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Aussie inflation collapses

January 31, 2024 - 11:45 -- Admin

From the ABS just now. Aussie inflation is collapsing, with quarterly and annual undershooting consensus by 0.2%. Trimmed mean undershot by 0.a% The tank: Goods and services: Domestic demand is screwed: Supermarkets on the run: Rent is stopping out, utility bill cuts are coming, and more tradable disinflation is in the pipeline. The RBA is

AER lifts hopes for utility bill price cuts

January 31, 2024 - 11:00 -- Admin

The Australian Energy Market (AER) regulator is barreling towards its default market pricing announcement in a month or so. Today it has raised hopes that the new benchmark will constitute a cut in price: The Australian Energy Regulator’s (AER) latest Wholesale Markets Quarterly Report reveals that average annual wholesale electricity prices in the National Electricity Market (NEM)

Stop pretending international education is an ‘export’

January 31, 2024 - 10:00 -- Admin

The notion that international education is an “export” has been completely demolished this week with both industry players, commentators, and the government admitting that international education is really just a conduit for immigration (i.e. people imports). On Monday, The Australian featured International Education Association of Australia CEO Phil Honeywood, who admitted that “the primary focus”

Macro Morning

January 31, 2024 - 09:00 -- Admin

Overnight risk markets were again contained due to some further strong US economic data which saw bond markets selloff while the USD remained sanguine. Wall Street took back its start of week gains and while European markets had solid sessions, futures are indicating a gap lower for most Asian markets today. The Australian dollar remains

Capital bids China adieu

January 31, 2024 - 08:40 -- Admin

Usually, stock market saves run for a few weeks at least. China’s is already out of gas. The Market Ear has more. Just local problems? The China bear is seen as a local problem still. We saw a similar type of reasoning during the 1997 Asian crisis, but local issues went global. Don’t forget that

Grattan Institute pumps fake migration-housing solution

January 31, 2024 - 08:20 -- Admin

I have said previously that you should never trust the Grattan Institute on immigration or housing. Why? Because Grattan’s immigration “research” is funded by the pro-Big Australia Scanlon Foundation, which was founded by real estate entrepreneur and rich lister Peter Scanlon: As John Masanauskas of the Herald-Sun explained in 2009 (link no longer active): MAJOR

What stops the bull market?

January 31, 2024 - 08:00 -- Admin

The Market Ear with more internals. Rates and tech Rates and tech have moved in almost perfect tandem since last summer. Lately, NASDAQ decided decoupling, and has moved higher, despite the fact rates rose from Dec lows. What happens if rates start moving lower again? Refinitiv Spot up, volatility up We have seen SPX and

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