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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 13:30 Source

The Market Ear on more possible buyers. What’s not to like…? Equities may be at all-time highs, but positioning and sentiment still don’t scream euphoria. With neutral fund flows, massive sidelined cash, and no real signs of exuberance, the setup supports a potential melt-up — especially if CTAs, volatility traders, and retail all step in.

The post The bubble can inflate appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 13:00 Source

During the GFC, the U.S. state of Texas emerged relatively unscathed. To get a handle on the relative performance of the Texas housing market during this era, we’ll also be looking at the Texas economy, labor market, and foreclosure rates, as well as some commentary from academia. A Bit Of Background – The Lone Star

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 12:30 Source

Does anybody recall “Pig Iron Bob”. Sir Robert Menzies’s pejorative moniker that he took to the grave? The name sprang from the Dalfram Dispute: In 1938, Australian waterside workers refused to load pig iron onto the ship Dalfram, destined for Japan, which was then at war with China. This was due to the workers’ concerns that

The post Pig iron Bob returns from the grave appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 12:00 Source

Treasurer Jim “chicken” Chalmers is already plotting your next power bill shock. You are currently enjoying a big shock, and it will double by year-end as the Chalmers’ Ukraine War subsidies roll off. Is there any hope of avoiding these? None. By year’s end, your power bill will have nearly doubled from 2025. Albo’s $12Gj

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 11:30 Source

Or is that behind? The market has flown the coop on yawnulus hopes. June was a better month for iron ore imports in China and a worse month for steel exports. I don’t expect the latter to hold up through H2. Meanwhile, yawnulus hopes are likely overblown. Goldman. Property market stimulus? In recent days, we

The post Iron ore superboom ahead? appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 11:00 Source

Cotality’s daily dwelling values index shows that Brisbane is once again leading the nation on house price growth, recording appreciation of 0.8% over the past 28 days. PropTrack’s monthly dwelling values index has also recorded an 89% rise in dwelling values across Brisbane since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic in March 2020. This 89%

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New Politics Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 10:41 Source

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 10:30 Source

Last week, Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan posted the following video on Twitter (X) claiming that the government is “delivering more social homes in Pascoe Vale”. Australian governments have completely shattered the social contract. They’ve created one of the worst national housing crises anywhere in the entire world due to explosive rates of migration. They then

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 10:00 Source

The overpaid, underqualified, and incoherent RBA has done it again according to Goldman. Year-ended growth in the ABS monthly trimmed-mean CPI eased 40bps to 2.4%yoyin May, while the Melbourne Institute’s more timely trimmed-mean gauge eased10bps to 1.2%yoy in June. The MI gauge is more volatile than ABS but is pretty good in trend terms. It

The post Aussie inflation collapses appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY and EUR have swapped places. AUD follows EUR. Lead boots plod on. Gold meh. Oil delusional. Metals reflation over. Big mining bear intact. EM meh. Junk no bueno. Curve steepening continues. Stocks hold on. We await some very powerful and very contradictory outcomes. Tonight, in the US inflation report, which may or may not

The post Australian dollar to follow bitcoin appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 09:00 Source

While the NASDAQ just eked out another record high it was all eyes on the USD as markets prepare for the release tonight of the latest US CPI print where we should see if the Trump regime’s tariff crusade has had an effect on domestic inflation. European shares were off slightly as the EU mulls

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 08:45 Source

 

Sonya Wilson explains why wonder is at the heart of her novels Spark Hunter and The Secret Green

Last winter, about halfway up a small, damp slope in the Paradise Valley, I saw some steam rising from a lump of moss. 

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Cheeseburger Gothic Tuesday, July 15, 2025 - 08:42 Source

I haven’t really followed the Mushroom Lady murder trial—unless you count skimming the headlines, which were so everywhere-all-the-time that I felt I basically absorbed the whole story by osmosis. Like everyone else, I had an opinion. She done it. She so done it. And when the conviction finally came through, I’ll admit, it was satisfying, especially after what felt like a worrying delay for the jury to deliver the correct verdict.

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