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Macro Afternoon

May 30, 2025 - 16:00 -- Admin

The TACO in Chief is again threatening more tariffs on the EU just 24 hours after a yeah-nah decision by US courts to remove then reinstate the global tariffs, which of course is translating into a lot of hesitation on risk markets. This comes just after clear signs that a US recession is underway while

Australia’s housing scandal exposed

May 30, 2025 - 14:00 -- Admin

This week, I was interviewed by Andrew Bolt from Sky News on the latest housing forecasts from the federal government’s advisory body, the National Housing Supply and Affordability Council (NHSAC). Edited transcript Andrew Bolt: The government’s National Housing Supply and Affordability Council (NHSAC) has put out its annual report, the State of the Housing System,

Aussie jobs market loose as a goose

May 30, 2025 - 13:30 -- Admin

A slight exaggeration perhaps, but certainly looser than the always wrong RBA would have you think. Via Goldman. A key uncertainty in Australia’s monetary policy outlook is whether the labour market is still operating above full employment and therefore a source of inflationary pressures. In our view, the labour market has arrived at a ‘sweet

Building approvals tank

May 30, 2025 - 12:42 -- Admin

Via the ABS. Key statistics The April 2025 seasonally adjusted estimate: Total dwellings approved fell 5.7%, to 14,633. Private sector dwellings excluding houses fell 19.0%, to 4,999, while private sector houses rose 3.1%, to 9,349. The value of total residential building fell 1.3%, to $8.91b. The value of non-residential building rose 14.7%, to $7.91b. Oh

Retail stalls

May 30, 2025 - 12:35 -- Admin

Via the ABS. Key statistics The April 2025 seasonally adjusted estimate: Fell 0.1% month-on-month. Rose 3.8% compared with April 2024. Pretty much straight down since the February sales pop. Maybe a bit election-affected?

The post Retail stalls appeared first on MacroBusiness.

Stuck in the middle with Trump

May 30, 2025 - 12:30 -- Admin

The Market Ear on the market paralysis. Still stuck SPX futures stuck in the 5800/6000 range with a rather big rejection candle today. We are not getting excited until SPX breaks out, either way. Past few weeks is mostly just noise. Source: LSEG Workspace Twiterati illuminati Twitter Sentiment looks like crypto chart. The indicator is

More gas supply futile without domestic reservation

May 30, 2025 - 12:00 -- Admin

The Queensland state government on Wednesday announced the opening up of nine new areas for gas exploration across the Cooper/Eromanga and Bowen/Surat Basins to boost future supply. The government asserted that the initiatives aim to unlock supply and stimulate new gas investment, thereby lowering energy prices. “The best way to bring down energy prices is

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