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Articles from MacroBusiness

The fundamental problem with renewables

June 3, 2025 - 08:00 -- Admin

Wind power has become a significant contributor to the electricity supply in Australia. As of September 2024, Australia had an installed wind capacity of around 13.3 GW. Wind power accounted for 13.4% (or 31.9 TWh) of Australia’s total electricity production in 2024. The Albanese government has set a target of producing 82% of Australia’s electricity

Macro Afternoon

June 2, 2025 - 16:30 -- Admin

More hesitation on risk markets as the weekend news of increased tensions on Chinese and US trade, including more off the cuff tariff announcements from the TACO-in-Chief unsettles the new start to the trading month. Currency markets area again winding up strength against the USD in response with the Australian dollar breaking out and accelerating

Reserve Bank sees disinflation ahead

June 2, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

Last week, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered the official cash rate (OCR) to 3.25%, down 2.25% from the recent peak. The vote in favour of cutting rates was overwhelming, with five members voting for and only one against. The Reserve Bank’s guidance, presented below, suggests that the OCR will bottom at around 2.75%.

Bloomberg destroys The Lucky Country

June 2, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

This is a fairly accurate assessment from Bloomberg on why Australia is stuffed. They even manage to address the externalities of immigration without getting wowserish about it. A few quick points I will add: Restoring Australian manufacturing now would take a war. At 5% of GDP, it’s all but gone. Therefore, there is no productivity

Is Australia’s population growth rising or falling?

June 2, 2025 - 10:30 -- Admin

CBA senior economist Stephen Wu created the following chart showing the divergence between various population measures: According to Wu: Next week’s National Accounts release (4/6) will contain an updated estimate of population growth, which is driven by net overseas migration (NOM). The already-released retail trade data show estimates of population growth will be downwardly revised

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