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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The dollar has been eviscerated. But import prices are going precisely nowhere. Key statistics Export price index rose 3.6% this quarter and fell 8.6% through the year. Import price index rose 0.2% this quarter and fell 1.9% through the year. With the private economy so weak, importers are bringing in falling international prices for goods,

The post Imported inflation has collapsed appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Australians are suffering their longest-running per capita recession on record at seven consecutive quarters. This recession is driven by the household sector, where per capita household consumption has fallen for six of the past seven quarters. The Melbourne Institute’s latest nowcast for Australia’s Q4 GDP growth, compiled by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, remained at

The post When will Australia’s recession end? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The beauty of MB is you don’t have to wait four months for the MSM to tell you the so-called “news” that is four months old.  You can track it when it happens. We have been predicting a new round of retail bill shocks delivered from the AER in March for 2025/26 and the ground

The post Here comes your new energy bill shock appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Nothing better illustrates the disgusting unity ticket of swan diving living Aussie standards than Fake Trump, Peter Dutton. We have already pointed out the lunacy of his nuclear fantasy, his incredibly corrupt and useless gas policy, his grovelling to an autocratic China, his bizarre liquid lunch tax education lieu of tax reform, his phony Australia

The post Dutton is a fake Trump appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Friday, January 31, 2025 - 11:00 Source

It struggles a little with complex positions, like when there are an even number of moves and it has to round down, but when run against itself it's capable of finding some novelties. At one point I saw six knights on the board at once; Stockfish rarely exceeds four.

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New Politics Friday, January 31, 2025 - 10:35 Source

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 10:30 Source

In late 2021, Labor released its Powering Australia Plan, which promised to cut NEM wholesale electricity costs by $11 per MWh from $62 to $51 by 2025. Labor claimed that its Powering Australia Plan would save Australians $275 on their residential power bills. This week, The Australian reported that the cost of generating electricity across

The post Labor lied to Australians on energy costs appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 10:00 Source

It was bad enough that Raja Albo aborted wage growth and dropped a rent bomb via the mass immigration of Indian scabs. Now he has been busted stuffing his face with curry at the table of his fellow Kshatriyas as he sells your border for ALP baksheesh. Anthony Albanese was the star ­attraction at a

The post Raja Albo guzzles Indian baksheesh appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 09:30 Source

In 2009, the former Rudd government decided to allow temporary migrants to acquire Australian homes. The subsequent surge in temporary migration, especially among international students (with China accounting for the largest proportion), increased the demand for residential properties in Australia from foreign nationals. Opposition leader Peter Dutton promised that, if elected, he would ban foreign

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Following the Fed, the ECB meeting last night saw another rate cut which helped boost European stocks and pushed the USD higher until the latest US GPD print which missed slightly, upsetting some expectations. Toss in a bit of Apple earnings and other tech volatility and Wall Street basically came out on top but we

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 31, 2025 - 08:42 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 08:10 Source

DXY is back. AUD is not. Lead boots is also back. There’s no denying gold’s new drivers now. Commod prices are differentiating around tariffs. Miners dead cat bounced. Wanna be Deepsuckered by EM? Junk hope. Yields not convinced. Europe turning red hot. There are the beginnings of a rotation away from US exceptionalism plays but

The post Australian dollar burning intensifies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 07:32 Source

CoreLogic’s daily dwelling value results for January show that home values across the five major capital city markets declined by 0.2% over the month, driven by falls of 0.4% and 0.6% across Sydney and Melbourne. By contrast, home values across Brisbane (0.4%), Adelaide (0.7%), and Perth (0.4%) rose in January. Over the three months to

The post Australian house prices sink in January appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Friday, January 31, 2025 - 07:28 Source
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MacroBusiness Friday, January 31, 2025 - 00:10 Source

Domain’s house price reported a median house price for Sydney of $1,645,444 at the end of 2024, more than double the $811,000 median price in 2014. The following table illustrates that Sydney’s median house price is around $580,000 higher than Canberra, Australia’s second most expensive capital city. A recent CBA analysis revealed that Sydney’s housing

The post If you are a young family, leave Sydney appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 21:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 17:30 Source

Asian stock markets are barely positive in reaction to the slightly hawkish tone the Fed took last night at the latest FOMC Meeting, with volatility still looking through the increasingly isolationist and tariff based US trade policies. The USD was pushed slightly higher overnight and has held on to most of those gains going into

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 16:42 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 16:40 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 15:04 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 14:19 Source
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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 14:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 14:00 Source

In generations past, Australian businesses trained their workers. It was common for an Australian to finish high school or university and then take up an internship or graduate role at a company to gain vital skills and experience. This century has witnessed the decline of internships and graduate programs across Australian companies. In the mid-2000s,

The post BCA demands taxpayers pay to train their workers appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 13:53 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 13:30 Source

Late last year, Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) chairman John Lonsdale warned that the number of Australian households experiencing severe mortgage stress had nearly doubled since 2016 and was trending higher amid the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) aggressive monetary tightening. Lonsdale added that Australians are overexposed to mortgage debt. “Residential mortgages make up two-thirds

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Yesterday I recounted the shocking history of Grattan Institute’s destruction of Australia’s energy transition, sponsored all along by the East Coast gas cartel. Today it returns to finish the job. In the time since then, gas prices in Australia have stayed high, and a further problem, evident for more than a decade, has now crystallised

The post Grattan explodes another energy wreckage bomb appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 12:30 Source

According to PropTrack, national median advertised rents have surged by 47% since December 2019. This explosive growth has pushed rental affordability to a record low, with 33% of median household income spent on the national median rent at the end of 2024. The good news is that Australian rental inflation is finally easing, with PropTrack’s

The post Aussie rents hit affordability ceiling appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 12:05 Source

NVIDIA took a tumble this week as DeepSeek fears overran the market. Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen have a look at DeepSeek, the messages and the investment outcomes from its emergence as an option in the AI market. Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up

The post MB Fund Podcast: NVIDIA’s Trillion-Dollar DeepSeek Tumble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Anyone who hoped that a Coalition government under Peter Dutton would seriously cut immigration needs to confront reality. While the Coalition’s pre-election statement on immigration states that it would cut the permanent migrant intake by 25% to 140,000 for two years, the Coalition has not set a target for temporary migration. This comes despite the

The post Peter Dutton grovels to China and India appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Goldman’s Andrew Boak has been far ahead of the pack on the RBA. Australia’s headline CPI rose 0.22%qoq in 4Q2024, with year-ended inflation easing 38bps to 2.42%yoy. The outcome was below market expectations (GSe: +0.4%qoq, +2.6%yoy; BBG: +0.3%qoq, +2.5%yoy) and the RBA’s standing forecast (Nov SMP: 2.6%yoy). Growth in the RBA’s preferred trimmed-mean measure also

The post Australia is deflation nation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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