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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 10:00 Source

Nick Reece, Melbourne’s Lord Mayor and prominent promoter of mass immigration, believes he has the solution to the city’s housing crisis and failing economy: more migrants and international students. Late last year, Reece announced that he was actively canvassing Chinese and Indian companies to open headquarters in Melbourne, citing the city’s large Indian and Chinese

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The Tally Room Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 09:40 Source

We are now getting to the point in the election count where all of the primary votes appear to have been counted. We don’t have all the preference data yet – Bradfield is obviously still in play, the two-party-preferred count is not quite complete, and we don’t have 3CP or distribution of preferences data outside of Calwell. But now that we know how many votes were cast, we can analyse the level of turnout, and how many people voted early, and voted with a particular voting method.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 09:30 Source

DXY is hanging on again. AUD is still grinding up but failing to launch Leads boots are climbing Gold and oil shaky. Metals no bueno. EM meh. Junk all clear. Yields eased. Stocks eased. It is a strange new world in which both DXY and AUD are heavily shorted so both may climb at any

The post Australian dollar rides American idiot premium appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 09:00 Source

The release of a set of “real” FOMC minutes sent Wall Street lower overnight as the Fed reiterated its fears about a US recession in the wake of the Trump regime’s tariffs, even with all the TACO drippings that seem to follow each new threat and bluster. The real effect on isolation of the US

The post Macro Morning appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 08:00 Source

The following chart from Alex Joiner from IFM Investors shows how average Australian mortgage sizes have chased home prices higher. There is an element of ‘chicken and egg’ on display here. Higher home prices require borrowers to take out larger mortgages, whereas people taking out bigger mortgages bid prices higher. Higher home prices combined with

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MacroBusiness Thursday, May 29, 2025 - 00:05 Source

In the early 2000s, the federal Labor government made the disastrous decision to allow the export of liquefied natural gas (LNG) from Queensland without forcing gas companies to first supply Australians. Gary Grey, the then-Federal Resources Minister under the Gillard/Rudd Labor governments, argued that domestic gas reserve policies create uncertainty and discourage investment, pitting the

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The Tally Room Wednesday, May 28, 2025 - 16:31 Source

I had the opportunity today to visit the Bradfield recount, thanks to being appointed as a scrutineer. I did not attempt to challenge any ballots, but this gave me the best way to see how the process works. I was thinking of doing a podcast, and I may do that at some point if I get to interview some of the scrutineers, but for now I thought I’d summarise what I found in a blog post.

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MacroBusiness Wednesday, May 28, 2025 - 16:30 Source

A couple of comments from the BOJ over the Japanese bond market and the ongoing trade war with the US didn’t upset most risk markets in Asia as they move in correlation with a resurgent Wall Street. The latest local inflation figures came in a little hotter than expected but this was overshadowed somewhat by

The post Macro Afternoon appeared first on MacroBusiness.

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