By Trent Saunders, economist at CBA The RBA left the cash rate on hold at 3.60%, as expected, but the accompanying statement carried a more hawkish tone. We crystallised some of the upside risk to inflation in our forecasts this week, upgrading our estimate for trimmed-mean inflation in Q3 from 0.7% to 0.8%/qtr. This uplift
If you want bona fide proof that the Australian Treasury has become a propaganda arm of the federal government, look no further than its modelling of the impact of Labor’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers. Under Labor’s First Home Guarantee scheme, which came into effect on Wednesday, almost all first home buyers can
International Reading: Trump Cuts Funding to 16 Blue States That Didn’t Vote for Him – New Republic Israel is paying influencers $7,000 per post – Responsible State Craft US home sales falling through as buyers get ‘cold feet’ – News Week The US economy lost 32,000 private-sector jobs in September – CNN Student-Loan Debt Is
Big sky from the Beeac Cressy Road, Western Districts, Victoria AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225
The post Macro Afternoon: 3 October 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand has cut the official cash rate (OCR) by 2.50% from its July 2024 peak of 5.50%: The decline in the OCR has delivered a sharp reduction in mortgage rates: Typically, such a significant reduction in mortgage rates would be associated with a sharp appreciation of home values, given improved
Last week, the Business Council of Australia (BCA) warned of the potential economic consequences of the Victorian government’s proposal to introduce a legislated right to work from home for at least two days a week. The BCA has used its submission to an inquiry into the proposal to contend that employers are likely to respond
In the years since China began its meteoric rise to become the world’s unrivalled manufacturing hyperpower, Beijing has increasingly used trade as a tool to exert pressure on companies or governments. By weaponising Chinese demand for everything from overseas holidays to agricultural produce, Beijing has been able to extract concessions from nations reliant on China
With the release of the latest ABS Building Approvals data for August, it was revealed that dwelling approvals had fallen by 6.0% on a month-on-month basis but were still up 3.0% year-on-year. However, looking at a chart of trend approvals shows they had rolled over recently. This provides a concerning sign that there may not
Michael Read at The AFR posted the following chart showing that tax receipts as a share of GDP hit their highest level in 38 years at 25.9% of GDP. The rise in tax receipts have been driven by personal and corporate tax receipts, which has more than offset by declines in tobacco and fuel excise
Upon the arrival of the pandemic in Australia in early 2020, the consumer confidence of the nation’s households experienced a sharp decline and has remained turbulent. By mid-2021, consumer confidence within ANZ-Roy Morgan index had returned to pre-Covid levels. Then, with the 2021 round of lockdowns and pandemic-driven restrictions, it began to tumble again. While