With the release of the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) latest Statement on Monetary Policy last week, the media focus was swiftly placed squarely upon the RBA’s forecast that productivity growth would be anaemic 0.7% per year on a long-term time horizon. But buried in the RBA’s lengthy forecast table was perhaps an even more
DXY is refusing to go away. AUD is going away. CNY not. I’m wary of gold here. Metals dead cat. Miners plain dead. EM rolling. Junk doesn’t care. Yields are falling in a growth scare. Stocks could catch that bug. At issue is a Fed that the market has gotten wrong. In their discussion of
Growth! S&P flash PMI. Flash Australia Composite PMI Output Index: 54.9 (Jul: Index, sa, >50 = growth m/m % qr/qr 53.8) Flash Australia Services PMI Business Activity Index: 55.1 (Jul: 54.1) Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI: 52.9 (Jul: 51.3) Flash Australia Manufacturing PMI Output Index: 53.9 (Jul: 52.3) Australia’s business activity growth accelerated midway through the
Overnight saw Wall Street stumble again, as big tech stocks couldn’t do the heavy lifting while European markets also pulled back slightly although the rising FTSE was an outsider. The release of the latest FOMC meeting minutes saw them highlight inflation and tariff risks with politics pushing in again as the Trump regime places pressure
Asian share markets are mainly down across the board as risk sentiment continues to shift further into negative space as we all await the Jackson Hole conference on Friday with Fed Chair Powell expected to make some comments regarding the actual trajectory of the US economy before he likely gets fired. The RBNZ cut rates
The Australian recently published Jobs and Skills Australia (JSA) data showing that there is an abundance of applicants per job. This suggested that concerns surrounding labour shortages are overblown. At the aggregate economy level, there were 29.3 applications per vacancy, 9.4 qualified applicants per vacancy and 4 suitable applicants per vacancy: As illustrated below by Justin
It took Melbourne 165 years to hit a population of 3.5 million at the turn of the century. Over the first 25 years of this century, Melbourne’s population has grown by nearly 2 million, causing immense strain on housing, infrastructure, services, law and order, and overall living standards. The state government has also been buried
Geopolitics again dominated the newsflow overnight, although the latest Canadian CPI print gave off a bit of a reverberation across currency markets with the USD pushing most of the majors down slightly as the Loonie almost went back to its recent monthly low. European stocks rallied while Wall Street pulled back on mixed home sales
DXY is warming up. AUD was pounded with risk. CNY is fine. Gold shaky. Metals warning. Mining bear fully intact. EM rolled. Junk is fine. Yields too. Stocks were hit. There wasn’t much going on to explain the sudden nerves. I put it down to the approach of Jackson Hole. Societe General. The title
The solution to the rental crisis is being played out across Australia’s two most similar nations: Canada and New Zealand. Canada experienced a record rise in rents in response to the largest surge in immigration in the nation’s history. Last year, the Canadian government announced that it would freeze population growth for three years in