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Oz Blog News Commentary
Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:16 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 12:00 Source

NSW Opposition Leader Mark Speakman has accused Premier Chris Minns of blaming federal tobacco taxes for the fact that the illegal tobacco trade in the state is “out of control”. Minns has suggested that cutting tobacco taxes would lead to a reduction in black market tobacco activity, leaving NSW Police with more resources to combat

The post Less is more with tobacco taxes appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:30 Source

It’s goodbye, Chinese steel prices. No good news. Despite the tariff reduction after the US-China trade talks in Geneva, the headline Caixin manufacturing PMI fell notably to 48.3 in May from 50.4 in April, contrary to market expectations of an uptick. Among the major sub-indexes, the output sub-index decreased the most, followed by the new

The post Steel goes into the abyss appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Australia recorded a tiny 0.05% rise in carbon emissions in 2024, which has the usual suspects whining. As reported by the Guardian: Emissions last year were estimated to be 446.4m tonnes of carbon dioxide, 0.2m tonnes higher than in 2023. The increase is largely due to pollution from electricity generation rising by 2.2%, reversing a

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:38 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Victoria’s finances are in a dire state. Victoria’s net debt was only $22.3 billion when the Labor government presented its first state budget in 2015. It has now risen to $155.5 billion and is expected to reach $194 billion by 2028-29, according to budget projections. Victorian net debt per capita was under $3,600 in Labor’s

The post Victorian government begs rating agencies for stay of execution appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:25 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Assistant Minister for Productivity Andrew Leigh used a speech to the Chifley Research Centre on Tuesday to call for “thickets of regulation” to be reduced to help boost productivity. Leigh stated that there are several ways to improve productivity, including an increased focus on rewarding project delivery and measuring outcomes. He claimed that excessive bureaucracy

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xkcd.com Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Ultimately, history would imperfectly record the story of the Foal of Troy.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 09:30 Source

There is dumb. And then there is really, really stupid. Australian defence falls into the latter category. In his address to the Shangri-La Dialogue Hegseth made clear the Trump administration’s priority defence policy region is Asia. …Poland expects to spend 4.7 per cent of its GDP on defence this year. Lithuania plans to spend 5.5

The post The great Aussie defence bludger appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 09:00 Source

Last night saw the release of the latest EU flash inflation figures which imply some building deflationary pressures while the latest US factory orders blew up to a new low, reinforcing the damage done by the Trump regime’s tariff “plan”. But reality didn’t matter to equity markets as they reacted to speculation around potential trade

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 08:57 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 08:45 Source
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Renew Economy Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 07:46 Source
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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 07:00 Source

Financial markets believe that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will deliver another three 25 bp cuts to the official cash rate (OCR) in 2025, taking the OCR to 3.10% by year end. However, the market ascribed roughly a 70% probability of the RBA cutting the OCR at its next meeting in July. Belinda Allen,

The post RBA readies July rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, June 4, 2025 - 00:05 Source

Greens leader Larissa Waters has indicated that its party room has yet to decide whether it will support the federal government’s proposed superannuation tax reforms. The Greens are set to hold the balance of power in the Senate from 1 July, so Labor will depend on their votes to pass legislation. The Greens had expressed

The post Retired bureaucrats attack Labor’s superannuation reforms appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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George Monbiot Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 19:42 Source

Keir Starmer has accidentally given us four years in which to build a new political system. We should seize the chance.

By George Monbiot, published in the Guardian 27th May 2025

This feels terminal. The breaches of trust have been so frequent, so vast and so decisive that the voters Labour has already lost are unlikely to return. In one forum after another, I hear the same sentiments: “I voted for change, not the same or worse.” “I’ve voted Labour all my life, but that’s it for me.” “I feel I’ve been had.”

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:35 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 17:14 Source

Tonight I will be appearing on DFA Live with Martin North from 8.00pm AEST, where we will discuss everything to do with the housing market and economy. The YouTube feed is below. I hope to see you there.

The post Join me tonight on DFA Live with Martin North appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 16:30 Source

A lot of macro events and geopolitics hit risk markets today but was mostly absorbed outside of currencies as the USD hit a six week low on a combination of the burgeoning world wide trade war started by the Trump regime and the growing slowdown in the domestic US economy. The latest Chinese manufacturing figures

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:31 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:26 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 14:00 Source

The NSW and Victorian governments are urging the Albanese government to use its large election mandate to revamp the GST system. The then Turnbull government agreed in 2016 to what has been dubbed a ‘sweetheart deal’ with Western Australia, which is slated to cost taxpayers $60 billion over 11 years. This deal set a floor

The post Victoria cries poor after receiving $7.5b in extra GST appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:59 Source
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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:56 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:30 Source

We have a terrible living standards problem owing to our immigration-led, labour market expansion economic model, which devours productivity. On the other hand, we have a technological breakthrough that is all about productivity (in theory, anyway). There are two versions of AI developing – those with global tech businesses who already have a foot in

The post Let AI destroy the Aussie economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Melbourne’s auction market has rebounded strongly, recording an average final auction clearance rate of 67% in May, the strongest result since mid-2023. As illustrated in the following chart, the bounce in Melbourne’s auction clearance rate has been accompanied by a corresponding rise in dwelling values, which increased by 0.8% in May, according to PropTrack. The

The post Bargain hunters target Melbourne housing appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:55 Source
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MacroBusiness Tuesday, June 3, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Via ANZ. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads fell 1.2% m/m in May, following a downwardly revised 0.3%m/m decline in April. In trend terms, the series was down 0.6% m/m. ANZ-Indeed Australian Job Ads is now at its lowest level since March 2021, but has remained in a tight range of 114 to 117 (rounded to the

The post Job ads still fading appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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