Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary

A New Hope

January 28, 2026 - 21:25 -- Admin

Ever since it became evident that Trump was likely to be re-elected, I’ve been among the most pessimistic of commentators on the likely course of US politics (most recently here for example). I’ve also been nowhere near pessimistic enough. I assumed that Trump would follow the course of dictators like Putin and Orban, gradually eroding freedom and making his own power permanent. Instead, he’s gone most of the way inside a year.

Macro Afternoon

January 28, 2026 - 16:30 -- Admin

Asian share markets are generally higher but all the activity has been localised here on a very hot CPI print that has all but guaranteed an interest rate rise at the RBA February meeting. This kept the Australian dollar elevated but that’s more about the “Sell America” trend as all undollars are dumping the “King”