Anyone who hoped that a Coalition government under Peter Dutton would seriously cut immigration needs to confront reality. While the Coalition’s pre-election statement on immigration states that it would cut the permanent migrant intake by 25% to 140,000 for two years, the Coalition has not set a target for temporary migration. This comes despite the
Goldman’s Andrew Boak has been far ahead of the pack on the RBA. Australia’s headline CPI rose 0.22%qoq in 4Q2024, with year-ended inflation easing 38bps to 2.42%yoy. The outcome was below market expectations (GSe: +0.4%qoq, +2.6%yoy; BBG: +0.3%qoq, +2.5%yoy) and the RBA’s standing forecast (Nov SMP: 2.6%yoy). Growth in the RBA’s preferred trimmed-mean measure also
The Market EAr with mwhahaha… Fighting with the 200 day NVDA is trading right on the 200 day moving average as of writing. Massive moves, especially if you consider the changes in market cap. This is not how strong leaders behave… Refinitiv Can SPX “dismiss” NVDA? Is this the most important gap out there? Refinitiv
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Even though I rarely use El Goog for search anymore because they’ve pretty much fucked it to the max, I do use it as a news reader. The mobile app defaults to a feed of stuff you’re interested in, and the feed is pretty good because, of course, they’ve been stalking us all across the internet forever.
So, this morning, over my breakfast coffee, I opened the app and…
Opposition leader Peter Dutton has promised to take moderate action to curb housing demand in a bid to make homes more affordable for Australians. Dutton has already pledged to reduce the permanent migrant intake by 25% to 140,000 for the Coalition’s first two years. Peter Dutton has also promised a two-year ban on foreign investors
The Chinese property slowdown is back, led by lower-tier cities. Inventory has eased. This yawnulus does not look much different to previous. Sentimane perhaps can’t get much worse. But maybe sales can. More yawnulus please.
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Wednesday’s Q4 CPI release from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) has increased pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut the official cash rate. The headline CPI rose by 0.2% in Q4 2024 and the annual rate fell to 2.4% (i.e., around the middle of the RBA’s target band). The policy-relevant trimmed
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The latest FOMC meeting has come and gone with only a slight change in language as the US Fed negotiates the new “American Psycho Part 2” volatility. Bond yields jumped a little on the short end of the curve but were largely unchanged while the USD lifted across the board but gave up some of
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DXY is back. AUD is buggered again. But auld lead boots got Deepsuckered. The oil pop was specs. Dirt dead cat. Mining meh. EM meh. Junk thinks it can. Bear flattener! Stocks no likee. The Fed has pivoted again. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said officials are not in a rush to lower interest rates,
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KPMG Australia is upbeat about the outlook for the housing market in 2025, spurred on by expected interest rate cuts. The firm expects house prices in Sydney to rise by 3.3% this year, followed by 7.8% growth in 2026. Prices in Melbourne are forecast to rise by 3.5% in 2025 and 6% in the following
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Swan Bay, first light AUD/USD EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD Gold West Texas Intermediate Brent Australia 200 US S&P 500 UK 100 Japan 225
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