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Renew Economy Sunday, May 11, 2025 - 09:18 Source
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New Politics Saturday, May 10, 2025 - 08:00 Source

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THE BLOT REPORT Friday, May 9, 2025 - 22:20 Source

One of the things about the shemozzle of the Trump regime which makes me laugh, is some insular muppets who probably don’t have passports and only vaguely know where Europe is, have been asking: “Has the Democratic Party shifted too far to the left?” Compared to most other western democracies, the Democratic Party would be considered to be right wing, while the Republican Party are now mostly far right, supporting as they do, a half-witted malevolent oligarchy.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 9, 2025 - 13:00 Source

It’s not rocket surgery. Be green, not fake. Drop the woke malarky. Drop the support for endless population growth and be honest about its devastating effects on the natural world, as well as youth prospects for housing and social progression. Be honest about the limits to growth, not pompously hypocritical to those of differing views.

The post How to restore the Greens appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Friday, May 9, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Ferrous complex struggles continue. The steel output cuts have begun. The China Iron and Steel Association said this week the government was “actively deploying and promoting” its crude steel production mandate. Looming output restrictions have weighed on the market and are expected to impact demand of iron ore. “The main task facing the steel industry is

The post Iron ore slashed by steel cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Twitter (X) user Oliver in WA posted the following stunning chart showing how Australians are heavily overweight in housing (4.5 times GDP) compared to other English-speaking nations. The same can be said about Australians’ mortgage debts, which are among the highest in the world when measured against incomes or GDP. The following chart from Justin

The post Aussie mortgage holders plead for respite appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 11:05 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Building a renewable electricity system is incredibly expensive and will inevitably increase power bills. The global empirical evidence is clear: the higher the share of renewables in an energy system, the higher the electricity cost: The reasons are straightforward. Renewables depend on the weather, so they are intermittent and have low load factors. They need

The post Weren’t renewables meant to be cheaper? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 00:05 Source

This century has seen a remarkable transformation of Australia. In the 60 years post-World War II, Australia’s net overseas migration averaged 90,000 per year. Australia had only recorded two calendar years with net overseas migration (NOM) exceeding 150,000. Immigration booster Professor Peter McDonald admitted in 1999 that “there were difficulties in the late 1980s when

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Renew Economy Thursday, May 8, 2025 - 00:01 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 16:36 Source

AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold WTI Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225                

The post Macro Afternoon: 7 May 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 15:40 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 15:31 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 15:30 Source
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Prosper Australia Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 15:16 Source

Thank you for the opportunity to provide feedback on the draft strategy. Prosper Australia is an economic think tank working in the Georgist tradition, with a long history of research into property taxation. We wish to raise one major point: the draft strategy lacks an infrastructure funding strategy. The draft recommendations cover several governance and […]

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The Tally Room Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 12:57 Source

The Australian Electoral Commission has now started publishing three-candidate-preferred counts for some electorates where the final two are not clear. They have published seat-level totals for a series of seats at this page, but these seem to be not quite as advanced as the numbers I’ve seen.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 12:30 Source

By Ross Elliott from The Pulse: There’s a great line from the comedy show Kath & Kim, where the very suburban Kim expresses her desire to be like affluent city people. “I want to be effluent Mum,” she says. “You ARE effluent, Kim,” replies the equally suburban Kath. The new political geography of affluent inner

The post Winning the suburbs is the key to election victory appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 12:00 Source

This is not good news. The Australian. The EU has unveiled a long-promised plan to phase out its remaining gas imports from Russia by the end of 2027, a challenge given Europe’s continued dependence on Russian fossil fuels. “Today the European Union sends a very clear message to Russia: no more, no more, will we

The post Albo must stop Gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear on a possibe bear market. Very extended The 10-day advance/decline line has gotten very extended. Bespoke: “We would not be surprised to see some downside mean reversion soon”. Source: Bespoke Death cross still in place SPX is hitting some sort of short term trend line here. We moved above the 50 day, but are

The post The bull meets the bear appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 11:00 Source

I noted on Monday how “Australian households cannot escape recession”, citing the Q4 2024 ABS national accounts figures showing that real per capita household consumption had fallen for eight consecutive quarters. The decline in consumption follows a record 8% fall in real per capita household incomes. The Q1 2025 retail sales figures also fell in

The post Recession-hit Aussies close their wallets appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Frankly, given their extreme gravitational fields and general instability, even 12-inch globes should probably be banned.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The Greens’ dream of becoming the ‘third force’ in Australian politics has been eviscerated following Saturday’s federal election. The Greens’ primary vote fell and they lost the lower house seats of Griffith and Brisbane, with vocal housing whinger Max Chandler-Mather booted. As of Wednesday morning, Greens Leader Adam Bandt was trailing Labor’s Sarah Witty 47.3%

The post The bursting of the Green bubble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 07:53 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 05:29 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 00:05 Source

On Tuesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released dwelling approvals data for March, which recorded an 8.8% monthly fall to 15,220 approvals. House approvals fell by 4.5% in March, while unit & apartment approvals fell by 15.1%. Annual approvals rose to 180,740, up 10% on the June 2024 low of 164,254. As illustrated below,

The post Australia’s housing target decimated again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, May 7, 2025 - 00:01 Source
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The Tally Room Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 23:03 Source

For tonight’s update, I’m going to first touch on the races I included in this morning’s post and how they have changed. Those are the seats that are conventional close races.

Then I will turn my focus to the seats where the two-candidate-preferred count has been recalibrated to a different pair of candidates. In these seats there has been some significant progress today towards resolving these seats.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 20:04 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:39 Source
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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, May 6, 2025 - 15:36 Source

I spent most of the election weekend down in Sydney, finishing a book in my hotel room and giving a talk at that architecture conference.

It went very well, thank you.

Both the talk—and, of course, the election.

It had been a while since I’d spent much time in the centre of Sydney. When I go down, I usually stay out at Bondi—my old hood. But I hadn’t been in the city proper for any serious stretch of time since the light rail went into George Street, and I was really surprised by how much of a difference it’s made to the CBD.

Like, completely transformed it.

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