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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 11:00 Source

This time John Kehoe at the AFR, who MB likes sometimes because he’s more honest about immigration, but is like his rotten fishhead boss when it comes to politics. If the RBA does bow to the weight of market and political pressure to immediately lower interest rates, Bullock should indicate that only two or three

The post Another rotting fish head browbeats RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 10:30 Source

On Wednesday, The Guardian’s Josh Nicholas penned an article claiming that Australians “hold inaccurate and occasionally contradictory attitudes” on immigration. The article is based on a new survey by the pro-immigration Australian National University (ANU), which showed that 53% of those surveyed believe that immigration levels are “too high”. The result aligns with other recent

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Cheeseburger Gothic Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 10:02 Source

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 10:00 Source

New Zealand is experiencing a significant outflow of citizens, as illustrated by the following chart from Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro. There was a net migration loss of 48,000 New Zealand citizens in the year to November 2024. This outflow of citizens has driven net overseas migration to below-average levels. Economists have warned that New

The post Why Kiwis are fleeing to Australia appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 09:30 Source

Typically, Asian LNG market prices come off after the new year as Asia exits winter. Instead, there is a steady grind higher this year with no end in sight. This is because there is less inventory in both the US and Europe this year. Adding salt to the wound, one of China’s few tariff responses

The post Australia chooses candles over electrcity appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Risk markets are starting to diverge in fortuned once more as Wall Street and European shares continue their bounceback while commodities remain in flux due to the Chinese tariffs. Meanwhile the USD is weakening again as there is growing speculation the Fed may have more easing in its cycle as King Dollar struggles against Yen

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 07:50 Source

 

MORE TO COME...

 

YOURDEMOCRACY.NET RECORDS HISTORY AS IT SHOULD BE — NOT AS THE WESTERN MEDIA WRONGLY REPORTS IT.

 

         Gus Leonisky

         POLITICAL CARTOONIST SINCE 1951.

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Renew Economy Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 07:45 Source
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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 07:00 Source

DXY is breaking down. AUD is breaking up. Lead boots is a standing warning. Gold hugely overbought. Oil where it should be. Another copper bubblet. Yawn. Big miners are so yesterday. EM too. Dude, where’s my junk? As yields break down. Stocks never fall. US data was all over the place with weak JOLTS, strong

The post Australian dollar dead cat to the moon! appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, February 6, 2025 - 00:05 Source

The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) shows that as of Q3 2024, real wages had fallen 6.7% from the June 2020 peak. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest Statement of Monetary Policy forecasts that real wages would still be 6.0% below the peak by the end of 2026, as illustrated below. On Tuesday, the

The post Proof Australian workers are going backwards appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 21:24 Source

Middle East: Trump's Gaza takeover remarks met with backlashKate Hairsine with Reuters, AP, AFP, dpa | Wesley Dockery Editor

Saudi Arabia and China are among those rejecting President Donald Trump's suggestion that the US could "take over" Gaza. US top diplomat Marco Rubio has stood behind the president's remarks. DW has the latest.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 18:10 Source

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 17:30 Source

As Trump suggests adding the Gaza Strip to his swag of new States (I think we’re up to 54?), markets are setting up for Friday’s US NFP print with a potential call between Xi and the Orange Mussolini tonight as well. Meanwhile after reverting back to their pre-North American trade war starting points, currency markets

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 15:48 Source

US President Donald Trump has announced that the United States will assume control over the Gaza Strip, vowing to rebuild the war-torn enclave and create economic opportunities for its future residents. When asked whether US troops would be deployed to Gaza, Trump vowed to “do what is necessary.”

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 14:47 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 14:05 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 14:00 Source

In January, Auckland’s largest real estate agency, Barfoot & Thompson, reported a hefty decline in median and average sale prices. “The median sales price for the month at $950,000 was down 5% on that for December, while the average price at $1,053,446 was down 11.2% and sales numbers at 700 were down 16%”, Peter Thompson,

The post New Zealand house prices crash appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 13:34 Source

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz criticized U.S. President Donald Trump's proposal to tie military aid for Ukraine to access to the country's rare earth resources, calling it "very selfish and self-centered," Spiegel reported on Feb. 4.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The SMH’s Matt Wade published an article claiming that Sydney will remain Australia’s largest city for at least another decade. This is based on the Centre for Population’s latest forecasts, which predict that Sydney’s population will be 6.5 million by 2034-35, versus Melbourne’s 6.4 million. “At the turn of the 21st century, Greater Sydney’s population

The post Melbourne “wins” race for Australia’s biggest city appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 13:00 Source

There will be no such thing because such innovative graft is beyond any Australian politician. Instead, there will be Albohouse. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has succeeded in renting out his $4.3 million clifftop home on the NSW Central Coast after lowering the price, likely bringing in thousands a month for the four-bedroom property. The latest

The post Would anyone buy Albocoin? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 12:51 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 12:30 Source

The Market Ear with more. MEGA Coming into Tariff Monday, Europe was experiencing its second-best start to the year and SXXP hit an ATH – of course, skeptics will highlight that this is against a low bar, and the outperformance is mostly valuation-driven (as opposed to earnings-inspired). However, 21 of 25 EU sectors have outperformed

The post Make Europe Great Again appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 12:00 Source

There are two key reasons why the federal government loves running a high immigration program. First, immigration stimulates the aggregate economy, as measured by GDP. Running a high immigration policy allows the government to claim that it is an effective economic manager, even when per capita GDP growth is negative (as it is right now)

The post Blame the federal government for soaring state debt appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 11:30 Source

There’s no reason to stop it. Inflation is tumbling. Inflation expectations re-anchored. Wage growth is smashed. The recent consumer bounce is fragile and related to lifting expectations of easing. It is also still meaningfully below the RBA forecast. Goldman has more. We also upgrade our tracking estimate for GDP growth in 4Q2024 by 10bps to

The post RBA to cut in February appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 11:02 Source

Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky has expressed readiness to negotiate with Russian President Vladimir Putin if it is the only option to bring the Ukraine conflict to its end. 

He made the remarks during an interview with British journalist Piers Morgan, with excerpts published on Tuesday. When asked if he was prepared to meet with the Russian president, Zelensky indicated his willingness to do so.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

You know an election is coming up when Labor-leaning economist Stephen Koukoulas (‘The Kouk’) writes a propaganda piece in the Labor-leaning Independent Australia, claiming, “The miraculous Australian economy is the envy of the world”. Kouk claims, “The economy is kicking off 2025 in a fabulous spot structurally, even though the cyclical impact of high interest

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xkcd.com Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 11:00 Source

It was great until my thumb slipped and I accidentally launched my telescope into the air at Mach 8.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 10:30 Source

It is happening in real-time in front of our faces. Emergency alerts about a shortage of electricity reserves hit an all-time record for a last quarter of the year in 2024, new data has revealed, as NSW’s two largest coal power stations suffered a spate of debilitating faults. The Australian Energy Market Operator issued 144

The post Aussie energy superidiot hurtles towards disaster  appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 10:24 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, February 5, 2025 - 10:23 Source
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