Blogotariat

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xkcd.com Monday, October 27, 2025 - 11:00 Source

It comes with a certificate of authenticity, which comes with a certificate of authenticity, which comes with a...

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The Tally Room Monday, October 27, 2025 - 10:30 Source

If there is a substantial expansion of the size of the federal Parliament, it will be a rare event. It has only happened twice before since federation, and hasn’t happened at all in my lifetime. About two thirds of Australian voters hadn’t cast their first vote before the last expansion in 1984.

At that year’s election, the House of Representatives was expanded from 125 to 148, adding 23 new electorates across the five mainland states. Almost every seat was redrawn, and the map looked quite different aftwards.

So with something so rare, how do we know how it would likely play out?

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MacroBusiness Monday, October 27, 2025 - 10:30 Source

The Market Ear says blowoff. NASDAQ – doing what it does best NASDAQ continues trading inside the perfect trend channel that has been in place since May, continuing to do what it does best: Consolidating, breaking above it, ripping higher. Buying the 50 day remains simple but profitable… Source: LSEG Workspace SPX loves it SPX

The post Blowoff or bust? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, October 27, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The ferrous market is in a period of comprehensive excess that cannot last. Even AI can read a broken ferrous market now. Record-high Chinese iron ore imports in recent months create a disconnect with domestic steel production trends. While import volumes surge, steel mill output faces restrictions from profitability constraints and government-imposed production limits, indicating

The post Iron ore piles up in China appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, October 27, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Another gas reservation flag has gone up the pole today. The Albanese government is ­considering introducing an energy policy spanning the entire east coast that prioritises volumes of gas to the domestic market through a baseline credit system in a potential fix to ease fears of local supply shortfalls. Officials from the federal government have

The post Albo’s naked gas gambit appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, October 27, 2025 - 09:20 Source

As I said last time, Anthony Albanese has succeeded in making Labor the natural party of government in Australia, relegating the rightwing opposition to the role of “B team” and marginalizing the Greens and progressive independents. The cost has been the abandonment of Labor’s historic role as the “party of initiative”, pushing against the conservative “party of resistance”. Indeed, the reverse is now closer to the truth

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John Quiggin Monday, October 27, 2025 - 09:16 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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MacroBusiness Monday, October 27, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Friday night saw the release of the latest inflation figures in the US which came in relatively soft given the tariff push on consumers and importers, but it opens the door for a probable “safe” cut from the Fed in its upcoming meeting. Further talks between the Xi and Trump regimes on rare earth exports

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, October 27, 2025 - 08:00 Source

Late last week, The AFR published two articles by the same author on the same day that neatly encapsulated Australia’s housing farce. First, reporter Luke Kinsella noted that all states were falling short of their agreed National Housing Accord targets, which nationally “fell 66,000 homes short of the 240,000 required to keep pace with the

The post The great housing contradiction appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Monday, October 27, 2025 - 07:33 Source

Last week, the vassal governor of Australia Anthony Albanese went to the imperial court in Washington and paid tribute to King Trump in the form of a “landmark deal” for joint mining of Australian rare earth deposits. The goal is to break China’s stranglehold on these critical minerals.

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Your Democracy Monday, October 27, 2025 - 06:55 Source

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Sunday that he anticipates that China will revive substantial purchases of US soybeans for several years and will delay its expanded licensing regime for rare earths by a year and re-examine it.

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Your Democracy Monday, October 27, 2025 - 05:44 Source

 

Toward the end of World War II in Europe, the US government pondered a plan to not only demilitarize but also disintegrate and deindustrialize postwar Germany.

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MacroBusiness Monday, October 27, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Last week saw Australia’s housing minister, Clare O’Neil, launch a propaganda campaign to distract voters from Labor’s housing failures. First, O’Neil tweeted that Labor that “for the first time in a decade, new homes are being built faster”, and that Labor is making homes more affordable by building more of them. O’Neil’s propaganda came as

The post Labor’s ‘Big Australia’ is locked and loaded appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 20:00 Source
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Your Democracy Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 17:08 Source

Independent candidate Catherine Connolly, a long-time advocate of Irish military neutrality and a critic of NATO’s expansion and EU militarization, has won Ireland’s presidential election in a landslide.

