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Articles from The Tally Room

What might happen at the Victorian and WA federal redistributions?

February 1, 2023 - 09:30 -- Admin

Yesterday’s post analysed the intra-state trends in terms of enrolment for each NSW federal electorate. Today I’m looking at the trends in Victoria and Western Australia. These states are slightly simpler since we know they will be losing and gaining a seat respectively, and there has been less time since the last redistribution.

Prospects for changes in federal seat numbers

January 30, 2023 - 11:00 -- Admin

After every election, there is a process to determine how many electorates each state and territory is entitled to at the following federal election. That process will take place in the middle of 2023. The process will utilise the latest population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, but at the moment it appears likely that the total number of seats will drop back to 150, with the two largest states each losing a seat and Western Australia gaining one.

Voting patterns for left-wing minor parties in Victoria

January 27, 2023 - 11:00 -- Admin

One of the most fascinating aspects of the Victorian state election was the role of the small left-wing minor parties. The Greens used to have this lane largely to themselves, but a number of other parties have now emerged, with two of these parties winning seats in the upper house. Those parties also changed the direction of the upper house by opting to preference each other (and then Labor and the Greens) rather than deal with other small parties.