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The Illusion of Predictability in Today’s Market Valuations

December 18, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

I’ve been seeing a particular type of chart circulate more frequently: the one plotting the S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio against the market’s subsequent 10-year returns. At first glance, it looks authoritative — hundreds of data points neatly arranged, a strong downward relationship, and a clear takeaway that today’s high forward P/Es imply a lost

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