since the puke began. Note the reversals off the 21 day. Source: LSEG Workspace Make or break BTC has traded inside a huge range since last October. 80k is range lows (75k

The post Do we believe the golden rocket or the bitcoin bust? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Former federal Labor MP Craig Emerson has written an article in The New Daily slamming those arguing for lower, more sustainable levels of immigration. Emerson’s main argument is that a strong immigration program is necessary to prevent Australia’s population from ageing: Apart from pointing out the obvious that, other than First Nations people we are

The post Craig Emerson pumps Big Australia lies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 10:08 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Greens are right about gas. On Monday, the Greens signalled they would use that leverage to block any mechanism that “financially incentivises” gas production, and declared a levy on LNG exporters the only viable approach to rebalance the market without underwriting new development. Greens resources spokeswoman Steph Hodgins-May said Australia had ample supply and

The post Greens move to break the gas cartel appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 09:30 Source

We have warned repeatedly that the state of Victoria is on the path to financial ruin. Victoria has the highest per capita debt in the nation and the lowest credit rating. The Victorian Auditor‑General cautioned last month that debt, deficits, and infrastructure blowouts pose serious long‑term risks to the state’s financial sustainability. Victoria’s liabilities now

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Renew Economy Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 09:25 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw what could be the beginnings of a risk off mood as Wall Street was unable to get moving after the weekend, helped along by a dumping of crypto as Bitcoin made new lows. All eyes are still on the Fed’s December meeting where a rate cut is a given, but overnight saw some

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 07:07 Source

Just when you think it’s safe to dip back into forex markets, the Japanese bond shock returns. At least this time, it is yields, not currency. Helped by the dovish Fed. AUD can’t rise while Japan threatens bond meltdown. CNY remains supportive. Gold senses something is amiss. Metals mania continues. Miners firmed. EM is stalled.

The post Australian dollar bond bashed in Tokyo appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 06:55 Source

New polling reveals a clear and sustained decline in public approval of Trump and his policies that is already reshaping US electoral prospects, with significant implications for Congress and beyond.

There has been a significant and measurable decline in Americans’ assessment of President Trump.

 

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 05:44 Source

NATO members should find ways to be more aggressive towards Russia, the US-led bloc’s top military chief has said.

Admiral Giuseppe Cavo Dragone, chair of the NATO Military Committee, told the Financial Times in an interview published on Sunday that member states have been weighing options to respond to what he described as Russia’s “hybrid war.”

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Your Democracy Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 05:22 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, December 2, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Albanese government has already ignited the housing market with its 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers. Now housing minister Clare O’Neil is busy spruiking Labor’s Help to Buy shared equity scheme, which launches on 5 December 2025 and is designed to make home ownership more accessible by allowing eligible buyers to purchase a

The post Labor pours more fuel on Australia’s housing bonfire appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 20:25 Source

While prominent figures in the political and academic worlds bitterly acknowledge the failure of the European project they have always championed, Brussels institutions are multiplying decisions that reveal France's growing powerlessness to influence the European Union.

 

Europe Running Out of Breath: When Liberals Confess to the Failure of the European Dream

Article of General Interest

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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 19:23 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 19:17 Source
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THE BLOT REPORT Monday, December 1, 2025 - 17:32 Source

So, what is Australia doing for the future? Cutting funding to science, that’s what. Since the beginning of 2024, 800 staff have been cut from Australia’s leading scientific research agency, the Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), and another 350 are to be cut in 2026, which brings the total cuts to over 16% of the organisation’s staff. The Labor government has dealt the CSIRO some of the largest job cuts in the organisation’s history.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 16:00 Source

As a new trading month gets underway Asian equity markets are quite mixed across the region as Japanese inflation and Chinese manufacturing contraction concerns overshadow the potential invasion of Venezuela by the Trump regime. The USD is falling and gold rising among other undollars with chances of a cut by the Fed at its upcoming

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 14:44 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The weather vane of financial market interest rate forecasts has swung hawkish following stronger-than-expected CPI inflation prints. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, financial markets are now pricing a potential 25 bp hike in the cash rate in 2026: The Melbourne Institute’s trimmed mean inflation gauge, which rose solidly again in November,

The post RBA tipped to hike interest rates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:30 Source

It was MB that led APRA to adopt macroprudential tools designed to lean against the cycle and aid monetary policy. Alas, like everything else in the Australian political economy these days, APRA’s latest round of macroprudential tightening is purely performative, or fake, achieving the opposite. Back in the 2015 lending bubble, MB forced AHPRA to

The post Fake macroprudential green lights property bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:29 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:14 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:12 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 13:00 Source

The Market Ear kicks us off. Welcome weekend CTAs swing wildly, risk appetite collapses, tech suffers its largest outflows in 4 years, and AI finally shows up in real earnings. Here are the 10 charts we’re watching this weekend — from market panic to full-stack AI dominance. 1 – CTAs What is the next CTA

The post Stocks bull roarer into 2026 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Statistics New Zealand released its filled jobs survey on Friday, which revealed that October filled jobs were unchanged. However, as illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the October data incorporated downward historical revisions, with the level of employment in September around 0.2% lower. As a result, hiring was a mere 0.1% higher in

The post Why young Kiwis are escaping to Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 12:00 Source

China isn’t growing. Just ask the PMIs. Manufacturing. Services. Combined. This economy is pancaked as its property sector implodes. China uses various tricks to exaggerate GDP: focusing on the supply side, failing to write down investments, and underestimating the GDP deflator. All of these overestimate growth that is not there. Now it is going to

The post The Chinese economy hasn’t grown in two years appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:35 Source

Newly declassified files show President John F. Kennedy’s alleged assassin Lee Harvey Oswald was monitored for years by James Angleton, the CIA’s infamous veteran counterintelligence chief, right up until the President’s death.

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MacroBusiness Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The latest ABS Labour Force survey painted a deeply mixed picture of the job market. On the one hand, this single print presented a compelling picture: a substantial increase of 42,200 new jobs, all full-time in net terms, and a robust growth in hours worked. However, a longer view reveals a decidedly more challenging picture. As

The post Australia’s hidden labour market recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, December 1, 2025 - 11:17 Source
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