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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 07:19 Source

Donald Trump, the Republican candidate for US president in the upcoming November election, has tapped JD Vance as his running mate.

The announcement was made on the first day of the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 07:00 Source

The higher education lobby, politicians, economists, and policymakers continually tout that international students are a vital export industry for Australia, generating $46 billion of export earnings for the nation. This fantastical export figure is published by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and is derived by combining “an average spend estimate from Tourism Research Australia …

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 06:51 Source

DXY held on last night but is under pressure: AUD pulled back: With North Asia: Commods were hosed: Miners too: EM flamed out: But junk is offering risk marginal support: Amid the bull steepening: Which is aiding stocks: It still looks to me like AUD can go higher. Fed cuts loom, perhaps as early as

The post Australian dollar to boom and bust appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 06:19 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 06:19 Source
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John Quiggin Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 06:13 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 03:01 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 03:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 16, 2024 - 00:05 Source

The Australian Financial Review’s latest quarterly property survey has found that property experts believe that the supply of new homes is being ‘choked’ by high interest rates and construction costs, making the national target of 1.2 million new homes over five years unachievable. High construction costs are among a range of factors that have pushed

The post Experts: Australia’s housing shortage to worsen appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 21:56 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 21:56 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, July 15, 2024 - 17:33 Source

The trouble – as you may remember me saying on numerous occasions – with any half-decent conspiracy theory is that it’s impossible to use facts to counter it because any fact that contradicts it has clearly been contaminated by those people who are behind the conspiracy. So in the aftermath of the bullet that whistled…

The post Well, At Least We Know That Lee Harvey Oswald Was Acting Alone! appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 17:00 Source

The post Trump pot shot reaction on risk markets has been mixed with the USD climbing while bond markets have sold off slightly with a 5 point immediate rise in 10 year Treasuries. Today’s Chinese GDP print came in lower than expected while the CCCP has its Third Plenum meeting – not good timing! The

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 15:32 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, July 15, 2024 - 15:32 Source

By Kerri Lynn The bystander shot at the Trump rally was Corey Comperatore. From what we know of Corey he was a decent person: “Corey Comperatore, 50, was a family man who loved to fish. He worked at a plastics manufacturing company, volunteered as a firefighter and went to church.” What of the listed 5…

The post The bystander appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 15:23 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 14:43 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 14:40 Source
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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, July 15, 2024 - 14:09 Source

His entire set of teeth, and gums, must be gold plated by now. Former British Prime Minister Tony Blair has decided to let the world, and more specifically Sir Keir Starmer’s freshly elected government, in on a secret: that artificial intelligence is inexorably majestic, glorious and sovereign. Embrace it and fob off the doomsdayers. Importantly…

The post Tony Blair: Profiteer and Emissary of Artificial Intelligence appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 14:00 Source

It is becoming increasingly clear that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s decision to hold the official cash rate at a highly restrictive 5.5% is a mistake. The March quarter national accounts showed that New Zealanders are suffering from a deeper per capita recession, with real per capita GDP down a hefty 4.3% from the

The post Reserve Bank’s recession steepens and deepens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 13:30 Source

Neoliberal economist Richard Holden has called on Australia to cut its company tax rate after new figures from the OECD shows that Australian companies pay the second-highest effective rate in the world. The OECD showed that Australian companies paid an effective average tax rate of 28.5% on their income in 2022, higher than the OECD

The post Cutting company taxes would be a grave mistake appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 13:00 Source

Goldman with the note. The tactical backdrop looks increasingly friendly for risk and negative for the Dollar with further signs of a benign slowdown in US growth, gradual disinflation (reinforced by the June CPI report this week), and a relatively light data calendar ahead. In our view, this sets up for additional downside pressure on

The post Major bank: Australian dollar rally hamstrung appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 12:57 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 12:30 Source

Some minor good news for gas today: Snowy Hydro has struck a 25-year deal for the storage of gas, providing a government-backed contract to underpin an expansion of the east coast’s biggest gas storage plant. The agreement with the Iona gas storage facility in Victoria underscores Canberra’s expectations that the fossil fuel will remain part

The post Gas cartel rorts Aussies again and again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, July 15, 2024 - 12:24 Source

By Denis Hay Introduction Australia’s federal politicians often liken the national economy to a household budget, perpetuating myths about deficits and surpluses. This comparison misleads the public about how a sovereign government functions. Unlike a household, Australia’s government, as the issuer of its own currency, operates under different financial principles. This article explores the truths…

The post Understanding Federal Government Deficit and Surplus appeared first on The AIM Network.

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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 12:00 Source

Harry Ottley, Economist at CBA, has written the below excellent report explaining how government-aligned jobs such as those related to the National Disability Insurance Scheme (NDIS) has driven almost all of Australia’s job growth. As a result, the labour market appears to be somewhat disconnected from broader economic outcomes. Key Points: The labour market is

The post Why Australia’s unemployment rate is so low appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 11:40 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, July 15, 2024 - 11:30 Source

There are good bubbles, such as the periodic tech booms that suck in capital and supercharge innovation. There are bad bubbles, such as those in real estate, which only temporarily inflate wealth and leave a destructive load of bad debt when they pop. And there are stupid bubbles, which add nothing much at all, then

The post Australia’s hilarious bank bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 11:06 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, July 15, 2024 - 11:06 Source
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