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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 12:05 Source

NVIDIA took a tumble this week as DeepSeek fears overran the market. Join us in this week’s podcast as Nucleus Wealth’s Chief Investment Officer, Damien Klassen have a look at DeepSeek, the messages and the investment outcomes from its emergence as an option in the AI market. Can’t make it to the live series? Catch up

The post MB Fund Podcast: NVIDIA’s Trillion-Dollar DeepSeek Tumble appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Anyone who hoped that a Coalition government under Peter Dutton would seriously cut immigration needs to confront reality. While the Coalition’s pre-election statement on immigration states that it would cut the permanent migrant intake by 25% to 140,000 for two years, the Coalition has not set a target for temporary migration. This comes despite the

The post Peter Dutton grovels to China and India appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Goldman’s Andrew Boak has been far ahead of the pack on the RBA. Australia’s headline CPI rose 0.22%qoq in 4Q2024, with year-ended inflation easing 38bps to 2.42%yoy. The outcome was below market expectations (GSe: +0.4%qoq, +2.6%yoy; BBG: +0.3%qoq, +2.5%yoy) and the RBA’s standing forecast (Nov SMP: 2.6%yoy). Growth in the RBA’s preferred trimmed-mean measure also

The post Australia is deflation nation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Market EAr with mwhahaha… Fighting with the 200 day NVDA is trading right on the 200 day moving average as of writing. Massive moves, especially if you consider the changes in market cap. This is not how strong leaders behave… Refinitiv Can SPX “dismiss” NVDA? Is this the most important gap out there? Refinitiv

The post AI smoked appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 10:54 Source

Even though I rarely use El Goog for search anymore because they’ve pretty much fucked it to the max, I do use it as a news reader. The mobile app defaults to a feed of stuff you’re interested in, and the feed is pretty good because, of course, they’ve been stalking us all across the internet forever.

So, this morning, over my breakfast coffee, I opened the app and…

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Opposition leader Peter Dutton has promised to take moderate action to curb housing demand in a bid to make homes more affordable for Australians. Dutton has already pledged to reduce the permanent migrant intake by 25% to 140,000 for the Coalition’s first two years. Peter Dutton has also promised a two-year ban on foreign investors

The post Dutton takes aim at housing demand side appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The Chinese property slowdown is back, led by lower-tier cities. Inventory has eased. This yawnulus does not look much different to previous. Sentimane perhaps can’t get much worse. But maybe sales can. More yawnulus please.

The post Chinese property sales slooooow appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Wednesday’s Q4 CPI release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has increased pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the official cash rate. The headline CPI rose by 0.2% in Q4 2024 and the annual rate fell to 2.4% (i.e., around the middle of the RBA’s target band). The policy-relevant trimmed

The post Pressure builds on RBA to cut rates appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The latest FOMC meeting has come and gone with only a slight change in language as the US Fed negotiates the new “American Psycho Part 2” volatility. Bond yields jumped a little on the short end of the curve but were largely unchanged while the USD lifted across the board but gave up some of

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 08:11 Source

DXY is back. AUD is buggered again. But auld lead boots got Deepsuckered. The oil pop was specs. Dirt dead cat. Mining meh. EM meh. Junk thinks it can. Bear flattener! Stocks no likee. The Fed has pivoted again. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials are not in a rush to lower interest rates,

The post Australian dollar shredded as Fed hawks fly appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 07:47 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 00:10 Source

KPMG Australia is upbeat about the outlook for the housing market in 2025, spurred on by expected interest rate cuts. The firm expects house prices in Sydney to rise by 3.3% this year, followed by 7.8% growth in 2026. Prices in Melbourne are forecast to rise by 3.5% in 2025 and 6% in the following

The post Aussie house prices tipped to soar after rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Thursday, January 30, 2025 - 00:01 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 22:25 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 22:17 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 16:35 Source

Swan Bay, first light     AUD/USD     EUR/USD     USD/JPY     GBP/USD     Gold     West Texas Intermediate     Brent     Australia 200     US S&P 500     UK 100     Japan 225  

The post Macro Afternoon: 29 January 2025 appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 15:30 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 15:15 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 14:11 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 14:10 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 14:00 Source

There really is not much more Tony Wood of the Grattan Institute can do to destroy Australia’s energy transition. He helped create the gas cartel by arguing against domestic reservation in 2013, aided by the sponsorship from his former employer and gas cartelier Origin Energy. He is currently arguing that LNG imports are our only

The post Grattan Institute has destroyed Australia’s energy transition appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 13:48 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 13:43 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The superannuation guarantee is scheduled to increase to 12% in July, and Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones says the federal government has no plans to expand it further. However, Labor’s national platform in 2023 included setting a ‘pathway’ to increasing the super guarantee to 15% once the initial target of 12% was reached. Jones says the

The post Labor right to axe 15% superannuation guarantee appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 13:00 Source

According to 9News, the Australian Olympic Committee has backed a bold, new proposal by Swimming Australia and other aquatic sports to build a multi-million dollar complex for Brisbane 2032. The Australian Olympic Committee is backing a bold, new proposal by Swimming Australia and other aquatic sports to build a multi-million dollar complex for Brisbane 2032.

The post Can Queensland afford the Olympics? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Australians have suffered their deepest decline in material living standards in modern history. Real per capita household disposable income has collapsed by more than 8% since the Albanese government took office in Q2 2022, the sharpest decline on record. Australia’s decline in real per capita household disposable income has been among the worst in the

The post It’s official: Australians face lost economic decade appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 11:47 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has released the consumer price index (CPI) for Q4 2024, which printed below the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) expectations. Three of the Big Four banks forecast that the pivotal “trimmed mean” inflation would be 0.5% in Q4. The fourth Big Four bank (Westpac) was only slightly higher, tipping

The post Door opened for RBA rate cuts appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Much of the Western World is rapidly deindustrialising to meet ‘net zero’ emissions targets. For Example, the United Kingdom’s stringent restrictions on fossil fuel energy use have driven up energy costs, resulting in sharp contractions in all energy-intensive industries. The same deindustrialisation is happening in Germany, following similar “net zero” policies. Australians are also being

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Opposition Leader Peter Dutton has committed to reducing permanent migration to 140,000 a year if the Coalition wins the upcoming federal election. However, immigration influencer Abul Rizvi has led a group of pro-mass immigration shills warning against the cut, claiming that it is unworkable and would harm the economy. Rizvi argues that cutting the permanent

The post Migration shills pressure Peter Dutton appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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xkcd.com Wednesday, January 29, 2025 - 11:00 Source

They should add a little sticker that certifies that the humidifier supports water conservation, but in the sense of energy conservation or momentum conservation.

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