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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 27, 2024 - 07:30 Source

Barclays with the note. Some nice charts and sensible analysis here. More upbeat, but hard to see a sustained rebound in consumption The complete set of holiday travel and spending data offers ome insights ahead of the January-February activity-data release (18 March), and for Chinese households latest travel preferences and spending patterns (see Figure 5

The post Chinese economy sinks appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 27, 2024 - 06:22 Source

The US senses that the clock is running rapidly down on its power. The question in Washington regarding war with China is not if, but when–and how.

In many traditions, when you paint or sculpt a Buddha, the eyes are the very last part to be painted. It’s only after the eyes have been completed that the sculpture is fully alive and empowered.

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 27, 2024 - 05:49 Source

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Your Democracy Tuesday, February 27, 2024 - 05:39 Source

As a child of the Cold War, action movie star Steven Seagal told RT that he was taught to fear Russia, but that visiting his grandparents’ homeland made him realize that it was home to some of the “deepest and most beautiful culture on Earth.” 

Born in Michigan at the dawn of the Cold War in 1952, Seagal said that he was “raised in a Russian household,” but that his parents soon instructed his grandparents not to speak Russian around him.

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 27, 2024 - 00:10 Source

ABC Business Reporter, Gareth Hutchens, cited Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI) research claiming that over the past 25 years, the share of high income households living in the private rental market has tripled in Australia. This growth in high-income renters has driven lower-income households into insecure housing and homelessness, according to Hutchens. “In

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MacroBusiness Tuesday, February 27, 2024 - 00:05 Source

US Federal Reserve rate cuts are still coming, in my view, but keep getting pushed back. Goldman: In a speech this evening, Governor Waller said that he is “going to need to see at least another couple more months of inflation data before I can judge whether January was a speed bump or a pothole”

The post RBA and Fed neck and neck to first rate cut appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 21:12 Source
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Your Democracy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 20:20 Source

Most Germans are dissatisfied with Berlin’s policies regarding Ukraine, according to a new survey. Many believe the government is doing too much for Ukrainians that arrived in Germany after the start of the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, while not doing enough to help end the fighting, a poll conducted by INSA polling institute for the tabloid Bild shows.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 17:00 Source

Asian share markets are generally slow to start the week given mixed macro signals over the weekend and the reversal in Chinese stocks. The USD is still pulling back against most of the major currency pairs but there are signs this is slowing, while the Australian dollar is barely able to hold above the mid

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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The Australian Independent Media Network Monday, February 26, 2024 - 16:35 Source

By Denis Bright   The hopeful possibilities of reaching out to build a better future for Australians and for our peaceful regional neighbours are under challenge across the political spectrum from more opportunistic political goals. There are possibilities of a return to more social democratic agendas through better policy management in our existing market economy. The…

The post Destabilizing Australia: Will the LNP’s Culture Wars Be Victorious? appeared first on The AIM Network.

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Your Democracy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 16:25 Source

Italy should revoke the visas of people with “pro-Putin” views to make sure they do not disrupt the delivery of Western military aid to Kiev, Ukrainian President Zelensky said at a press conference on Sunday. He made his comments a day after signing a security agreement with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni during her visit to the Ukrainian capital.

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Cheeseburger Gothic Monday, February 26, 2024 - 16:23 Source

I see that aviator jackets are back. Specifically, fleece-lined bomber jackets, the sort of thing a chap would wear to climb into his Lancaster or B17 before popping over the channel to drop a bit of payback on of Mr Hitler's minions. Apparently, it's because of Masters of the Air.

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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 15:23 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 15:20 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 15:20 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 14:00 Source

Over the last month, we have witnessed several major New Zealand banks become more hawkish on interest rates, despite clear signs that the economy is weakening and inflation is easing. ANZ is particularly hawkish, tipping that the Reserve Bank will hike the official cash rate (OCR) by 0.25% at both its February and April meetings.

The post Reserve Bank confronts recession economy appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, February 26, 2024 - 13:51 Source

My latest in The Guardian

Just two weeks after Prof Allan Fels reported on the extent of monopoly power and resultant price gouging, Australia’s supreme body on competition law has delivered its answer.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 13:30 Source

ANZ Bank senior economist Adelaide Timbrell says higher mortgage interest rates appear to have weighed on house price growth in Sydney and Melbourne in recent months. She adds that this trend is likely to continue in early 2024. The bank has downgraded its house price growth forecast for Sydney in 2024 to 4-5%, compared with

The post Australian house prices turn two-speed appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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John Quiggin Monday, February 26, 2024 - 13:09 Source

Another Monday Message Board. Post comments on any topic. Civil discussion and no coarse language please. Side discussions and idees fixes to the sandpits, please.

I’m now using Substack as a blogging platform, and for my monthly email newsletter. For the moment, I’ll post both at this blog and on Substack. You can also follow me on Mastodon here.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 13:00 Source

Figures to be released by the Interactive Advertising Bureau show that online advertising market spending rose by just 3.7% in 2023, increasing from $14.19 billion to $14.72 billion. It was the slowest rate of growth in online advertising since 2020, with interest rates impacting expenditures by advertisers. According to industry sources, uncertainties about interest rates

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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 12:57 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 12:41 Source
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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 12:41 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 12:30 Source

CBA economist, Stephen Wu, has released the bank’s preview of the January inflation indicator, scheduled for release on Wednesday by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS). CBA forecasts that the ABS CPI Indicator will record a 3.5% rise in January, up slightly from 3.4% in December. Wu notes that “housing is expected to remain the

The post Housing inflation haunts RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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Renew Economy Monday, February 26, 2024 - 12:20 Source
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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 12:00 Source

God save us from the iMSM and Ronald Mizen: Confidential Treasury analysis shows decade high wages growth that has pushed the average fulltime salary above $100,000 is now the biggest driver of consumer price inflation, undercutting claims widespread corporate profit gouging is to blame. Pay rises overtook import prices and supply shocks to form the

The post Treasury shares crack pipe with RBA appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 11:30 Source

Does The Guardian have a cookie cutter for these “politicians“? Meaghan Scanlon, 31, says the severity of the housing crisis has led to a greater appetite for planning reform A Gold Coast renter who turns 31 this month, new Queensland planning minister, Meaghan Scanlon, is a self-confessed “Yimby”. To Scanlon, fixing the state’s housing crisis

The post The Guardian emigrates to Planet Gobbledygook appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 11:00 Source

Australia’s biggest toll road operator, Transurban, reported a net profit of $230 million for the six months ended December 2023, more than quadrupling its previous corresponding result. Traffic on Transurban’s toll roads also increased by 1.2% in Sydney, 2.6% in Brisbane, and 2.3% in Melbourne. Twitter (X) user Peter Morgan questioned why Transurban has been

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xkcd.com Monday, February 26, 2024 - 11:00 Source

[later] I'm pleased to report we're now identifying and replacing hundreds of outdated metrics per hour.

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MacroBusiness Monday, February 26, 2024 - 10:30 Source

On Saturday morning, I was interviewed by Luke Grant at Radio 2GB, where I broke down the latest household income and wage data for Australia, among other things. Edited Transcript: Australia has just seen the world’s biggest decline in living standards if you measure it by real per capita household disposable income. Real per capita

The post Australian households are getting poorer appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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