Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population data is a lottery. The population figures in the Q3 and Q4 2024 national accounts releases (here and here) diverged significantly from the official quarterly population data issued a few weeks later. Therefore, population numbers implied in the quarterly national accounts (and other releases) can and do get

The post Australia’s population growth rebounds appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 72
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The fix is in for Australian gas. The deeply corrupt Albanese government is undertaking a review of gas policies with both hands tied behind its back, having already ruled out the only policy that makes sense: retrospective reservation for QLD gas exporters. What we are seeing instead, again, is performative democracy in which everyone pretends

The post Build the LNG import terminals! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 209
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Yesterday’s GDP figure has markets very upset. There is nothing like a strong economy to kill overvalued securities prices these days. They needn’t fear. The Aussie consumer is not “back”. Yesterday’s GDP was boosted by one-offs, and the gas cartel will take care of the rest of the year. Household consumption grew 0.9% in the

The post The Aussie consumer is not “back” appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 75
The Tally Room Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:42 Source

There’s been a lot of talk about expanding the size of Australia’s federal parliament in the last few years. Some of us have been talking about this for a lot longer, but it has seemed feasible since Labor took power in 2022.

Read more Views: 82
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:40 Source

Australia’s home building sector appears to be one giant contradiction. On one hand, Australia possesses the strongest level of new dwelling completions per capita in the Anglosphere and one of the highest levels in the entire developed world. In fact, Australia has been in an absolute ascendancy over its Anglosphere rivals for the last 40

The post The collapse of Australian home building appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 82
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:20 Source

The ferrous complex continues its great levitation. At least, iron ore does. Steel is stuffed. Ask yourself, why are steel prices tumbling when production is shut in for Beijing’s warmongering parade? Too much steel, with more coming when the parade ends, as the last of the margin expansion of the past few months is devoured.

The post Iron ore bears gather appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 79
Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:14 Source
Read more Views: 163
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

This week, the Albanese government announced that the permanent migrant intake would remain at 185,000 places in 2025-26, with 132,200 places set aside for ‘skilled migrants’. When the 20,000 humanitarian intake and 3,000 Pacific Engagement Visas are added, Australia’s permanent migrant intake has effectively been set at 208,000. It is important to point out that,

Read more Views: 75
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 09:30 Source

The following chart from Justin Fabo at Antipodean Macro shows that Australia’s productivity growth has lagged other advanced nations since 2018. Wednesday’s Q2 national accounts release confirmed that the nation’s productivity remains stillborn, with non-farm labour productivity rising 0.3% in Q2 but was slightly lower over the year and remained around 2017 levels.   While

Read more Views: 77
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Overnight saw the USD fall back as the latest jobs opening and Fed Beige Book painted a further slowing picture of the US economy as the Trump regime’s sales taxes, grift and general lack of ability in operating a modern government continue to take a hold. Wall Street liked it nonetheless as did bond markets

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 78
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 06:49 Source

DXY is down. AUD is up, though the trend is a mess. CNY down. Gold to the moon! Metals mixed. Big bear is still in there. EM yawn. Junk still trending better. Whoa! US short-end yields are breaking down, long sticky. Feeding stocks. So much for bond vigilantes. We’ve been JOLTED instead. The number of

The post Australian dollar loves unemployed Americans appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 77
Your Democracy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 04:44 Source

 

Read more Views: 219
Your Democracy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 04:04 Source

 

That’s one of the silliest things about the way rightists are always babbling about how we need to protect our way of life from immigrants or Islam or “the trans agenda” or whatever. They’re beginning with the assumption that this train wreck of a society is worth saving at all.

 

Western Civilization Is Not Worth Saving

Read more Views: 143
Your Democracy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 04:00 Source

Russian presidential aide Yury Ushakov said on Wednesday he hoped US President Donald Trump was joking when he suggested the leaders of Russia, China, and North Korea were “conspiring” against Washington.

