Aston by-election on the way
Former Liberal minister Alan Tudge announced yesterday that he will be stepping down from parliament, thus triggering a by-election for his Melbourne-area seat of Aston.
Articles from The Tally Room
Primary tabs
Local representation in the NSW upper house
The NSW upper house is elected to represent the whole state, proportionally. I have been wondering for a little while – in the absence of any geographical divisions, where do these members tend to come from? Are certain parts of the state under-represented or over-represented?
First-past-the-post rears its ugly head in SA Voice
While there has been a lot of focus on the impending referendum to create the Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Voice at the federal level, South Australia is on track to legislate a similar body on a shorter time frame.
NSW 2023 – election guide unlocked
We’re now seven weeks out from the NSW state election, and it seemed like a good time to take down the paywall for my guide to that election.
The guide features profiles of all 93 electorates, along with a profile of the Legislative Council contest.
You can use these links to navigate to each seat’s profile, or click through from the following map:
NSW candidate update
I have just finished an update of my Legislative Assembly candidate list and I thought I’d pop it up here for everyone to take a look. Over the next day or two I’ll make sure every seat guide has its candidate list updated too.
Coalition retirements in NSW reach new high
In the lead up to the state election, there have been quite a few prominent MPs have announced their retirement, including a number in key marginal seats.
This prompted me to collect data on how many members have retired at each election over the past 35 years. This has been aided by Wikipedia keeping lists of retiring MPs on the pages for recent elections.
What might happen at the Victorian and WA federal redistributions?
Yesterday’s post analysed the intra-state trends in terms of enrolment for each NSW federal electorate. Today I’m looking at the trends in Victoria and Western Australia. These states are slightly simpler since we know they will be losing and gaining a seat respectively, and there has been less time since the last redistribution.
Prospects for changes in federal seat numbers
After every election, there is a process to determine how many electorates each state and territory is entitled to at the following federal election. That process will take place in the middle of 2023. The process will utilise the latest population estimates from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, but at the moment it appears likely that the total number of seats will drop back to 150, with the two largest states each losing a seat and Western Australia gaining one.
Voting patterns for left-wing minor parties in Victoria
One of the most fascinating aspects of the Victorian state election was the role of the small left-wing minor parties. The Greens used to have this lane largely to themselves, but a number of other parties have now emerged, with two of these parties winning seats in the upper house. Those parties also changed the direction of the upper house by opting to preference each other (and then Labor and the Greens) rather than deal with other small parties.
Victoria 2022 – which parties did best in areas with high informal rates?
In the weeks after the Victorian election, I saw some analysis looking at the geographic patterns of support for some of the parties. One of the things I was most interested in identifying was the relationship between informal voting trends and support for particular parties.