Blogotariat

Oz Blog News Commentary
MacroBusiness Monday, May 26, 2025 - 00:05 Source

MacroBusiness, for years, has blamed much of Australia’s productivity slump on ‘capital shallowing’, which occurs when the nation’s population grows faster than business, infrastructure, and housing investment. This situation leaves workers with less capital, resulting in less output per hour and a lower growth rate per capita. As a stylised example, assume that you run

The post Australia’s economy shallows out appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 247
MacroBusiness Sunday, May 25, 2025 - 16:41 Source

DXy is breaking down again. AUD looks ready to breakout. Lead boots plod higher. Gold loving DXY, oil nowhere. Metals also loving the DXY. Miners not worse. Junk nothing burger. Yields fell on the night but the trend is not your friend. Stocks are not enjoying the regime of the American lira. Yet the AUD

The post Australian dollar rockets upwards appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 253
Renew Economy Sunday, May 25, 2025 - 14:45 Source
Read more Views: 224
Renew Economy Sunday, May 25, 2025 - 14:19 Source
Read more Views: 241
The Tally Room Sunday, May 25, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Today’s booth map covers two neighbouring seats in southern Sydney, both of which flipped from Liberal to Labor in 2025.

The seat of Banks covers south-western parts of the Canterbury-Bankstown coucnil area and a majority of the Georges River council area, on the northern side of the Georges River. The seat of Hughes covers parts of the Sutherland and Liverpool council areas on the southern side of the Georges River, but has recently added suburbs in the Campbelltown area to the west of that river. Those changes significantly cut the Liberal margin in the seat.

Read more Views: 265
MacroBusiness Sunday, May 25, 2025 - 10:01 Source

Home buyer demand increased recently following the federal election and expectations of an imminent interest rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). As illustrated below, final auction clearance rates (current to 18 May) showed a marked rebound across Sydney, Melbourne, and the combined capital city markets. This weekend’s preliminary auction results from Cotality

The post Home buyers pounce after RBA rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 254
MacroBusiness Sunday, May 25, 2025 - 09:27 Source

By Harry Ottley, Economist at CBA: The RBA cut the cash rate by 25bp to 3.85% as expected this week. The tone was more dovish than both we and the market had anticipated. We retain our call for two further interest rate cuts this year but expect the cuts to come marginally more quickly. Next

The post The economic week ahead appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 248
THE BLOT REPORT Saturday, May 24, 2025 - 20:59 Source

Universal Basic Income (UBI) is an income support policy under which all individuals receive a regular unconditional cash payment from the government, regardless of employment status or income level. In other words, every adult citizen (and sometimes children, at a lesser amount) is granted a basic stipend periodically, with no means test or work requirement attached. The primary goals of a UBI are to ensure a minimum standard of living, reduce poverty, and simplify the social safety net by replacing or complementing targeted and more complex welfare programs1.

Read more Views: 299
MacroBusiness Saturday, May 24, 2025 - 18:59 Source

A mainstay of the Ninefax Pro Population Ponzi lobby, Shane Wright regularly depicts a world of skills shortages, investment crashes due to absent demand, and crypto Marxists proposing radical reform. We have had Shane on in the past, examining his bogus claim that international student numbers have no influence on rents. This week, Shane teed

The post MSM dooms Australia to more of the same appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 260
The Tally Room Saturday, May 24, 2025 - 13:55 Source

The AEC finished the distribution of preferences for Bradfield late on Friday night, after a fascinating day that started with teal independent Nicolette Boele leading by 28 votes and ending with her 8 votes behind. This was a shift of 48 votes from Boele’s 40-vote margin at the end of the indicative 2CP count on Monday afternoon.

This has automatically triggered a recount, as the margin is less than 100 votes. The recount will commence on Monday.

Read more Views: 295
Club Troppo Saturday, May 24, 2025 - 00:44 Source

Read more Views: 294
MacroBusiness Saturday, May 24, 2025 - 00:05 Source

International Reading: Trump Is Slowly but Surely Killing U.S. Economy, Experts Warn – New Republic Walmart announces 1,500 job cuts after Trump tells US retail giant to ‘eat the tariffs’ – Economic Times Americans favor labor unions over big business now more than ever – EPI The Largest Upward Transfer of Wealth in American History

The post Weekend reading and MB media appearances appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 254
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 16:30 Source

Risk markets in Asia are somewhat mixed in the last session of the trading week as they absorb the burgeoning bond troubles and the passing of the Trump regime’s tax bill in the House of Reps that looks to enshrine a permanent decline in the US fiscal position. In currency markets, the USD is back

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 263
John Quiggin Friday, May 23, 2025 - 15:40 Source

My latest in The East Asia Forum

The May 2025 federal election campaign was characterised by a studious avoidance of the main issues facing Australia, most notably the country’s future relationships with the United States and China. Canberra should confront the quandaries redefining the US relationship, initiated by President Donald Trump’s second term. Washington’s radical reorientation shows no sign of reversing even after 2028, when Trump is due to leave office.

Read more Views: 309
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 15:18 Source
Read more Views: 332
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 14:46 Source
Read more Views: 206
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 14:38 Source

Woodside Energy’s North West Shelf (NWS) gas project Western Australia

Read more Views: 225
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 14:13 Source
Read more Views: 290
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 14:13 Source
Read more Views: 148
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 13:59 Source
Read more Views: 273
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 13:38 Source
Read more Views: 291
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 13:33 Source
Read more Views: 237
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Albanese government proposes to tax people on gains from any assets kept in their superannuation accounts, beginning with those with a balance of $3 million or more, without indexation. Industry superannuation funds, self-managed funds, investors, business leaders, and even ex-trade unionists have asked Labor to remove the unrealised component of the tax and modify

The post How to fix superannuation appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 275
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 13:00 Source

Melbourne has been the worst-performing housing market among major capital cities since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Between March 2020 and April 2025, Melbourne dwelling values rose by 16.2%, versus 43.3% growth at the combined capital city level. The underperformance of Melbourne’s housing market has seen its median house price fall to cyclical lows

The post Melbourne house prices poised for strong rebound appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 287
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Global bond yield suppression has been a constantly favourable backdrop for equity investors since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Every attempt to withdraw support has led to the financial markets convulsing until policy makers are forced to U-turn. So what should we make of recent tumultuous events in Japan? I have always exhorted clients to

The post Albert Edwards: Japan is about to blow up the world appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 309
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Last week, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the Q1 2025 wage price index, which revealed that Australian real wages were tracking at Q4 2011 levels, 6.1% below their Q2 2020 peak: The OECD also released data showing that Australian real per capita household disposable income was tracking 7.6% below its Q1 2022 peak

The post Australia’s long, painful income recession appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 176
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 11:30 Source

The Market Ear on a fear that has no modern precedent. When does it start to hurt? GS on the rates rise: 1. Watch 10yr @ 5%: That’s the psychological level where most expect yields to start weighing on equities. 2. But it’s the speed, not just the level: A move above 4.7% before end-May

The post Is the era of stocks over? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 168
MacroBusiness Friday, May 23, 2025 - 11:00 Source

The Australian Automobile Association has published the Electric Vehicle Index for Q1 2025. The data paints a picture of an industry struggling to gain a foothold, despite generous subsidies and incentives from the federal government (read taxpayers). In Q1 2025, only 17,914 battery electric vehicles (BEVs) were sold in Australia, down 29.9% from 25,552 in

The post EV sales would collapse without subsidies appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Read more Views: 211
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:48 Source
Read more Views: 214
Renew Economy Friday, May 23, 2025 - 10:30 Source
Read more Views: 182

Pages