The ballot count was still underway when Connolly’s main rival, Heather Humphreys, conceded defeat after early tallies showed her trailing by a wide margin. Preliminary results put Connolly ahead by 63% to 29%.

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Club Troppo Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 16:48 Source

The latest figures on intimate partner femicide show much of a recent rise in men killing women has now been reversed, at least temporarily. Prologue: Violence against women is a bad thing, and it’s still bad even when, as the … Continue reading →

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MacroBusiness Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 11:59 Source

By Lucinda Jerogin, Associate Economist at CBA: It was a quiet week in Australia with a dearth of data releases. News offshore was dominated by trade headlines as US-China tensions flared and subsequently cooled. The US Government shut down continued. Next week locally all eyes will be on the all-important quarterly CPI ahead of the

The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 08:59 Source

DXY is not going away. AUD is at the top of its recent range. CNY has given up the ghost. Gold is still vumnerable in my book. AI metals to the moon. Rio is the chosen one. EM breaking higher. Junk is back at the core but not the periphery. Yields stalled on oil. Stocks

The post Major bank: Australian dollar to keep rising appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 07:19 Source

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Your Democracy Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 06:55 Source

 

At a time in our history when the US tells us that Australia is valued mainly for the sacrifice we are expected to make in joining its strategy against China, our Prime Minister is undermined by intelligence that is incapable of dealing with the bifurcated risk now emerging starkly.

 

Mike Gilligan

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Your Democracy Sunday, October 26, 2025 - 05:44 Source

Venezuela's President Nicolás Maduro has accused the US of "fabricating a new war", after it ordered the world's largest warship to be sent to the Caribbean.

The USS Gerald R Ford can carry up to 90 aircraft and its deployment marks a massive increase in US firepower in the region.

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Your Democracy Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 21:23 Source

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THE BLOT REPORT Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 12:48 Source

The first car I ever drove was my parents’ red and white EH Holden station wagon in which I started to learn to drive, with my father partly terrified in the front passenger’s seat. It had a radio which, when I could, was mostly tuned to whichever AM radio station played the music I liked (Beatles, Rolling Stones, and suchlike). My first car was a white second hand Mazda 1300 with whitewall tyres and rust in the bottom of all the doors. It had a very tinny radio (worse than that in the EH) but no cassette player.

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Renew Economy Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 10:54 Source
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Your Democracy Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 08:17 Source

In Asian media this week: Trump says he spoke to Modi but India denies call took place. Plus: Japan’s new coalition a shift to the right; Timor Leste finally gets seat at regional table; Life worse than death on Myanmar scam farm; Prabowo – control, populism and diminished accountability; Sri Lanka suffers from world’s worst plastics spill.

 

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Your Democracy Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 06:55 Source

Ukraine’s European backers made no official statements on granting Kiev access to long-range weaponry following a meeting in London on Friday.

Ukraine’s Vladimir Zelensky, NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer and his Dutch and Danish counterparts Dick Schoof and Mette Frederiksen attended the meeting devoted to additional military support for Kiev.

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Your Democracy Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 05:44 Source

There was – or seemed to be – hope for peace for a brief moment. And how deceptive it turned out to be. I was among those cautiously optimistic when we were told just over a week ago that the presidents of Russia and the US, Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump, had a long and useful phone conversation and were planning to meet in person again.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 00:20 Source

The Albanese government launched its 5% deposit scheme for first-home buyers at the start of the month. The First Home Guarantee scheme allows an uncapped number of first-home buyers to purchase a home using only a 5% deposit, provided they do not exceed the generous price caps illustrated in the following table. For every home

The post 5% deposit scheme lights match under house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Saturday, October 25, 2025 - 00:05 Source

International Reading: The Mother of All Corruption: Is $300 Million the Largest Bribe In Human History ?: White House releases donor list for Trump ballroom amid East Wing demolition – The Hill White House ballroom update: Trump raises price by $100 million – News Week Beyond Meat is falling back to earth after rallying 1,300%

The post Weekend reading and MB media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, October 24, 2025 - 20:48 Source
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