DXY fell away. This time AUD enjoyed relief. CNY resumed the plod higher. Oil is in trouble. Gold finally popped. Metals too. And miners. EM at the highs. Junk still worried. The bond rally paused. Stocks lifted a bit. Trump eased the rhetoric on China. As usual, the loon is predictable only in the unpredictability
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International Reading: 24% of Republicans think the economy is deteriorating, compared with 60% of independents and 67% of Democrats. – The Guardian Tariff costs to companies this year to hit $1.2 trillion, with consumers taking most of the hit, S&P says – CNBC Trump’s Big Brag About The Economy Crushed By Brutal New Poll –
A sea of red across Asian share markets in the last session of the trading week in response to the slip on Wall Street overnight, largely due to overstretched financials as they try to absorb the folly of the Trump regime’s tariff campaign. Meanwhile the USD continues to fall against almost everything else with Euro breaking
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Victoria hits record levels of wind and solar curtailment, and then two more coal generators tripped
Earlier this month, I reported that investor demand appears to be surging, helping to drive up home prices. As illustrated below by Justin Fabo from Antipodean Macro, investor housing credit growth has rocketed, up 9.1% annually in August, the highest rate in a decade. Google searches for “investment property” likewise surged to their highest level
As we know, Albo is the Manchurian Candidate, fed by Sinophiles in his party to the point of nausea. Let’s recall what the G7 did when China attacked Australia unilaterally. The U.S. and its allies are grappling with how to pare their economic relationships with China, attempting to limit ties in certain sectors they view
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This week, I was interviewed by Steve Austin at ABC Radio Brisbane, where I was quizzed on why policymakers continually implement self-defeating policies that make housing more expensive. Austin’s query followed this month’s introduction of the Albanese government’s 5% deposit scheme for first home buyers, which already seems to have lifted demand and pushed home
It was never a boom in the traditional sense. It was a fiscal stimulus into bedpan jobs, and it has ended. Owing to a far too slow RBA, the private sector is not well-positioned to pick up the slack. The NAB business survey is still consistent with weak hiring intentions. More from Goldman. Today’s update
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There is no substitute for sanctimonious greed. A top-20 shareholder in Santos has raised questions about the oil and gas producer’s strategy and called for it to focus on delivering value to investors, just as the gas giant was forced to cut production guidance because of an eleventh-hour hitch at its biggest growth project. HESTA
Victoria is the nation’s most indebted state with the lowest credit rating. Global rating agencies have reaffirmed Victoria’s AA credit rating, although the state government has been put on notice to reduce debt, rein in operating costs, and show fiscal restraint ahead of the November 2026 election. On Wednesday, the Victorian Department of Treasury and
Australians have endured the biggest decline in real wages in history. As of the June quarter of 2025, Australian real wages were still tracking 6.0% below their June 2020 level, at roughly the same level as December 2011. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Assistant governor and chief economist Sarah Hunter warned that Australia’s sagging
It is an easy and appropriate target. Origin Energy chief executive Frank Calabria has declared Australia’s energy market is “no longer working” to deliver affordable, reliable power capable of facilitating the transition to renewables, and sought urgent reforms, including limiting Santos-backed GLNG’s ability to buy gas from the domestic market. Mr Calabria said governments must
Chinese inflation remains bogged. The CPI fell MoM and is going nowhere YoY. PPI is similar. As anti-involution weighs on domestic demand, I expect prices to keep falling. The real problem is unresolved. The black hole of real estate. Golden Week needs to be renamed something less auspicious. New property sales are down again for
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The ferrous complex continues to bifurcate, with steel getting flushed while iron ore enjoys the good times. CISA data for early October rebounded after the Hebei shutdown, but inventories soared 8%. Mills are still overproducing. Goldman explains it. …change in demand patterns, driven by the need for blast furnaces to reduce steel costs, has led