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Articles from MacroBusiness

Gold in them thar politics

September 5, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Goldman says buy gold. Since the spring, markets have started to transition from tariff uncertainty into tariff reality, which has helped stabilize economic activity indicators and reduced consensus (and our own) probability of a US recession (though it remains above the historical average). However, we believe important risks remain that reinforce the diversification benefits of

Get ready for another Sydney house prices boom

September 5, 2025 - 13:00 -- Admin

Cotality’s final auction clearance rates for August suggest that Sydney, in particular, is headed for another price boom. Sydney’s final auction clearance rate averaged 72% in August, which was the city’s strongest result since February 2024 (73%). Sydney’s final auction clearance rate in August was also the strongest in the nation, easily beating Melbourne’s (68%)

Bearish signals

September 5, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear first. Nervous bonds Biggest 2 day pick up in bond volatility since the start of the Liberation Day “chaos”. Meanwhile, the 10 year is doing very little. Source: LSEG Workspace The MOVE Bond volatility; Two months of volatility decline is gone in two sessions. MOVE vs VIX gap is suddenly very wide.

Lock in a forever rental crisis

September 5, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

When it comes to the Albanese government and the issue of housing, there are two very different approaches taken. There are boasts about the government’s 1.2 million new home target and flashy social media posts about the various demand-side interventions that the government is undertaking. On the other hand, there is the data coming out

Aussie household income remains in deep hole

September 5, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Real per capita household disposable income is arguably the single best measure of per capita living standards. OECD data showed that in the decade to the March quarter of 2025, Australia has experienced the weakest growth in real per capita household disposable income out of major English-language speaking nations Australia’s real per capita household disposable

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