Trump posted the claim on Truth Social during a military parade in Beijing marking the World War II victory over Japan. Russian President Vladimir Putin was in attendance alongside Chinese leader Xi Jinping and North Korea’s Kim Jong-un. 

Read more Views: 85
MacroBusiness Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The 2025 federal election campaign saw both sides of politics cynically propose policies to pump homebuyer demand and prices. Both sides also explicitly stated that they want to see Australian house prices rise at a ‘sustainable rate’ from already record-high levels. Neither side genuinely wants to “solve” the housing affordability crisis because that would require

The post Why Australian politicians pump house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 119
Renew Economy Thursday, September 4, 2025 - 00:01 Source
Read more Views: 154
George Monbiot Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 21:46 Source

The election of Zack Polanski as Green Party leader could be the moment our political drought begins to break.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian  3rd September 2025

Read more Views: 296
Renew Economy Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 18:24 Source
Read more Views: 105
John Quiggin Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 17:13 Source

The purpose of this submission is to respond to the National Electricity Market Wholesale Market Settings Review Draft Report, released in August 2025. The purpose of this submission is to argue that the ad hoc interventions seen so far should be replaced by centralised long-term planning of investment in both generation and transmission.

Read more Views: 281
MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Asian share markets are seeing a broad selloff as the riskoff mood in the wake of bond sales continues to dominate the marketplace as we await Friday’s NFP print from the US. The USD is lifting slightly after being against a wall of selling against the majors but all eyes on are US Treasuries as

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 80
Renew Economy Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 15:24 Source
Read more Views: 248
Renew Economy Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 15:00 Source
Read more Views: 254
Renew Economy Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 14:54 Source
Read more Views: 82
Your Democracy Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 14:42 Source

Danny criticizes U.S. and Western policy toward Russia and Ukraine, framing it as unrealistic "script-writing" divorced from battlefield realities.

Kaya Callis praised Trump’s diplomacy but argued Putin rejects peace, insisting Russia seeks war.

The speaker counters that Russia has offered peace on its own terms, while the West demands concessions from a weaker position it would never accept if roles were reversed.

Read more Views: 107
Renew Economy Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 14:12 Source
Read more Views: 106
MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 13:30 Source

New Zealand’s economy and housing market remain in a funk. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s Kiwi-GDP nowcasting model suggests that the nation’s GDP may have declined in Q2 2025 by 0.3%. New Zealand’s labour market is also suffering its weakest conditions in a decade outside

The post New Zealand desperately tries to reignite house prices appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 243
MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 13:00 Source

As they say, a gas particle gathers no moss. Do they say that? No. But you catch my drift. Global markets for energy are dynamic, and today brings a new development of scale, via AlJazeera. Russia and China have agreed to move forward with a new gas pipeline during Russian President Vladimir Putin’s trip to

The post Suddenly, Australia will be better off with imported gas appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 179
MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Aussie economy has passed the zenith of its historic government spending splurge as public investment peaks, according to Westpac. Today’s data showed that public investment was the primary drag. As the pipeline of public investment projects turns lower, this is feeding through into weaker activity. This quarter new public investment declined 3.4%qtr to be

The post Aussie growth craters with government spending appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 82
MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 12:04 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the national accounts for Q2 2025, which revealed stronger than expected growth. Analysts had tipped a 0.4% rise in headline GDP, and the RBA had forecast 0.5% growth. However, a 0.6% rise was recorded, led by household and government spending. Headline GDP grew by 1.8% over the 2024-25

The post Recession ends with GDP boost appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 229
MacroBusiness Wednesday, September 3, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Recently here at MacroBusiness, I explored how during the industrial revolution the investors in the stocks of American railroad companies did not see the huge returns that one might have expected, despite railroads dramatically transforming and boosting the U.S. economy. The piece posed an important question regarding the rise of AI: it’s entirely possible to be

The post Will data centres bleed money? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 217

Pages