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Articles from MacroBusiness

Apartment construction crash means rising rents

April 17, 2024 - 00:10 -- Admin

CBA economist Harry Ottley published the following chart showing how rental growth is highly correlated to the ratio of population growth to new apartment construction: The news on this front is disastrous for renters, with approvals for the construction of new apartments plunging to their lowest level since February 2012: Annual high-rise apartment approvals were

Chinese growth decouples from steel

April 17, 2024 - 00:05 -- Admin

Let’s call it the Llewellyn Turning Point. That moment when every Emerging Market shifts beyond investment utilising steel into other stuff like human beings. China is there. On the surface, March data looked OK: Industrial production rose 4.5% in March from a year earlier (below economists’ forecast of 6%). Industrial output rose 6.1% for the first quarter (below the 7.0% in

Macro Afternoon

April 16, 2024 - 16:30 -- Admin

The rocky start to the trading week is deepening with stock markets in Asia losing significant ground in response to the escalation in conflict across the Middle East, with a further spike in USD and bond yields. The latest Chinese GDP print did little to assuage risk sentiment either. The Australian dollar is trying to

Migration cuts announced amid productivity falls

April 16, 2024 - 13:30 -- Admin

Statistics New Zealand has released data showing that productivity has collapsed amid the record surge in net overseas migration. “Inputs rose at a higher rate compared with outputs in the year ended March 2023, resulting in decreases in both labour and multifactor productivity”. “Labour productivity fell 0.9%. Labour productivity captures how output relates to changes

Hospitality wage thieves fight migration crackdown

April 16, 2024 - 13:00 -- Admin

Last year, the Albanese government vowed to streamline the list of occupations eligible for employer-sponsored visas. The first draft of the new job list, devised by the government agency Jobs and Skills Australia (JSA), reportedly omits chefs, cooks, bakers, and managers, which has angered the hospitality industry. The hospitality industry is now gearing up for

Australia’s rental crisis will keep getting worse

April 16, 2024 - 12:30 -- Admin

In this interview with Luke Grant from Radio 2GB, I discuss the latest disastrous rental and construction data, which suggests that Australia’s rental crisis will worsen. I also discuss the latest polling showing that Australians categorically reject Big Australia immigration. Edited Transcript: Domain released its March quarter rental report, and the combined capital city house

Economists denounce Albo’s “Made in Australia” white elephant

April 16, 2024 - 12:00 -- Admin

More economists have backed Productivity Commission chair Danielle Wood’s critique of the Albanese government’s “Future Made” subsidies for low-emissions manufacturing. Former Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) governor Bernie Fraser contends that the plan represents a risk to taxpayers. He notes that governments do not have a good track record when it comes to ‘picking winners’

Cut work rights and watch international student volumes crash

April 16, 2024 - 11:30 -- Admin

South Asian students are a key driver of Australia’s record increase in net overseas migration. After the former Coalition Government relaxed the cap on international student work hours and extended the time VET graduates could stay in Australia after completing their degrees, the number of South Asian students arriving for work and residency increased dramatically.

Labor facing minority government

April 16, 2024 - 11:00 -- Admin

Two election polls show that the Albanese government is staring down the barrel of a minority government. An online AFR Freshwater poll of 1055 voters from Friday to Sunday shows that Labor’s primary vote stands at 31%, unchanged from the last poll a month ago, while the Coalition’s primary vote has risen one percentage point

Shocked! More people means more cars and emissions

April 16, 2024 - 10:30 -- Admin

In December 2022, The Australia Institute (TAI) complained that Australia’s transport emissions had risen above pre-pandemic levels, which it blamed on the uptake of SUVs and utes. “The government projects that by 2035, electric vehicles will account for 44% of new car sales compared to less than 1% in 2019. But despite this uptake, transport emissions

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