Aussie punters are drooling with anticipation of a new housing boom. Victoria disease is preventing madness in the South East, but elsewhere it is all greed. Plenty of room to rise before any nerves kick in. The young and abused have been co-opted. The Oct survey detail points to another factor in the mix
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By Harry Ottley, economist at CBA: The RBA left the cash rate on hold at 3.60% as widely expected.The post-meeting communication was not quite as hawkish as we had expected. The data flow was mixed with home price rises accelerating and building approvals improving but household spending looking a touch softer than expected. Offshore, soft
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The ferrous complex is buckling. Steel output cuts are so far insufficient to lift steel prices. Iron must fall much further if steel mill margins are to be restored. Weekly data from consultancy firm Mysteel showed that fewer than 40% of the 247 surveyed steel mills were profitable, a level last seen in October 2024.
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International Reading: Tesla shareholders approve Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package – CNN ‘As Ugly and Cruel As It Gets’: Trump Fights Order to Fully Fund November SNAP Benefits – Common Dreams The US national debt has just passed $38 trillion — and economists say they might never recover – News.com Tariff refunds are now
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Asian equities are not doing well as markets start agitate over AI amid tonight’s looming US jobs report with the recent strength in the USD about to be tested. Continued volatility over trade wars amid the challenge to the Trump regime’s tariffs in the US Supreme Court are not helping either. The Australian dollar remains
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As conservative commentator David Frum said several years ago: “If conservatives become convinced that they can not win democratically, they will not abandon conservatism. They will reject democracy”1.
Free solar, nuclear cost blowouts, and “deadly negligence” on climate: A heady mix for the Coalition
When the Luxon government came to power in late 2023, it came with a promise to reinstate negative gearing as it previously was and reduce the holding period required for an investment property to be sold tax-free. Under the Ardern government, the duration an investor was required to hold a property for the gains to
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Australians have suffered the deepest decline in real wages in recorded history. As of the June quarter of 2025, Australian real wages were tracking 6.0% below their June 2020 peak, at roughly the same level as December 2011. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its Statement of Monetary Policy (SoMP) this week, which contains
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