Hunkered down in Canberra after 11 November with the ‘caretaker’ conditions imposed by the Governor-General on Malcolm Fraser, there was a sense of unreality and nagging doubt about the future. The political and social fabric of trust had been torn. Would it keep tearing?
Wall Street continued to selloff overnight but the falls were greater across the Atlantic as European share markets lost around 2% each despite a much lower Euro. US tech stocks made lower lows mid sessions but were able to recover later on, but it seems the wobbles in the AI bubble are deepening. Macro political
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Ben was joined by Frank Bongiorno and Chris Monnox to discuss the history of Australia’s federal parliament being expanded, in 1949 and 1984. We discuss the motivations for these changes, the positions taken by the parties and why it happened when it did. We also discuss efforts to break the ‘nexus’ which links the size of the House to the size of the Senate.
DXY is still firming. This may go on until the December Fed meeting. AUD is pinned at 0.65 cents. It looks more likely to break lower given all of those tails. CNY yawn. Gold and oil holding. AI metals are not. This is part of the junk spread widening. Miners struggle. Ditto EM. Junk is
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Western politicians are focused only on exploiting Ukraine’s far-right-allied government for personal and geopolitical gain and have no concern for the country’s ordinary citizens, musician and human-rights activist Roger Waters has said.
The Victorian government’s recent tax changes—including higher land taxes, expanded levies, and reduced thresholds—have discouraged property investment by significantly increasing holding costs, reducing returns, and prompting thousands of investors to sell or avoid new purchases. In particular, the tax‑free threshold was cut from $300,000 to $50,000, meaning far more investors are now liable for land
Market watchers pivoted on Japanese and Australian central bank words and actions today while some Federal Reserve members went dovish with calls for an actual rate cut in the upcoming December meeting as the US economy shows more signs of weakness (not that we would know given the NFP result hasn’t been printed for two
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The Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s dovish shift, including the larger 50 bp cut at its October monetary policy meeting, saw the official cash rate fall to 2.5%, down 3.0% from its most recent peak: The sharp drop in the official cash rate has been matched in the mortgage market, where rates have fallen back
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