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Aussie interest rate debate enters Twilight Zone

April 15, 2024 - 12:30 -- Admin

Challenger chief economist Jonathan Kearns believes Australia will be the last advanced nation to cut interest rates because the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) didn’t lift them as high as other nations. “Monetary policy was less tight in Australia than it was in other countries, and so therefore the disinflationary impetus coming from monetary policy has

Canada and Australia caught in same economic trap

April 15, 2024 - 11:30 -- Admin

In the year ending September 2023, Australia’s population increased by a record 660,000 people, owing to a record high net overseas migration of 549,000. In percentage terms, Australia’s yearly population growth rate of 2.5% was the highest since 1952. Anyone living in Australia is aware of the implications, with the country dealing with the biggest

Chinese urbanisation collapses

April 15, 2024 - 11:00 -- Admin

I made the point last week in responding to local propagandists that Chinese urbanisation was on the verge of collapse: This is a simple case of demographic arithmetic, but the local’s livelihood prevents them from seeing the oncoming truck, so here are a few more charts from Dragonomics that make the same point. The recent

Israel, Iran and oil

April 15, 2024 - 10:49 -- Admin

Goldman with the note. While the geopolitical situation and the potential Israeli response remain highly uncertain, we provide early thoughts on how Iran’s attack on Israel may impact the oil market in Q&A format. Q1. What are the key factors driving any potential reaction in oil prices to the events over the weekend? The medium-run

Aussie consumer buckles anew

April 15, 2024 - 10:00 -- Admin

The Westpac credit card tracker makes the point. The Westpac Card Tracker Index* declined 1.9pts over the two weeks to April 6. At 133.7, the latest Index read is only slightly above the low seen at the start of March. While quarterly growth momentum is still positive, and materially improved on the weakness seen around

Macro Morning

April 15, 2024 - 09:00 -- Admin

War jitters caused Wall Street to pull back sharply on Friday night with continued volatility from weekend events likely to spill over to Asian markets on the open this morning. The USD rebounded to higher strength levels, crushing other undollars – including gold for the first time in weeks – while bond yields pulled back

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