MacroBusiness
Tuesday, March 25, 2025 - 00:05
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According to CoreLogic’s most recent monthly house price report, Melbourne was the cheapest major capital city property market, with a median price of $772,561 as of February 28, 2025. Melbourne’s relative affordability comes after a value gain of only 8.2% over the last five years, compared to a 38.9% increase nationally. The following chart, derived The post Value seekers drive Melbourne house price rebound appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 19:59
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THE BLOT REPORT
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 17:59
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A couple of years ago, I got into a discussion about Artificial Intelligence (AI) with a couple of people who write computer code (in Python) as part of their jobs. They suggested that I could use it to kick-start rants on this blog. At the time, ChatGPT was the AI version in the headlines, and they suggested that I should use it. Initially, I wanted to find out how I could get it to work for me, so I queried it about its capabilities. The ‘query’ I sent to it was: “I am just trying to obtain an understanding of the capabilities of ChatGPT and to work out if it will be of use to me”. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 16:30
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Another very mixed session across Asian stock markets reflecting the growing unease over the weekend as the April 2 “tariff letter” deadline starts to come into focus. While Wall Street managed a positive return on Friday night it was marginal at best with Chinese markets now pulling back while local stocks also treaded water. The The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 15:33
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Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 15:19
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Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 15:07
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Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 15:00
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Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 14:19
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Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 14:02
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MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 14:00
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With the election expected to be called this weekend for a poll date of either May 3 or May 10, opinion polls remain too close to call. The latest Redbridge polling, released on Thursday, showed that Labor was ahead 51% to 49% on a two-party preferred basis, hitting the lead for the first time in The post Peter Dutton blew his chance with policies nobody asked for appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 13:30
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been notoriously poor at forecasting Australian wage growth. For the past 15 years, the RBA’s Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) has consistently forecast higher wage growth than realised. The RBA looks to be making the same mistakes, with Australian wage growth now falling despite Australia’s low unemployment rate The post RBA dead wrong on full employment and wages appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 13:12
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Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 13:10
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MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 13:00
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Every time I read one of these articles, the Grattan Institute appears as the independent voice of reason. SMH. As the risk of shortfalls edges closer, state and federal energy ministers are becoming increasingly worried that talks between LNG terminal developers and prospective customers appear deadlocked, with neither party able to agree on price and The post Grattan’s Institute pumps Gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 12:30
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Goldman with the argument. USD: Diminished, not finished. We downgraded our Dollar forecasts last week but still expect some Dollar strength from current levels. …we think the market has rapidly repriced the shift in the growth outlook, and ran ahead of the forecast changes our teams have made for 2025. In the case of the The post Australian dollar to boom or bust with Europe? appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
John Quiggin
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 12:17
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Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please. I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 12:00
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Former Treasury Secretary Dr Martin Parkinson, who led the federal government’s 2023 Migration Review, admitted that Australia’s mass immigration policy has failed to provide the nation with the skills it needs and has contributed to poor productivity growth. As part of a campaign entitled Activate Australia’s Skills, Dr Parkinson called for a nationally cohesive approach |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 11:30
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The great coal crash continues. Thermal coal has broken $100 and continues to fall. Coking coal is the mirror image. I see no end in sight to either. The less gloomy news is the price falls are more or less on track for the budget. Key commodity prices are assumed to decline from elevated levels The post Coalamity continues appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 11:00
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In late 2023, newly appointed Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan ignored expert advice and signed the tunnelling contract to build the first stage of the $200 billion Suburban Rail Loop (SRL). “We are full steam ahead with the Suburban Rail Loop – by 2026, tunnel boring machines will be in the ground and Victorians will be The post Victorians sucked into infrastructure black hole appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
xkcd.com
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 11:00
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Your Democracy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 10:48
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AT WHICH POINT OF TECHNOLOGICAL EVOLUTION DOES THE NEEDS TO HAVE GREATER ORGANISATION OF SOCIETIES BEYOND SIMPLE MUTUAL AID? IS THERE A NEED TO MAKE PROFITS IN ORDER TO EVOLVE TO THE NEXT STEP OF WHAT WE WANT, BEYOND WHAT WE NEED? DO WE NEED WARS? DO WE UNDERSTAND THE IMPLICATION OF DEBT? IS DEBT NECESSARY ON A GREATER SCALE TO SUPPLY PROFITS FOR CORPORATIONS AND WAGES TO THE PEOPLE? IS DEBT A BURDEN ON THE NATURAL ENVIRONMENT? |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 10:30
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The Market Ear with a pearler. A key risk to the market Foreigners hold a record amount of US stocks. And they have just started selling. Deutsche Bank says that there could easily be one trillion dollars of foreign selling. This is way bigger than the corporate demand (=the biggest buyer) estimated this year. Is The post Who’s left to sell America? Everybody appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 10:04
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Slightly better and going nowhere fast. Flash Australia PMI Composite Output Index(1): 51.3 (Feb: 50.6). 7-month high. Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index(2): 51.2 (Feb: 50.8). 2-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing Output Index(3): 51.9 (Feb: 49.7). 29-month high. Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI(4): 52.6 (Feb: 50.4). 29-month high. There’s enough for Warren Hogan to have The post Aussie flash PMI crawls appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 10:00
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The iron ore jaws are wide. Either rebar must rise or iron ore fall. Not much hope of the former! Steel demand sucks. Steel supply is better this week but still sucks. May is not a good period for iron ore, and March has been unseasonably weak already. Mwahaha. The post Iron ore jaws yawn wider appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 09:30
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Oh dear. The Australian. Jim Chalmers will extend energy bill rebates for another six months in Tuesday’s budget, adding an extra $1.8bn to the pre-election spending splurge with an aim of setting up a cost-of-living fight with Peter Dutton. Despite energy bills being set to increase by up to 9 per cent next financial year, The post Labor embraces Gasmageddon appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
MacroBusiness
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 09:00
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Friday night saw a very hesitant risk complex trying to digest the recent Bank of England and Swiss Central Bank meetings, while trying to anticipate what the Fanta Fuhrer in the Oval Office is going to do next with tariffs. Wall Street initially pulled back slightly in line with European stocks before rebounding later in The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness. |
Renew Economy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 08:30
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Your Democracy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 07:54
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Response to the latest Israeli/US slaughter in Gaza shows the world’s citizens looking into a moral precipice. How will they act? Will they ponder the principles of humanitarian law let alone ideals of a common humanity? Can there exist any citizens who support Israeli/US brutalities and the cowardly complicity of Western governments, including Australia’s? If so, will they please step forward.
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Your Democracy
Monday, March 24, 2025 - 07:30
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Esoteric Trumpism delves into the profound and often unexplored dimensions of Donald Trump’s political journey, presenting it as a pivotal moment in the grand narrative of Western civilization. Through the lens of Oswald Spengler’s cyclical theory of history, the book explores Trump as a Faustian figure, striving against the tide of decline, embodying the spirit of American exceptionalism and the fierce battle for national identity.
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