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Bearish signals

September 5, 2025 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear first. Nervous bonds Biggest 2 day pick up in bond volatility since the start of the Liberation Day “chaos”. Meanwhile, the 10 year is doing very little. Source: LSEG Workspace The MOVE Bond volatility; Two months of volatility decline is gone in two sessions. MOVE vs VIX gap is suddenly very wide.

Lock in a forever rental crisis

September 5, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

When it comes to the Albanese government and the issue of housing, there are two very different approaches taken. There are boasts about the government’s 1.2 million new home target and flashy social media posts about the various demand-side interventions that the government is undertaking. On the other hand, there is the data coming out

Aussie household income remains in deep hole

September 5, 2025 - 10:00 -- Admin

Real per capita household disposable income is arguably the single best measure of per capita living standards. OECD data showed that in the decade to the March quarter of 2025, Australia has experienced the weakest growth in real per capita household disposable income out of major English-language speaking nations Australia’s real per capita household disposable

Macro Morning

September 5, 2025 - 09:00 -- Admin

No big surprises overnight as the expected softening of the US jobs situation was confirmed by the weekly initial jobless claims and private ADP prints, giving a clear run to a September rate cut by the Fed. Of course, a worsening situation for middle/lower America is gold for Wall Street which rallied nearly 1% across

China sends missile, Wong sends email

September 5, 2025 - 08:30 -- Admin

Canberra is in the grip of the most cowardly pack of no-hopers anybody can remember. Earlier this year, Australian passenger planes were targeted by live missiles in the Tasman Sea with no warning. The moment a Virgin Airlines pilot raised the alarm about a live-firing exercise by Chinese warships in the Tasman Sea can be

Kiss goodbye to another rate cut

September 5, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Financial markets have extinguished hopes of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivering a rate cut at the September monetary policy meeting. Their pessimism is warranted given the stronger-than-expected recent run of data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). The trimmed mean CPI inflation indicator for July rose materially, increasing by 0.6% to 2.7%.

Australia’s GDP rebound masks deeper economic problem

September 5, 2025 - 00:05 -- Admin

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Wednesday released the national accounts for Q2 2025, which revealed stronger-than-expected growth. Analysts had tipped a 0.4% rise in headline GDP, and the RBA had forecast 0.5% growth. However, a 0.6% rise was recorded, led by household spending. Household spending per capita rose by 0.5% in Q2, the

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